sports_basketball

Nightly Hoops

PredictionsLineupsOddsModelsRecapsPlayers
search
sports_basketballNightly Hoops
PredictionsRecapsPlayers
Privacy PolicyTerms of ServiceContact© 2025 Nightly Hoops AI.
NightlyHoops/Predictions/2026-03-22
chevron_leftSat, Mar 21
Sun, Mar 22
Mon, Mar 23chevron_right
NBA Slate

Sunday, March 22, 2026

5 games · 20 tracked props · 543 graded picks

Slate Result
55%
297-246
Board View
NightlyHoops Board

The NightlyHoops board is the clean default. Alternative sources can be useful, but some will miss games or publish thinner slates.

Compare model accuracy →
Default Board
Compare alternative source boards
Slate Read

Tonight’s 5-game slate is driven by rest edges, injuries, and a few rotation-driven prop spots rather than pure star-chasing. Boston-Minnesota is the headline matchup, while Washington and Brooklyn/Sacramento offer the cleanest under looks thanks to thin rotations and volatile minutes. Portland-Denver and Toronto-Phoenix add subtle fatigue and usage angles that could shape the late-night board.

Game Board

Each matchup card shows the strongest props for that game first. Open a card for the full preview.

BKN@SAC
Board Readyscheduled

Open this matchup to read the full game preview and reasoning.

Top Props
Josh Minott
Points 11.5
UNDER70%
Malik Monk
Points 13.5
UNDER66%Miss
Precious Achiuwa
Rebounds 8.5
UNDER

Featured Props

Deni Avdija
Points UNDER 24.5HIGH

His season scoring sits slightly below the line and his recent production has cooled well under it, giving the under the best value profile in the game.

Killian Hayes
Points UNDER 13.5HIGH

Hayes has been nowhere near this number on the season, and even his recent bump still leaves plenty of room for the under to cash.

Will Riley
Points UNDER 12.5HIGH

Riley’s season baseline is far below the line, making this a strong fade even with Washington’s injuries pushing extra usage around.

Parlay of the Day

Deni Avdija — Points UNDER 24.5Leg 1
Killian Hayes — Points UNDER 13.5Leg 2
Full Prop Board

Use this when you want the entire slate in one sortable table.

20 picks
Filter:
PlayerPropLinePickConfidenceTrendEdgeActualResult
Deni Avdija▼
POR
Points24.5fanduelUNDER83%HIGH70%+27.2%23✓
Will Riley▼
WAS
Points12.5betmgmUNDER77%HIGH30%+26.0%11✓
Tristan Vukcevic▼
WAS
Rebounds4.5fanduelUNDER74%HIGH70%+22.5%1✓
Jalen Brunson▼
NYK
Points24.5fanduelOVER74%MEDIUM50%+18.1%23✗
Tristan Vukcevic▼
WAS
Points11.5draftkingsUNDER73%HIGH70%+19.8%13✗
Josh Minott▼
BKN
Points11.5draftkingsUNDER70%MEDIUM70%+19.0%——
Jaylen Brown▼
BOS
Points25.5fanduelOVER69%HIGH50%+11.0%29✓
Julius Randle▼
MIN
Rebounds6.5fanaticsOVER68%HIGH60%+9.1%9✓
Donovan Clingan▼
POR
Points13.5fanduelUNDER67%HIGH40%+12.4%18✗
Malik Monk▼
SAC
Points13.5fanduelUNDER66%HIGH70%+6.6%32✗
Karl-Anthony Towns▼
NYK
Points22.5fanduelOVER66%MEDIUM30%+15.2%26✓
Precious Achiuwa▼
SAC
Rebounds8.5draftkingsUNDER65%HIGH40%+10.8%15✗
Rudy Gobert▼
MIN
Rebounds11.5bovadaOVER62%MEDIUM60%+7.0%14✓
DeMar DeRozan▼
SAC
3PM1.5draftkingsOVER61%HIGH0%+19.5%0✗
Ayo Dosunmu▼
MIN
Points16.5draftkingsOVER61%MEDIUM40%+4.2%17✓
Killian Hayes▼
SAC
Points13.5draftkingsUNDER60%HIGH90%+25.9%2✓
Christian Braun▼
DEN
Points11.5fanduelOVER58%MEDIUM50%+6.6%15✓
Aaron Gordon▼
DEN
Rebounds5.5fanduelOVER56%MEDIUM40%+6.2%3✗
Derrick White▼
BOS
Points16.5draftkingsOVER55%LOW60%+4.2%15✗
Jrue Holiday▼
POR
Assists6.5fanduelOVER50%MEDIUM50%+0.7%3✗

Results & Analysis

54.7%297/543 picks hit
HIGH65%
51/79
LOW100%
2/2
MEDIUM53%
244/462
OVER47%
104/221
UNDER60%
193/322

Why Picks Missed

Lessons for Tomorrow

  • -Treat recent role changes as potentially real until proven otherwise, not as automatic regression candidates.
  • -Lower confidence on props for fringe rotation players because their outcomes are dominated by minutes volatility and game-script noise.
  • -Use pace and lineup context as first-class inputs for points/assists/rebounds instead of relying mainly on season averages and opponent defensive rating.

Game Recaps

BKN122
@
SAC126
Final

Monk drops 32 as Kings survive Nets’ late push, 126-122

comebackupset
Malik Monk 32p/2r/6aBen Saraf 22p/3r/5a
MIN102
@
BOS92
Final

Minnesota Blows Open 4th to Stun Boston in TD Garden

upsetblowout
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.
65%
Miss
DeMar DeRozan
3PM 1.5
OVER61%Miss
Killian Hayes
Points 13.5
UNDER60%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
MIN@BOS
Board Readyscheduled

Open this matchup to read the full game preview and reasoning.

Top Props
Jaylen Brown
Points 25.5
OVER69%Hit
Julius Randle
Rebounds 6.5
OVER68%Hit
Rudy Gobert
Rebounds 11.5
OVER62%Hit
Ayo Dosunmu
Points 16.5
OVER61%Hit
Derrick White
Points 16.5
OVER55%Miss
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
POR@DEN
Board Readyscheduled

Open this matchup to read the full game preview and reasoning.

Top Props
Deni Avdija
Points 24.5
UNDER83%Hit
Donovan Clingan
Points 13.5
UNDER67%Miss
Christian Braun
Points 11.5
OVER58%Hit
Aaron Gordon
Rebounds 5.5
OVER56%Miss
Jrue Holiday
Assists 6.5
OVER50%Miss
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
TOR@PHX
Board Readyscheduled

Open this matchup to read the full game preview and reasoning.

No published props on this game yet.
Waiting on full boardShow More →
WAS@NYK
Board Readyscheduled

Open this matchup to read the full game preview and reasoning.

Top Props
Will Riley
Points 12.5
UNDER77%Hit
Tristan Vukcevic
Rebounds 4.5
UNDER74%Hit
Jalen Brunson
Points 24.5
OVER74%Miss
Tristan Vukcevic
Points 11.5
UNDER73%Miss
Karl-Anthony Towns
Points 22.5
OVER66%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
Jaylen Brown — Points OVER 25.5Leg 3

This trio blends two of the slate’s strongest regression-based unders with one high-end scoring over from the best game environment. The unders benefit from shaky role stability and inflated lines, while Brown’s over is supported by elite usage in a playoff-feel matchup.

Jaylen Brown
29p/7r/4a
Bones Hyland 23p/3r/3a
POR112
@
DEN128
Final

Jokić’s Triple-Double, Denver’s Third-Quarter Surge Sink Portland

Nikola Jokić 22p/14r/14aDeni Avdija 23p/6r/14a
TOR98
@
PHX120
Final

Booker, Green Set the Tone as Phoenix Blasts Toronto 120-98

blowoutupset
Devin Booker 25p/3r/6aJalen Green 20p/3r/7a
WAS113
@
NYK145
Final

Towns and Hardy Torch Wizards as Knicks Race to 145

blowout
Karl-Anthony Towns 26p/16r/3aJaden Hardy 25p/3r/1a