Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 4 | 14 | 31% | -25.1% | medium |
| AJ Green | 3 | 14 | 75% | +1.8% | medium |
| Josh Giddey | 3 | 10 | 72% | +18.5% | medium |
| Donovan Mitchell | 3 | 10 | 44% |
Kon Knueppel has been a steady high-minute starter all season, averaging 19.4 PPG, 5.2 RPG, and 3.4 APG in 31.8 MPG. His recent production is still stable, but his last-10 scoring at 18.3 PPG is slightly below his season mark, and the matchup context points more to controlled output than a spike. Charlotte is at home, where he averages 19.2 PPG and 5.5 RPG, but the opponent profile shows a strong three-suppression number and his only head-to-head sample is just 10 points in 26 MPG. With Liam McNeeley out and Jaren Jackson Jr. out on the other side, his role stays intact, but the cleanest betting angle still favors the lower-scoring outcomes at current lines.
No specific defender matchup data is available for a single reliable defensive assignment. The opponent context is mixed for scoring because the team has a 118.62 defensive rating and 0.751 scoring suppression, while the three-point suppression number is 0.36, which leans against an easy shooting night.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kon Knueppel▼ | Points | 18.5 | UNDER | 84%HIGH | 2/2 | 50% | 9 | ✓ |
Kon Knueppel▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 5 | ✓ |
Kon Knueppel▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 3 | ✗ |
Kon Knueppel▼ | 3PM | 3.5 | UNDER | 71%HIGH | 2/2 | 50% | 1 | ✓ |
Kon Knueppel▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
Kon Knueppel▼ | Turnovers | 2 | UNDER | 77%HIGH | — | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
Kon Knueppel▼ | P+A | 16.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 90% | 14 | ✗ |
This is the strongest value on the slate from the provided data, with a 22.2% edge at DraftKings and $43.37 EV per 100. His last-10 scoring sits at 18.3 PPG, and his lone head-to-head sample was only 10 points, so the under aligns with both the model and recent profile.
| medium |
| Desmond Bane | 3 | 10 | 56% | +7.4% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Coward | 1 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Javon Small | 1 | 2 | 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Cam Spencer | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jock Landale | 1 | 1 | 3 | 33% | 33% |
Value data shows the UNDER with a 22.2% edge and $43.37 EV per 100 at DraftKings, with our projected under probability at 0.734. His last-10 scoring is 18.3 PPG, below the season 19.4, and his only listed vs-opponent game was 10 points in 26 MPG.
He averages 3.38 APG on the season and 2.8 in the last 10, both above this line, and the DraftKings value card shows a 11.8% edge with positive EV. Liam McNeeley being out helps keep his on-ball usage and secondary creation stable.
Knueppel averages 5.2 RPG on the season and 5.0 over his last 5, so 4.5 is slightly below his baseline. Confidence stays moderate because rebound variance is meaningful, but the season rate supports the over.
He averages 3.54 threes per game, but the recent 3.3 and home 3.16 are both below this number, and the opponent has a 0.36 three-suppression mark. The edge is smaller than the points under, but the under is still the cleaner side.
His season stocks average is 0.99 and last-10 is 1.1, both well below 1.5. This is a high-variance category, but the baseline volume points to the under.
He has 1.7 turnovers in his last 20 and 1.0 in his last 10, which sits comfortably below a 2.0 line. His recent control of the ball makes the under the better side.
He averages 22.78 points plus assists on the season, so 16.5 is well below his combined baseline. Still, combo props carry extra variance, so confidence is kept modest.