AI Model:

Olivier-Maxence Prosper▲

MEM · C

PPG

9.0

RPG

3.4

APG

1.0

L5 PPG

14.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+5.4

9.0

14.4

RPG+0.6

3.4

4.0

APG0.0

1.0

SPG+0.7

0.7

1.4

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

12.5

MIN

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIN: 2 pts

POR

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs POR: 17 pts

LAC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs LAC: 11 pts

BKN

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs BKN: 15 pts

PHI

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHI: 11 pts

DAL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs DAL: 9 pts

DET

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DET: 17 pts

CHI

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs CHI: 13 pts

DEN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs DEN: 19 pts

BOS

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs BOS: 14 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

REB

UNDER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

79%

AST

UNDER 1

57%

3PM

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

STL

OVER 0.8

58%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

63%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

56%

UNDER 2

60%

PRA

UNDER 16.5

55%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.1

13.3

RPG

4.6

4.3

APG

1.4

1.2

vs CHA (H2H)4 games

PPG

3.3

RPG

2.8

APG

0.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Donovan Clingan	3	13	72%	+13.8%	medium
Rudy Gobert	4	8	50%	-4.9%	medium
Nikola Jokić	2	8	75%	+7.6%	low
Julius Randle	4	7	65%

Prosper’s minutes bump keeps his scoring live, but rebounds remain the safer fade

Olivier-Maxence Prosper is trending up, with his last 5 games at 14.4 PPG and 25.4 MPG versus a 9.0 PPG season average and 18.3 MPG season mark. The absence of Jaren Jackson Jr. (19.4 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 30.3 MPG) supports a bigger role, and his recent production has been stronger than his season baseline. Even so, the matchup data is mixed: his head-to-head vs this opponent is only 3.25 PPG and 2.75 RPG across 4 games, and the current offensive environment includes Memphis on a back-to-back. With his recent scoring outpacing his season number by more than 20%, regression risk is real, while rebounds have a clear value lean to the under at 4.5.

Stat Trends

PPG

14.4(↑ from 9.0)

RPG

4.0(↑ from 3.4)

APG

1.0(→ from 1.0)

Stocks

1.6(↑ from 0.9)

Key Matchup

There is no specific defender matchup data. His 4-game history vs this opponent is modest at 3.25 PPG, 2.75 RPG, and 0.25 APG, while the Hornets’ team defense profile is 112.43 defensive rating with a 100 pace.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	10	✓
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	79%HIGH	2/2	60%	7	✗
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Assists	1	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	1	✗
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	1	✓
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Steals	0.8	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	1	✓
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✓
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	40%	1	✗
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	100%	1	✓
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	PRA	16.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	18	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS14.5UNDER26%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA19.5OVER30%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PA4.5UNDER17%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

FTM2UNDER31%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

P+A16UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

FTA3UNDER33%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x6/2030%▼

AST1UNDER10%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

STL1UNDER6%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

P+R19UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼

3PM1UNDER34%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

REB4UNDER26%gbt_reboundsAvoid (6/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

Rebounds UNDER 4.5HIGH

This is the strongest value on the board, with pre-calculated UNDER edge at DraftKings and a season rebound average of 3.35. His recent 3.8 RPG is not enough to justify the over, especially against his 2.75 RPG in four games vs this opponent.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Grant Williams	2	5	0	0%	0%
Ryan Kalkbrenner	2	3	4	100%	100%
Moussa Diabaté	2	2	2	100%	100%
Sion James	2	1	0	0%	0%
Josh Green	2	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 12.568%MEDIUM

His season mean is 8.93 PPG, and the value data shows UNDER 12.5 with a 15.3% edge on DraftKings. The last 5 at 14.4 PPG is well above season pace, so a pullback is plausible even with the minutes boost.

reboundsUNDER 4.579%HIGH

Season rebound mean is 3.35 and the value props show UNDER 4.5 with a 16.9% edge at DraftKings. His last 5 is only 4.0 RPG, and his 4-game history vs this opponent is 2.75 RPG.

assistsUNDER 157%MEDIUM

He averages 0.95 assists for the season and 1.0 in his last 5, so this is close to a coin flip with limited ceiling. The standard deviation is high relative to the mean, keeping confidence modest.

threesUNDER 1.554%MEDIUM

He averages 1.02 threes per game for the season, but his last 5 is 1.8 and the 1.5 line is not a comfortable over given the over/under pricing is negative EV. The safer lean is under on a volatility-prone category.

stealsOVER 0.858%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 steals on the season and 1.4 over the last 5, with 1.1 over the last 10. That recent defensive activity makes the over viable despite modest season production.

blocksUNDER 0.563%MEDIUM

His season block rate is only 0.3 per game and 0.2 over the last 5. With such a low baseline, the under is the cleaner side.

stocksOVER 1.556%MEDIUM

He combines for 0.93 stocks per game on the season and 1.5 over the last 10, with 1.6 over the last 5. The recent uptick is real, though the category remains volatile.

turnoversUNDER 260%MEDIUM

He sits at 1.0 turnovers per game in his last 5 and 1.1 on the season, below a 2.0 line. Even with more minutes, his turnover profile has stayed manageable.

praUNDER 16.555%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 13.28, and combo props carry extra variance. The recent rise in scoring helps, but rebound and assist baselines keep the under attractive.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS