AI Model:

Toumani Camara▲

POR · SG

PPG

12.6

RPG

5.2

APG

2.5

L5 PPG

10.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-2.0

12.6

10.6

RPG-2.0

5.2

3.2

APG-0.3

2.5

2.2

SPG+0.1

1.1

1.2

BPG0.0

0.4

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

13.5

ATL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ATL: 9 pts

MEM

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MEM: 9 pts

HOU

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs HOU: 16 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 7 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 11 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 5 pts

PHI

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs PHI: 7 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 18 pts

IND

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs IND: 17 pts

MIN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs MIN: 6 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

82%

REB

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

AST

UNDER 2.5BETONLINEAG

55%

3PM

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

STL

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

61%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

54%

P+A

UNDER 15.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.1

RPG

4.9

5.3

APG

2.4

2.2

vs DEN (H2H)10 games

PPG

11.5

RPG

4.6

APG

2.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kevin Durant	4	33	59%	+10.5%	medium
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	4	24	69%	+21.5%	medium
Stephen Curry	4	21	61%	+3.4%	medium
Jaylen Brown	2	21	68%

Points volatility points to an under, while peripheral stats hold some value

Toumani Camara is playing heavy minutes at 33.3 MPG on the season, but his scoring has cooled to 10.6 PPG over the last 5 and 10.5 over the last 10, both below his 12.6 season average. The best available points market sits at 13.5, and value data heavily favors the UNDER there, while his rebounding and assist profiles remain steadier relative to shorter-term form. With teammate absences including Caleb Love, Damian Lillard, and Shaedon Sharpe, usage context is important, but the data still supports caution on points and more modest confidence on combo props.

Stat Trends

PPG

10.6(↓ from 12.6)

RPG

3.2(↓ from 5.2)

APG

2.2(↓ from 2.5)

Stocks

1.6(→ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

The provided opponent defense data shows a 116.74 defensive rating, 100 pace, 0.323 scoring suppression, and -0.986 three suppression. Key defender data exists, but it does not specify a defender matchup for Toumani Camara, so there is no specific defender matchup data to target.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Toumani Camara▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	82%HIGH	2/2	70%	16	✗
Toumani Camara▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	5	✓
Toumani Camara▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	2	✓
Toumani Camara▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	4	✗
Toumani Camara▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	0	✓
Toumani Camara▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
Toumani Camara▼	P+A	15.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	18	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A16.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼

P+R19.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Toumani Camara

Points UNDER 13.5HIGH

This is the clearest edge in the data: his season scoring average is 12.63, his last 5 are 10.6, and multiple books price the under favorably at 13.5. The value data backs it up with a strong edge and positive EV, making this the most reliable play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jamal Murray	4	17	23	59%	68%
Nikola Jokić	4	9	15	75%	75%
Aaron Gordon	3	4	5	50%	50%
Christian Braun	4	4	2	33%	33%
Cameron Johnson	4	3	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 13.582%HIGH

His season mean is 12.63 PPG, and his last 5 are down to 10.6. The value props data shows the UNDER at 13.5 with strong support, including a 0.188 best edge on DraftKings and 33.56 EV per 100.

reboundsOVER 4.558%MEDIUM

He averages 5.21 rebounds per game on the season and 4.7 over the last 10, which sits close to the 4.5 line. The rebound market shows a modest positive edge, but the variance is enough to keep confidence only moderate.

assistsUNDER 2.555%MEDIUM

Camara's season average is 2.47 assists and his recent mean is 2.3, both slightly below the 2.5 line. With no strong recent spike and only a small edge on the over, the under is the safer side.

threesUNDER 2.557%MEDIUM

He averages 2.43 made threes on the season, but that drops to 1.8 over the last 5 and 1.8 over the last 10. The recent trend supports an under lean against a 2.5 line.

stealsUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 steals on the season and 1.4 over the last 10, but the 1.5 line is still above his baseline. The under is preferred because the market implies a lower hit rate and the stat remains volatile.

stocksOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

He averages 1.5 stocks on the season and 1.8 over the last 10, which supports a small over lean. Confidence stays modest because stocks are naturally high-variance.

paUNDER 15.556%MEDIUM

His points plus assists profile is not strong enough to clear 15.5 comfortably given 12.63 PPG and 2.47 APG season averages. Combo props are higher-variance, so the under is the conservative call.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS