Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 4 | 33 | 59% | +10.5% | medium |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 4 | 24 | 69% | +21.5% | medium |
| Stephen Curry | 4 | 21 | 61% | +3.4% | medium |
| Jaylen Brown | 2 | 21 | 68% |
Toumani Camara is playing heavy minutes at 33.3 MPG on the season, but his scoring has cooled to 10.6 PPG over the last 5 and 10.5 over the last 10, both below his 12.6 season average. The best available points market sits at 13.5, and value data heavily favors the UNDER there, while his rebounding and assist profiles remain steadier relative to shorter-term form. With teammate absences including Caleb Love, Damian Lillard, and Shaedon Sharpe, usage context is important, but the data still supports caution on points and more modest confidence on combo props.
The provided opponent defense data shows a 116.74 defensive rating, 100 pace, 0.323 scoring suppression, and -0.986 three suppression. Key defender data exists, but it does not specify a defender matchup for Toumani Camara, so there is no specific defender matchup data to target.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Toumani Camara▼ | Points | 13.5 | UNDER | 82%HIGH | 2/2 | 70% | 16 | ✗ |
Toumani Camara▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 5 | ✓ |
Toumani Camara▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 2 | ✓ |
Toumani Camara▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 4 | ✗ |
Toumani Camara▼ | Steals | 1.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Toumani Camara▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 0 | ✗ |
Toumani Camara▼ | P+A | 15.5 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 18 | ✗ |
This is the clearest edge in the data: his season scoring average is 12.63, his last 5 are 10.6, and multiple books price the under favorably at 13.5. The value data backs it up with a strong edge and positive EV, making this the most reliable play.
| low |
| Anthony Edwards | 3 | 21 | 56% | +1.8% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 4 | 17 | 23 | 59% | 68% |
| Nikola Jokić | 4 | 9 | 15 | 75% | 75% |
| Aaron Gordon | 3 | 4 | 5 | 50% | 50% |
| Christian Braun | 4 | 4 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Cameron Johnson | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 12.63 PPG, and his last 5 are down to 10.6. The value props data shows the UNDER at 13.5 with strong support, including a 0.188 best edge on DraftKings and 33.56 EV per 100.
He averages 5.21 rebounds per game on the season and 4.7 over the last 10, which sits close to the 4.5 line. The rebound market shows a modest positive edge, but the variance is enough to keep confidence only moderate.
Camara's season average is 2.47 assists and his recent mean is 2.3, both slightly below the 2.5 line. With no strong recent spike and only a small edge on the over, the under is the safer side.
He averages 2.43 made threes on the season, but that drops to 1.8 over the last 5 and 1.8 over the last 10. The recent trend supports an under lean against a 2.5 line.
He averages 1.1 steals on the season and 1.4 over the last 10, but the 1.5 line is still above his baseline. The under is preferred because the market implies a lower hit rate and the stat remains volatile.
He averages 1.5 stocks on the season and 1.8 over the last 10, which supports a small over lean. Confidence stays modest because stocks are naturally high-variance.
His points plus assists profile is not strong enough to clear 15.5 comfortably given 12.63 PPG and 2.47 APG season averages. Combo props are higher-variance, so the under is the conservative call.