AI Model:

Tim Hardaway Jr.▲

DEN · PF

PPG

14.1

RPG

2.6

APG

1.4

L5 PPG

12.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.3

14.1

12.8

RPG0.0

2.6

APG+0.6

1.4

2.0

SPG+0.3

0.5

0.8

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

13.5

UTA

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs UTA: 7 pts

LAL

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs LAL: 14 pts

NYK

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs NYK: 6 pts

OKC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs OKC: 28 pts

HOU

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs HOU: 14 pts

SAS

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs SAS: 1 pts

LAL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs LAL: 20 pts

PHI

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs PHI: 9 pts

MEM

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs MEM: 11 pts

TOR

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs TOR: 23 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5STAKE

58%

REB

OVER 2.5STAKE

56%

AST

OVER 1.5STAKE

54%

3PM

OVER 2.5

57%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

50%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1

64%

OVER 1

55%

P+A

UNDER 14.5STAKE

57%

P+R

UNDER 16.5STAKE

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.4

14.0

RPG

2.8

2.6

APG

1.2

1.5

vs POR (H2H)14 games

PPG

17.0

RPG

3.2

APG

1.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Amen Thompson	4	16	43%	-2.2%	medium
Donte DiVincenzo	4	15	45%	-5.1%	medium
Klay Thompson	3	12	100%	+21.6%	medium
Jaden McDaniels	4	11	65%

Hardaway Jr. carries a steady scoring floor, but the current number leaves little room for upside

Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 14.1 PPG on the season and 14.2 PPG over his last 20, with his recent 13.3 PPG last 10 and 12.8 PPG last 5 showing a mild dip. His points line sits at 13.5, which is close to his season average, but his recent minutes have been a bit lower at 25.7 MPG versus 27.2 MPG on the year. The matchup is not a major deterrent from a pace or defense standpoint, but his 17.0 PPG average in 14 games vs this opponent is higher than his current form, so the split points more toward a modest scoring outlook than a spike.

Stat Trends

PPG

12.8(↓ from 14.1)

RPG

2.6(→ from 2.6)

APG

2.0(↑ from 1.4)

3PM

3.1(↑ from 2.9)

Key Matchup

Opponent defense data shows a 117.19 defensive rating, pace of 100, and 0.804 three suppression, while his key defender data is available for three opponents with no specific defender matchup data indicating a clear shutdown assignment. He has averaged 17.0 PPG in 14 games vs this opponent, which is better than his season pace, but the current scoring line is still close to his recent form.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	6	✓
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	4	✓
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	1	✗
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	1	✗
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	50%MEDIUM	—	30%	0	✗
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	STL+BLK	1	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	90%	0	✓
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	Turnovers	1	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	30%	0	✗
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	P+A	14.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	7	✓
Tim Hardaway Jr.▼	P+R	16.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	10	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS12.5UNDER14%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

PRA16.5UNDER18%gbt_praDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

R+A4UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (13/20)6/2030%▼

3PA6.5UNDER21%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

FTM1.5UNDER27%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

P+R15OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

P+A13.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

REB2OVER18%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

AST1UNDER1%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

3PM2UNDER20%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA2UNDER14%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Points UNDER 13.5MEDIUM

His season average is 14.1, but the last 5 games are down to 12.8 and the last 10 to 13.3, which aligns more with the under. The recent minutes dip to 25.7 MPG also reduces margin for an over, making the under the cleaner side at this exact line.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jrue Holiday	4	6	5	33%	42%
Kris Murray	4	5	0	0%	0%
Matisse Thybulle	3	4	3	50%	75%
Toumani Camara	3	3	0	0%	0%
Deni Avdija	4	3	6	67%	67%

pointsUNDER 13.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 14.06, but the last 5 is down to 12.8 and last 10 is 13.3, so the current form is slightly below this line. With recent minutes at 25.7 MPG and no strong edge signal from the provided data, the under is the more conservative play.

reboundsOVER 2.556%MEDIUM

He averages 2.61 rebounds for the season and 2.7 over the last 10, which sits just above the line. The role is stable enough for a slight lean over, though the margin is thin.

assistsOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 1.38, but the last 5 is 2.0 and last 10 is 1.5, showing a small recent uptick. The over is playable, but the baseline is still modest and the variance is high.

threesOVER 2.557%MEDIUM

He averages 2.88 made threes on the season and 3.1 over the last 10, both above this projected line. Recent volume is solid at 3.1 FG3A per game over the last 10, supporting a slight over lean.

stealsOVER 0.550%MEDIUM

He averages 0.5 steals on the season and 0.8 over the last 5, so he is live to clear a 0.5 line. The profile is volatile, so this stays low confidence.

stocksUNDER 164%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 0.64 and last 10 is 0.4, both well below 1.0. With blocks at 0.1 season and 0.0 recently, this line is too high relative to his typical production.

turnoversOVER 155%MEDIUM

He has averaged 0.9 turnovers over his last 20 and 1.1 over his last 10, which puts him near this projected mark. The recent game logs include multiple 1-2 turnover outings, making this a reasonable lean over.

paUNDER 14.557%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists profile is driven mostly by scoring, but assists remain low at 1.38 on the year. With points trending slightly down and no large assist spike in the data, the under is the safer side.

prUNDER 16.560%MEDIUM

Season points plus rebounds is about 16.67, but recent scoring softness and just 2.6 rebounds per game make this a tight number. Because combo props carry extra variance, the under gets the edge at this price.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS