AI Model:

Kon Knueppel—

CHA · SG

PPG

19.4

RPG

5.2

APG

3.4

L5 PPG

19.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.2

19.4

19.6

RPG-0.2

5.2

5.0

APG-0.6

3.4

2.8

SPG+0.1

0.7

0.8

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

UNDER 18.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

18.5

POR

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs POR: 10 pts

DAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs DAL: 13 pts

BOS

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs BOS: 20 pts

MIA

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs MIA: 27 pts

PHX

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs PHX: 15 pts

POR

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs POR: 15 pts

SAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs SAC: 24 pts

SAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAS: 20 pts

MIA

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIA: 22 pts

ORL

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs ORL: 17 pts

Over 18.5

Under 18.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 18.5DRAFTKINGS

84%

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

78%

REB

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

62%

3PM

UNDER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

71%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

69%

UNDER 2

77%

P+A

OVER 16.5STAKE

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

19.2

21.8

RPG

5.5

4.6

APG

3.1

2.6

vs MEM (H2H)1 games

PPG

10.0

RPG

1.0

APG

6.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	4	14	31%	-25.1%	medium
AJ Green	3	14	75%	+1.8%	medium
Josh Giddey	3	10	72%	+18.5%	medium
Donovan Mitchell	3	10	44%

Kon Knueppel’s scoring leans solid, but the best edge is on his under markets

Kon Knueppel has been a steady high-minute starter all season, averaging 19.4 PPG, 5.2 RPG, and 3.4 APG in 31.8 MPG. His recent production is still stable, but his last-10 scoring at 18.3 PPG is slightly below his season mark, and the matchup context points more to controlled output than a spike. Charlotte is at home, where he averages 19.2 PPG and 5.5 RPG, but the opponent profile shows a strong three-suppression number and his only head-to-head sample is just 10 points in 26 MPG. With Liam McNeeley out and Jaren Jackson Jr. out on the other side, his role stays intact, but the cleanest betting angle still favors the lower-scoring outcomes at current lines.

Stat Trends

PPG

19.6(→ from 19.4)

RPG

5.0(→ from 5.2)

APG

2.8(↓ from 3.4)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available for a single reliable defensive assignment. The opponent context is mixed for scoring because the team has a 118.62 defensive rating and 0.751 scoring suppression, while the three-point suppression number is 0.36, which leans against an easy shooting night.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kon Knueppel▼	Points	18.5	UNDER	84%HIGH	2/2	50%	9	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	78%HIGH	1/2	60%	5	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	3	✗
Kon Knueppel▼	3PM	3.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	2/2	50%	1	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	77%HIGH	—	100%	1	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	P+A	16.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	14	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R22OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

PTS15.5UNDER27%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼

3PM3.5OVER20%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

FTA3UNDER44%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 6x6/2030%▼

PRA22.5UNDER23%gbt_praWeak Leg (8/20)12/2060%▼

P+A20UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

AST2.5UNDER8%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x11/2055%▼

3PA8UNDER39%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

R+A8UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%▼

REB4.5UNDER28%gbt_reboundsAvoid (6/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%+7.2% edge▼

FTM2UNDER36%gbtAvoid (6/20)7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Kon Knueppel

Points UNDER 18.5HIGH

This is the strongest value on the slate from the provided data, with a 22.2% edge at DraftKings and $43.37 EV per 100. His last-10 scoring sits at 18.3 PPG, and his lone head-to-head sample was only 10 points, so the under aligns with both the model and recent profile.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Cedric Coward	1	4	4	50%	50%
Walter Clayton Jr.	1	2	0	0%	0%
Javon Small	1	2	4	100%	100%
Cam Spencer	2	1	0	0%	0%
Jock Landale	1	1	3	33%	33%

pointsUNDER 18.584%HIGH

Value data shows the UNDER with a 22.2% edge and $43.37 EV per 100 at DraftKings, with our projected under probability at 0.734. His last-10 scoring is 18.3 PPG, below the season 19.4, and his only listed vs-opponent game was 10 points in 26 MPG.

assistsOVER 2.578%HIGH

He averages 3.38 APG on the season and 2.8 in the last 10, both above this line, and the DraftKings value card shows a 11.8% edge with positive EV. Liam McNeeley being out helps keep his on-ball usage and secondary creation stable.

reboundsOVER 4.562%MEDIUM

Knueppel averages 5.2 RPG on the season and 5.0 over his last 5, so 4.5 is slightly below his baseline. Confidence stays moderate because rebound variance is meaningful, but the season rate supports the over.

threesUNDER 3.571%HIGH

He averages 3.54 threes per game, but the recent 3.3 and home 3.16 are both below this number, and the opponent has a 0.36 three-suppression mark. The edge is smaller than the points under, but the under is still the cleaner side.

stocksUNDER 1.569%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 0.99 and last-10 is 1.1, both well below 1.5. This is a high-variance category, but the baseline volume points to the under.

turnoversUNDER 277%HIGH

He has 1.7 turnovers in his last 20 and 1.0 in his last 10, which sits comfortably below a 2.0 line. His recent control of the ball makes the under the better side.

paOVER 16.560%MEDIUM

He averages 22.78 points plus assists on the season, so 16.5 is well below his combined baseline. Still, combo props carry extra variance, so confidence is kept modest.

timelineUNDER 18.5 PTS