AI Model:

John Konchar▲

UTA · SF

PPG

3.1

RPG

3.4

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

1.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.7

3.1

1.4

RPG+1.6

3.4

5.0

APG+0.7

1.5

2.2

SPG+0.6

1.4

2.0

BPG+0.1

0.5

0.6

UNDER 3 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

MEM

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs MEM: 6 pts

HOU

2026-02-23

2026-02-23 vs HOU: 5 pts

NOP

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs NOP: 4 pts

NOP

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs NOP: 3 pts

DEN

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs DEN: 6 pts

PHI

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs PHI: 0 pts

WAS

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs WAS: 0 pts

MIL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MIL: 2 pts

GSW

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs GSW: 2 pts

MIN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs MIN: 3 pts

Over 3

Under 3

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 3

70%

REB

OVER 3.5

66%

AST

OVER 1.5

58%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

74%

STL

OVER 1.5

64%

BLK

OVER 0.5

57%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

68%

OVER 1

55%

PRA

UNDER 8

63%

P+R

UNDER 6.5

61%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

3.4

2.9

RPG

4.6

3.8

APG

1.3

2.3

vs PHI (H2H)7 games

PPG

4.4

RPG

3.3

APG

0.9

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Reed Sheppard	3	7	69%	+3.1%	medium
Jeremiah Fears	6	6	42%	-8.4%	medium
Julian Reese	2	6	83%	+36.4%	low
Nikola Jokić	2	6	80%

Expanded role, but scoring remains fragile for Konchar

John Konchar is in a clear minutes-driven spot with key Utah absences creating extra opportunity, and his recent playing time has climbed to 24.7 MPG over the last 10. Still, the scoring profile is weak: he averages just 3.1 PPG on the season and 1.4 PPG over the last 5, with very limited three-point volume at 0.4 FG3M per game recently. The bigger fantasy value has come through rebounds, assists, and defensive stats, where his last-10 and last-20 production is notably stronger than his season baseline. Against Philadelphia, the matchup data does not provide a specific defender angle, so the edge comes more from role and opponent absence than from a targeted individual matchup.

Stat Trends

PPG

1.4(↓ from 3.1)

RPG

5.0(↑ from 3.4)

APG

2.2(↑ from 1.5)

Stocks

2.6(↑ from 1.9)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available. Philadelphia’s team defense data shows a 116.06 defensive rating, 100 pace, and 0.164 scoring suppression, so the overall environment is not especially favorable for easy scoring.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
John Konchar▼	Points	3	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	9	✗
John Konchar▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	5	✓
John Konchar▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	2	✓
John Konchar▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	—	70%	0	✓
John Konchar▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	1	✗
John Konchar▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✓
John Konchar▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	—	80%	2	✓
John Konchar▼	Turnovers	1	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
John Konchar▼	PRA	8	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	16	✗
John Konchar▼	P+R	6.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	14	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS5.5UNDER1%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

3PA2UNDER27%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

PRA11.5OVER9%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+R11.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

STL1.5UNDER14%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

R+A8UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

REB5UNDER16%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)7/2035%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

AST2.5OVER17%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

FTM0.5UNDER33%gbtAvoid (7/20)7/2035%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

FTA0.5UNDER20%gbtAvoid (7/20)7/2035%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

Featured Pick

John Konchar

Points UNDER 3.0HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because his scoring form is weak: 3.1 PPG on the season, 1.4 PPG over the last 5, and a recent string of low-output games. Even with extra minutes, his role has been much more useful for rebounds and stocks than for points.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Adem Bona	2	3	6	100%	100%
Jabari Walker	1	2	2	0%	0%
Trendon Watford	1	2	4	50%	50%
Andre Drummond	2	2	2	100%	100%
Cameron Payne	2	1	7	67%	83%

pointsUNDER 370%HIGH

His season mean is 3.09, but the last 5 games are only 1.4 PPG and he has recently produced 0, 0, 2, 2, and 3 points in several outings. With scoring volume this thin, the under is safer than chasing a modest line.

reboundsOVER 3.566%MEDIUM

He is at 3.4 RPG for the season, 4.4 RPG over the last 10, and 5.0 RPG over the last 5 while logging 24.7 MPG recently. Utah's absences support a bigger rebound load, and his home split rises to 4.6 RPG.

assistsOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 1.52 APG and the last 10 sits at 1.9 APG with 2.2 APG over the last 5. The volatility is high, but the increased minutes give him a reasonable path past a low assist line.

threesUNDER 0.574%HIGH

He averages only 0.39 made threes per game on the season and 0.4 over the last 10, with just 0.3 over the last 20. The low 3-point volume makes the under the stronger side.

stealsOVER 1.564%MEDIUM

He averages 1.4 steals per game on the season and 2.4 over the last 10, with 2.0 over the last 20. That defensive activity is strong enough to clear a modest line if minutes stay elevated.

blocksOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He averages 0.5 blocks per game on the season and 0.7 over the last 10. The rate is not huge, but it is enough to justify a cautious over at a low line.

stocksOVER 1.568%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.9 and the last 10 jumps to 3.1, with 2.9 over the last 20. The combination of steals and blocks gives him a solid path to clear 1.5.

turnoversOVER 155%MEDIUM

He is at 0.9 turnovers per game on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, while recent minutes have increased. With more on-ball time, 1 turnover is very reachable.

praUNDER 863%MEDIUM

His season production projects to a low composite baseline: 3.1 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 1.5 assists. Even with recent minutes growth, the scoring drag makes 8.0 a reasonable under.

prUNDER 6.561%MEDIUM

He averages 3.1 points and 3.4 rebounds, so this line needs a strong rebound game plus at least average scoring. Recent scoring has been too weak to trust the over.

timelineUNDER 3 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Expanded role, but scoring remains fragile for Konchar

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 3 PTS