AI Model:

Elijah Harkless▲

UTA · PG

PPG

6.1

RPG

1.7

APG

2.5

L5 PPG

11.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+5.7

6.1

11.8

RPG+0.9

1.7

2.6

APG+1.3

2.5

3.8

SPG+0.2

1.0

1.2

BPG+0.3

0.1

0.4

OVER 6.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

6.5

DEN

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs DEN: 2 pts

PHI

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs PHI: 3 pts

WAS

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs WAS: 0 pts

MIL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MIL: 5 pts

GSW

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs GSW: 16 pts

NYK

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs NYK: 5 pts

POR

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs POR: 10 pts

SAC

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs SAC: 13 pts

MIN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs MIN: 8 pts

MIL

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs MIL: 23 pts

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 6.5

61%

REB

OVER 1.5

54%

AST

OVER 2.5

58%

3PM

OVER 0.5

55%

STL

OVER 0.5

56%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

83%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

63%

OVER 1.5

57%

PRA

OVER 10

52%

P+A

UNDER 8.5

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

10.1

4.4

RPG

1.4

1.7

APG

4.3

1.7

vs PHI (H2H)1 games

PPG

3.0

RPG

3.0

APG

0.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Nikola Jokić	1	8	92%	+49.8%	low
VJ Edgecombe	1	7	33%	-0.2%	low
Jeremiah Fears	2	5	21%	-19.2%	low
Ryan Rollins	2	5	75%

Expanded role at home gives Harkless a real scoring and assist path

Elijah Harkless is trending up, with his last 5 jumping to 11.8 PPG, 3.8 APG, and 28.8 MPG versus a season line of 6.1 PPG, 2.5 APG, and 18 MPG. The biggest boost is opportunity: Utah is missing Isaiah Collier, Keyonte George, and Lauri Markkanen, which should keep Harkless in a larger on-ball role. He also gets a favorable home split, where he averages 10.1 PPG and 4.3 APG compared to just 4.4 PPG and 1.7 APG away. The main caution is volatility and a prior head-to-head result of 3 points and 0 assists in 20 minutes, so the stronger play is tied more to role than history.

Stat Trends

PPG

11.8(↑ from 6.1)

APG

3.8(↑ from 2.5)

MPG

28.8(↑ from 18.0)

Key Matchup

There is no specific defender matchup data. Philadelphia has a 116.06 defensive rating and 100 pace, with opponent scoring suppression of 0.164, which leans slightly against big offensive ceilings.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Elijah Harkless▼	Points	6.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	15	✓
Elijah Harkless▼	Rebounds	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	4	✓
Elijah Harkless▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	5	✓
Elijah Harkless▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	1	✓
Elijah Harkless▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	5	✓
Elijah Harkless▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	83%HIGH	—	80%	1	✗
Elijah Harkless▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	50%	6	✗
Elijah Harkless▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✓
Elijah Harkless▼	PRA	10	OVER	52%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	24	✓
Elijah Harkless▼	P+A	8.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	20	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS9.5UNDER0%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (14/20)9/1850%▼

PRA16.5UNDER15%gbt_praDecent Leg (14/20)9/1850%▼

STL1.5UNDER15%gbt_stealsDecent Leg (12/20)9/1850%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

3PA4UNDER50%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)5/1828%▼

AST4UNDER6%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)7/1839%▼

R+A6.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)8/1844%▼

P+R11.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)10/1856%▼

P+A12.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)9/1850%▼

REB2.5OVER14%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 3x9/1850%▼

3PM1UNDER23%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)5/1828%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTM2UNDER36%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x6/1833%▼

FTA2UNDER11%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x8/1844%▼

Featured Pick

Elijah Harkless

Blocks UNDER 0.5HIGH

Harkless has a season blocks average of 0.1 and has only 0.4 over the last 5. That recent uptick does not outweigh the season baseline, making the under the cleanest and most stable angle on the board.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
VJ Edgecombe	1	7	4	33%	33%
Adem Bona	2	2	6	60%	60%
Quentin Grimes	1	2	6	100%	100%
Trendon Watford	1	1	2	50%	50%
Dominick Barlow	2	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 6.561%MEDIUM

His season mean is 6.1, but the absence-driven role increase and home split of 10.1 PPG support a modest over. Still, his season volume and 6.06 points std make this only a moderate-confidence play.

reboundsOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

He averages 1.7 rebounds on the season and 1.63 at home, with 2.6 over the last 5. The sample is volatile, so the edge is thin.

assistsOVER 2.558%MEDIUM

Utah's missing creators should keep the ball in his hands, and his home assist average is 4.3 with a last-5 mark of 3.8. The 2.52 season std is huge, so this remains a cautious over.

threesOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

He averages 0.81 threes per game on the season and 1.0 at home, with 1.3 over the last 5. The low threshold helps, but his 27% three-point shooting keeps confidence in check.

stealsOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

He averages 1.0 steals per game and 1.3 at home, which clears a 0.5 line comfortably on paper. Variance is still meaningful, but the floor is playable.

blocksUNDER 0.583%HIGH

His season average is just 0.1 blocks and his role does not suggest real rim-protection volume. Even with a recent bump to 0.4, the season baseline strongly favors the under.

stocksUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 stocks on the season and 1.63 at home, but the combined category is still below a typical 1.5 line. The recent trend is better, yet the season mean is not strong enough to force an over.

turnoversOVER 1.557%MEDIUM

His last 5 show 2.0 turnovers per game, and the expanded ball-handling role raises turnover chances. He has enough usage to threaten an over, though the season average is only 1.0.

praOVER 1052%MEDIUM

His recent production and expanded minutes can get him into double digits, but combo props carry more variance and his season baseline is only 10.3 PRA. This is playable, not strong.

paUNDER 8.560%MEDIUM

He averages 8.6 points plus assists on the season, so the line is right on the edge. Given the volatility and his 3.8 APG last 5 not fully offsetting a 6.1 PPG season mean, the under is slightly safer.

timelineOVER 6.5 PTS