Low-usage, low-ceiling profile keeps Jones tilted to the under

His season mean is 5.9 points and his last 10 is 5.1, both below the 7.5 line. The last 5 spike to 7.4 is not enough to override the down-trend, and the 5.68 season standard deviation suggests volatility rather than reliable over support.

He averages 3.3 rebounds on the season and 3.7 over the last 10, both short of 4.5. Even with 4.0 rebounds in the last 5, the market is still above his typical production.

He averages 0.9 assists for the season and 0.8 over the last 10, so 0.5 is a low bar. This is one of the few props where the season baseline clearly supports the over.

He averages 0.9 steals on the season and 0.6 over the last 10, so the line is reachable but not automatic. The recent range is noisy, so confidence stays modest.

He averages 0.5 blocks on the season and 0.5 over the last 10, making this essentially a coin-flip line. The volatility keeps the confidence capped.

His season average is 1.32 stocks and his last 10 is 1.1, both below 1.5. Since this is a combo stat with added variance, the under is the more conservative side.

He averages 6.8 points plus assists on the season and 5.9 over the last 10, both below 8.5. The line asks for a meaningful scoring or passing jump that his role has not shown consistently.

His season points-plus-rebounds average is 9.2, and his last 10 is 8.8, both under the line. That makes 11.5 a clear stretch unless he greatly exceeds recent usage.