AI Model:

Miles Bridges▼

CHA · PF

PPG

17.5

RPG

5.8

APG

3.3

L5 PPG

16.8

Last 10 GamesAST

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.7

17.5

16.8

RPG-0.6

5.8

5.2

APG-0.9

3.3

2.4

SPG+0.2

0.6

0.8

BPG-0.3

0.5

0.2

OVER 2.5 AST

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

2.5

POR

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs POR: 5 ast

DAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs DAL: 5 ast

BOS

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs BOS: 2 ast

MIA

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs MIA: 1 ast

PHX

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs PHX: 1 ast

POR

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs POR: 3 ast

SAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs SAC: 5 ast

SAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAS: 2 ast

MIA

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIA: 2 ast

ORL

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs ORL: 0 ast

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

63%

PTS

UNDER 15.5DRAFTKINGS

59%

REB

UNDER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

52%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

57%

P+R

UNDER 21.5STAKE

56%

P+A

OVER 18.5STAKE

58%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

11.2

17.1

RPG

4.8

5.4

APG

2.2

3.4

vs MEM (H2H)9 games

PPG

15.3

RPG

6.7

APG

4.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Paolo Banchero	3	24	48%	-3.2%	medium
Scottie Barnes	4	21	73%	+23.1%	medium
Giannis Antetokounmpo	3	18	47%	+1.3%	medium
Dominick Barlow	3	13	33%

Bridges’ scoring is cooling, but the matchup and assist value keep him playable

Miles Bridges enters with a clear downtrend: his season averages are 17.5 PPG, 5.8 RPG, and 3.3 APG, but his last 10 games have dipped to 14.6 PPG, 4.9 RPG, and 2.6 APG. He has been much better away from home than at home, though tonight is in Charlotte where his home scoring is only 11.2 PPG across 9 games. The best value on the board is his assists, with multiple books showing a 2.5 line and pre-calculated positive edge on the OVER, while points are priced more like an UNDER at 15.5. Jaren Jackson Jr. being out is a plus for the Hornets offense environment, but Bridges’ own recent form still points to a cautious projection on scoring.

Stat Trends

PPG

16.8(↓ from 17.5)

RPG

5.2(↓ from 5.8)

APG

2.4(↓ from 3.3)

Key Matchup

The opponent is allowing a 118.62 defensive rating, but its scoring suppression is listed at 0.751 and three-point suppression at 0.36. Key defender data is available for GG Jackson, who has 20.7 minutes and 0.3125 FG%, so there is no specific defender matchup data beyond that.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Miles Bridges▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	1	✗
Miles Bridges▼	Points	15.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	13	✓
Miles Bridges▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	4	✓
Miles Bridges▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	0	✗
Miles Bridges▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✓
Miles Bridges▼	P+R	21.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	17	✓
Miles Bridges▼	P+A	18.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	14	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA21.5OVER16%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

3PM1.5OVER16%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x8/2040%▼

P+R20OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

PTS13.5UNDER33%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 5x11/2055%▼

REB4.5UNDER14%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

3PA4UNDER24%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼

P+A18UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x8/2040%▼

FTM1.5UNDER29%gbtAvoid (7/20)10/2050%▼

R+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)8/2040%▼

AST2.5UNDER26%gbt_assistsAvoid (6/20)7/2035%▼

FTA2UNDER24%gbtAvoid (6/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Miles Bridges

Assists OVER 2.5HIGH

This is the clearest value on the board, with draftkings showing a 13.7% edge and our_prob_over at 0.632. Bridges’ season average is 3.31 APG, and even with recent cooling, the line is still below his baseline production.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
GG Jackson	2	6	4	29%	29%
Jock Landale	1	4	2	50%	50%
Tyler Burton	1	2	3	50%	75%
Cam Spencer	2	2	0	0%	0%
Taylor Hendricks	1	1	0	0%	0%

assistsOVER 2.563%MEDIUM

Value data shows a 13.7% edge at DraftKings with our_prob_over at 0.632. His season mean is 3.31 APG and his away mean is 3.23 APG, both above this line, and teammate absences can help keep his playmaking involved.

pointsUNDER 15.559%MEDIUM

His season mean is 17.53 PPG, but the recent trend is down to 14.6 PPG over the last 10 and 14.4 PPG over the last 20. The available value data also favors the UNDER at 15.5 with a positive edge.

reboundsUNDER 5.555%MEDIUM

Bridges is at 5.83 RPG for the season but only 4.9 RPG over the last 10, and his home rebound average is 4.8. The line sits above his recent production, making the UNDER the safer side.

threesOVER 1.552%MEDIUM

He averages 2.06 threes per game for the season and 1.6 over the last 10, so this is a volume-based playable line. Confidence stays modest because recent form has cooled and the prop is relatively volatile.

stocksUNDER 1.557%MEDIUM

His season average for stocks is 1.08 and the last 10 are 1.1, both below 1.5. With steals and blocks both modest, this needs an outlier game to clear consistently.

prUNDER 21.556%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds profile is 23.33, but the recent scoring and rebounding decline makes 21.5 less comfortable than season-level averages suggest. Combo props are higher variance, so the UNDER is the conservative play.

paOVER 18.558%MEDIUM

He averages 3.31 APG and has multiple books with a 2.5 assist line showing strong OVER value, which supports a higher PA outcome. The projection is still limited by his recent assist dip, so confidence is only moderate.

timelineOVER 2.5 AST