AI Model:

P.J. Washington▲

DAL · C

PPG

14.3

RPG

7.1

APG

1.8

L5 PPG

16.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.7

14.3

16.0

RPG+1.5

7.1

8.6

APG-0.6

1.8

1.2

SPG+0.4

1.0

1.4

BPG-0.3

1.1

0.8

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

13.5

BKN

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs BKN: 13 pts

CHA

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CHA: 13 pts

ORL

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs ORL: 18 pts

BOS

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs BOS: 5 pts

TOR

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs TOR: 9 pts

ATL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs ATL: 7 pts

MEM

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MEM: 12 pts

CLE

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs CLE: 20 pts

NOP

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs NOP: 18 pts

ATL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs ATL: 23 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

OVER 6.5DRAFTKINGS

61%

AST

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

59%

STL

OVER 1

52%

BLK

UNDER 1

57%

STL+BLK

OVER 2.1

56%

OVER 1.2

53%

PRA

OVER 23.5

52%

R+A

OVER 8.5

55%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.4

13.3

RPG

6.8

6.4

APG

1.6

1.9

vs LAC (H2H)10 games

PPG

12.3

RPG

6.1

APG

1.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kevin Durant	4	21	52%	+5.0%	medium
LeBron James	3	17	58%	+7.6%	medium
Zion Williamson	3	15	77%	+31.9%	medium
Julius Randle	3	14	36%

Thin matchup, but usage and rebounding chances keep P.J. Washington live

P.J. Washington is trending up overall, with his last 5 averaging 16.0 PPG, 8.6 RPG, and 2.2 stocks versus season marks of 14.3 PPG, 7.1 RPG, and 2.1 stocks. The absences on both sides matter: Dallas is missing Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, Kyrie Irving, Brandon Williams, and D'Angelo Russell, while the Clippers are without Ivica Zubac and Bradley Beal, which supports Washington’s rebound and two-way production. His season scoring and assist baselines are more modest than the recent spike, and his last 10/20 scoring sits closer to 13.8/13.6 PPG, so the market should still lean slightly conservative on points. With no specific defender matchup data beyond limited minutes for Derrick Jones Jr., the strongest angle is still his board-and-stocks profile rather than a big scoring ceiling.

Stat Trends

PPG

16.0(↑ from 14.3)

RPG

8.6(↑ from 7.1)

APG

1.2(↓ from 1.8)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data. The opponent context is more about absence-driven frontcourt opportunity, especially with Ivica Zubac out, while the matchup data also shows no strong individual defender signal to adjust from.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
P.J. Washington▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	21	✗
P.J. Washington▼	Rebounds	6.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	6	✗
P.J. Washington▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	0	✗
P.J. Washington▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	3	✓
P.J. Washington▼	Steals	1	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	20%	1	✗
P.J. Washington▼	Blocks	1	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	—	90%	0	✓
P.J. Washington▼	STL+BLK	2.1	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	20%	1	✗
P.J. Washington▼	Turnovers	1.2	OVER	53%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
P.J. Washington▼	PRA	23.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	27	✓
P.J. Washington▼	R+A	8.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	6	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA22OVER11%gbt_praAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

AST2UNDER71%gbt_assistsAvoid (6/20)UNDER 10x4/2020%▼

P+R21OVER0%gbt_prAvoid (6/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

P+A15.5UNDER0%gbt_paAvoid (6/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

PTS13.5UNDER8%gbt_pointsAvoid (5/20)9/2045%▼

REB5.5UNDER0%gbt_reboundsAvoid (5/20)11/2055%▼

3PA4UNDER14%gbtAvoid (5/20)9/2045%▼

FTM1.5UNDER13%gbtAvoid (5/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

R+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (5/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

3PM1.5UNDER4%gbt_three_pmAvoid (4/20)10/2050%▼

FTA2UNDER8%gbtAvoid (4/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

P.J. Washington

Threes OVER 1.5MEDIUM

This is the best-supported value angle because multiple books show the OVER at 1.5 with a 6.1% to 6.6% edge and positive EV. His season average is 1.32 threes, the last 5 are up to 1.7, and the recent attempt volume supports another made-three path.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Derrick Jones Jr.	1	2	3	100%	150%
Brook Lopez	1	2	0	0%	0%
Darius Garland	1	1	3	50%	75%
Isaiah Jackson	1	0	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 13.558%MEDIUM

Season mean is 14.3, but last 10 is 13.8 and last 20 is 13.6, so the recent baseline is closer to the line than the hot last-5. The recent scoring surge is meaningful, but the over-bias warning and his 6.2 season standard deviation keep this from being a strong over.

reboundsOVER 6.561%MEDIUM

He averages 7.1 RPG on the season and 8.6 RPG over the last 5, with a 7.21 away mean and 7.71 b2b mean. The absences of Anthony Davis and Dereck Lively II increase the likelihood of extra frontcourt rebounding work.

assistsOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

His season mean is 1.84 APG and his last 10/20 both sit at 1.8 APG, so this is a modest but playable over. The line is low, but the prop still carries some variance given his 1.29 season standard deviation.

threesOVER 1.559%MEDIUM

He averages 1.32 threes per game on the season and 1.7 over the last 5, with value_props showing a 6.5% edge on the OVER at 1.5. Recent volume is solid at 1.8 fg3m per game over the last 5, making this the cleanest book-backed angle.

stealsOVER 152%MEDIUM

He averages exactly 1.0 spg on the season and 1.0 over the last 10, so the projection sits right on the threshold. The floor is decent, but this is a higher-variance category than rebounds or threes.

blocksUNDER 157%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 bpg on the season, but the last 10 and last 20 are both 0.7 bpg, which is below the projected line. That recent decline makes the under the safer side despite his season-long shot-blocking rate.

stocksOVER 2.156%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.1 and his last 5 jumped to 2.2, while the last 10/20 sit at 1.7/1.6. This is viable, but the standard deviation is high enough to keep confidence moderate.

turnoversOVER 1.253%MEDIUM

He is at 1.2 turnovers per game over the last 10 and last 20, with 2.0 TOPG in home splits. The line is modest, but the recent trend and home profile support a small lean over.

praOVER 23.552%MEDIUM

A season blend of 14.3 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 1.8 assists gives him solid combo production, and the injury situation boosts his rebounding lane. Still, combo props are volatile and should be treated conservatively.

raOVER 8.555%MEDIUM

He averages 7.1 rebounds and 1.8 assists for a combined 8.9 RA on the season, with a 9.2 RA mark over the last 5. The frontcourt absences help the rebound side and make this one of the better combo looks.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS