AI Model:

Saddiq Bey▲

NOP · SF

PPG

17.4

RPG

5.7

APG

2.6

L5 PPG

16.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.0

17.4

16.4

RPG-0.5

5.7

5.2

APG+1.0

2.6

3.6

SPG+0.2

1.0

1.2

BPG+0.1

0.1

0.2

UNDER 16.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

16.5

LAC

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAC: 14 pts

LAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs LAL: 18 pts

SAC

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAC: 20 pts

PHX

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs PHX: 19 pts

WAS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs WAS: 23 pts

TOR

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs TOR: 9 pts

HOU

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs HOU: 5 pts

DAL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs DAL: 23 pts

LAC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAC: 25 pts

LAC

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs LAC: 20 pts

Over 16.5

Under 16.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 16.5STAKE

63%

REB

UNDER 5.5STAKE

58%

AST

OVER 2.5STAKE

55%

3PM

OVER 1.5BETONLINEAG

66%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

57%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

61%

PRA

UNDER 25.5

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.6

20.2

RPG

6.0

4.8

APG

3.0

3.1

vs CLE (H2H)17 games

PPG

12.2

RPG

4.9

APG

1.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Dillon Brooks	3	14	40%	-5.1%	medium
Julius Randle	3	14	55%	+4.9%	medium
Rui Hachimura	3	13	0%	-45.1%	medium
P.J. Washington	4	12	93%

Bey’s minutes and shot volume stay solid, but the matchup points more to a controlled scoring night

Saddiq Bey is averaging 17.4 PPG, 5.7 RPG, and 2.6 APG this season while playing 31.0 MPG, and his last-10 line is still steady at 17.6 PPG, 5.4 RPG, and 2.5 APG. His recent production has been mixed, with a strong 20-point, 6-rebound, 6-assist game followed by a 25-point outing, but also a 5-point dud in the last five. Against Cleveland, the head-to-head sample is much lower at 12.24 PPG and 4.88 RPG across 17 games, which pulls projections below his season baseline. The opponent context also includes a 114.81 defensive rating and -0.121 scoring suppression, so the safer angles are the lower-end scoring props and a modest lean to threes rather than aggressive overs.

Stat Trends

PPG

16.4(↓ from 17.4)

RPG

5.2(↓ from 5.7)

APG

3.6(↑ from 2.6)

Key Matchup

Key defender data is limited to Dean Wade, Evan Mobley, and Donovan Mitchell, but there is no specific defender matchup data to isolate. Cleveland’s team context shows a 114.81 defensive rating and -0.121 scoring suppression, which leans slightly against Bey’s scoring ceiling.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Saddiq Bey▼	Points	16.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	19	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	5	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	4	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	4	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	PRA	25.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	28	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS20.5OVER25%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)6/2030%▼

3PM2.5OVER9%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)12/2060%+13.3% edge▼

FTA4OVER3%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%▼

PRA29.5OVER12%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼

REB5.5OVER11%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

AST2.5UNDER3%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

FTM3.5UNDER13%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+R25UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

P+A23UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

STL1UNDER35%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%▼

3PA6UNDER7%gbtAvoid (7/20)6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Saddiq Bey

Threes OVER 1.5HIGH

This is the strongest data-backed angle because Bey averages 1.97 made threes per game on the season and has recent marks of 1.8 over the last five and 2.3 over the last 20. The value data also shows an OVER 1.5 threes edge of 7.8% with positive EV, making it the best combination of form and price.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Dean Wade	2	4	7	60%	70%
Evan Mobley	1	3	2	100%	100%
Donovan Mitchell	2	3	0	0%	0%
Sam Merrill	2	3	0	0%	0%
De'Andre Hunter	1	3	2	50%	50%

pointsUNDER 16.563%MEDIUM

His season mean is 17.39, but the Cleveland head-to-head average is only 12.24 PPG over 17 games. With opponent scoring suppression at -0.121, the under at 16.5 is the more conservative side.

reboundsUNDER 5.558%MEDIUM

Bey’s season average is 5.73 RPG and his last-5 is 5.2 RPG, while the opponent split is also below this number at 4.88 RPG. That makes 5.5 slightly too high given the limited edge.

assistsOVER 2.555%MEDIUM

He’s at 2.6 APG for the season and 3.6 APG over the last five, with 3.0 APG at home. The line is right around his baseline, so the over is playable but not a strong edge.

threesOVER 1.566%MEDIUM

He averages 1.97 threes per game on the season and 1.8 over the last five, which supports clearing 1.5. This is the cleanest value side in the data, and it aligns with the provided +EV profile.

stealsOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

Bey averages 1.0 steals per game on the season and 1.2 over the last five. The 0.5 line is low enough to keep the over in play, though volatility remains.

stocksUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.03, with last-10 at 1.3 and season volatility still high. Since the combined category is below the 1.5 threshold most nights, the under is the safer angle.

praUNDER 25.556%MEDIUM

Using season averages, his points plus rebounds plus assists profile is about 25.7, but the Cleveland history is notably lower. Combo props carry more variance, so this is only a modest under lean.

timelineUNDER 16.5 PTS