Expanded role boosts counting stats, but rebounding line still looks inflated

His season mean is 9.1 PPG and even with the recent rise to 14.6 PPG over the last 5, the over-bias warning and regression risk make the 12.5 line less attractive. The best available value data also shows the under as the preferred side at this number.

He averages 3.5 RPG on the season and 3.8 RPG over the last 5, well below 5.5. Value data is strongly aligned with the under, and his recent rebound spike is not enough to justify the higher line.

He is at 1.0 APG for the season and 0.8 APG over the last 5, with no strong assist spike despite the extra minutes. The stat profile stays modest and the recent trend is not strong enough to push an over.

He averages 1.02 threes per game on the season and 1.8 over the last 5, but the recent jump is volatile and the available line data does not provide a positive edge on the over. With season mean close to the line, the safer side is under.

He has 0.93 stocks per game on the season and 1.6 over the last 10, with a 1.8 home stocks average. That gives him a reasonable path to clear a sub-1.0 projection, though the variance keeps confidence moderate.

His season scoring and rebounding averages sum to 12.6 PR, and even recent form is not consistently above 18.5. Combo props are higher variance, so the under is the conservative call.