AI Model:

Karl-Anthony Towns▲

NYK · C

PPG

20.2

RPG

12.0

APG

2.9

L5 PPG

22.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.2

20.2

22.4

RPG+0.2

12.0

12.2

APG+0.1

2.9

3.0

SPG+0.3

0.9

1.2

BPG-0.2

0.6

0.4

OVER 19.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

19.5

TOR

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs TOR: 21 pts

OKC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs OKC: 17 pts

DEN

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DEN: 17 pts

LAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs LAL: 25 pts

LAC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs LAC: 35 pts

UTA

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs UTA: 21 pts

GSW

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs GSW: 17 pts

IND

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs IND: 22 pts

BKN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs BKN: 26 pts

WAS

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs WAS: 26 pts

Over 19.5

Under 19.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 19.5STAKE

71%

REB

UNDER 12.5STAKE

63%

AST

OVER 2.5STAKE

58%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

69%

BLK

OVER 0.5STAKE

55%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

60%

OVER 2.5

57%

PRA

UNDER 35.5

61%

P+A

UNDER 23

58%

P+R

UNDER 32.5STAKE

59%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

20.7

21.5

RPG

12.7

11.5

APG

2.0

3.3

vs NOP (H2H)14 games

PPG

22.4

RPG

9.5

APG

3.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kel'el Ware	4	21	79%	+14.4%	medium
Nic Claxton	4	19	18%	-31.7%	medium
Wendell Carter Jr.	3	19	80%	+20.1%	medium
Neemias Queta	3	16	67%

Towns’ rebound floor is strong, but the scoring line is a little tighter than the recent surge

Karl-Anthony Towns enters this matchup in solid form, averaging 22.7 points and 13.1 rebounds over his last 10 games versus a season line of 20.2 points and 12.0 rebounds. His home split is steady at 20.7 points and 12.7 rebounds in 9 games, while his recent production suggests the glass remains his safest category. The matchup environment is decent for offense: New Orleans owns a 119.15 defensive rating, but Towns' season scoring against them sits at 22.36 points in 14 games, which is not far above his current line. With multiple Knicks teammates out, his usage should remain secure, though the recent scoring bump looks a bit inflated relative to his season baseline.

Stat Trends

PPG

22.4(↑ from 20.2)

RPG

12.2(→ from 12.0)

APG

3.0(→ from 2.9)

Key Matchup

New Orleans has a 119.15 defensive rating and a pace of 100, while Towns has averaged 22.36 points and 9.5 rebounds in 14 games versus this opponent. The provided key defender data does not give a clean one-on-one edge, so there is no specific defender matchup data beyond the team-level numbers.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	Points	19.5	OVER	71%HIGH	2/2	70%		21	✓
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	Rebounds	12.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	50%		14	✗
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	40%		1	✗
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	1/2	70%		2	✗
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	50%	FLIP	0	✗
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	60%		0	✓
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	Turnovers	2.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	40%		2	✗
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	PRA	35.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	34.5→35.5	36	✗
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	P+A	23	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	22.5→23	22	✓
Karl-Anthony Towns▼	P+R	32.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	FLIP	35	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R32.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

P+A23.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x11/2055%▼

PTS21UNDER41%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

AST2OVER8%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 3x7/2035%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

3PM1UNDER37%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PA3.5UNDER20%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA35UNDER20%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

REB12UNDER26%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

R+A15.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

FTM3UNDER31%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼

FTA4UNDER20%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Karl-Anthony Towns

Points OVER 19.5HIGH

This is the most straightforward number on the board because his season scoring average is 20.2 and his last 10 is 22.7. Even with some regression risk from the hotter recent stretch, the line still sits below both his seasonal baseline and his historical output against New Orleans.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Derik Queen	2	5	2	33%	33%
Kevon Looney	1	4	0	0%	0%
Yves Missi	1	1	0	0%	0%
Zion Williamson	1	1	13	80%	80%
Herbert Jones	1	1	4	67%	67%

pointsOVER 19.571%HIGH

He averages 20.2 points on the season and 22.7 over the last 10, so this line sits below both baselines. The recent form is above season pace, but the cushion is still enough to like the over.

reboundsUNDER 12.563%MEDIUM

His season rebound average is 12.0 and his home average is 12.7, so 12.5 is right in the middle of the range. With the over priced around the number and the under slightly favored in the market, this is the more conservative side.

assistsOVER 2.558%MEDIUM

He is averaging 2.9 assists on the season and 3.3 over the last 10, with a 3.0 home split. The variance is moderate, but the line is still a touch low versus his typical output.

threesUNDER 1.569%MEDIUM

He averages 1.55 threes per game on the season and 1.3 over the last 10, which makes a 1.5 line fairly tight. Given the recent dip in made threes, the under has the cleaner profile.

blocksOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 blocks per game on the season, so any 0.5 line is a modest over candidate. The recent block rate is lower at 0.4 over the last 5, which keeps confidence modest.

stocksUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.46, and recent stocks are 1.4, both just under the threshold. That makes the under slightly preferable on a 1.5 projection.

turnoversOVER 2.557%MEDIUM

He is averaging 2.4 turnovers over his last 5 and 2.5 over his last 20, indicating this is a live over area. The data shows enough ball usage for turnover risk to remain elevated.

praUNDER 35.561%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 35.1, so a 35.5 projection is slightly above baseline. Combo props carry more variance, so the slight lean is to the under.

paUNDER 2358%MEDIUM

Season points plus assists comes out to 23.1, which is nearly identical to the projected number. With little margin and combo volatility, the under is the safer side.

prUNDER 32.559%MEDIUM

He averages 32.2 points plus rebounds on the season, so this line is just above his mean. Recent production is higher, but not enough to create a strong over edge.

timelineOVER 19.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Towns’ rebound floor is strong, but the scoring line is a little tighter than the recent surge

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

OVER 19.5 PTS