New Orleans Pelicans vs New York Knicks — Predictions & Player Props

AI Model:

NOP

New Orleans Pelicans

25-47 | L10: 6-4

NYK

New York Knicks

47-25 | L10: 7-3

2026-03-24

Version History

2 versions

ML Game Intelligence

MEDIUM

NOP44%

56%NYK

NOP97-93NYK

Key Factors

*Knicks without Miles McBride (12.9 PPG) - out ()
*Knicks without Landry Shamet (9.6 PPG) - out (Knee)
*Pelicans without Bryce McGowens (8.1 PPG) - out (Toe)
*Knicks outscores opponents by +5.6 PPG vs Pelicans's -7.5
*Knicks (67% win rate) is 42% better than Pelicans (24%)

Key Matchup

Pelicans has matchup advantages

NOP Advantages

+ Positional advantages
+ Better roster depth

Key Defensive Matchups

NOP Players

Dejounte Murray

Jalen Brunson1g · 6m+0.0%40% eFGlow

Josh Hart1g · 2m+0.0%33% eFGlow

Mikal Bridges1g · 1m+0.0%0% eFGlow

Zion Williamson

OG Anunoby1g · 6m+0.0%67% eFGlow

Karl-Anthony Towns2g · 3m+0.0%75% eFGlow

New York enters at 47-25 and on a 6-game winning streak, while New Orleans is 25-47 but has gone 6-4 over its last 10. The Knicks are home with 2 days rest and the Pelicans are on 3 days rest, so both sides are relatively fresh, but New York’s recent momentum and home court make this a tougher spot for New Orleans. The biggest edge in this matchup comes from the absences on both sides, with New York missing multiple rotation pieces and New Orleans relying heavily on its top usage players.

Team Comparison

NOPNYK

Key Players

Brunson is still producing at a star level with 26.1 PPG, 6.6 APG on the season, but his last 10 is down to 23.0 PPG even as his assist volume has climbed to 9.3 APG. He has averaged 19.333333333333332 PPG, 2.5833333333333335 RPG, and 5.833333333333333 APG in 12 games vs New Orleans, so the matchup history is strong but not a pure ceiling spot.

ProjectedPTS: 17.3-23.9-30.5REB: 0.2-3.2-6.2AST: 4.6-7-9.4

Towns is trending up with 22.4 PPG and 12.2 RPG over his last 5, both above his season norms of 20.2 and 12.0. His recent rebounding and scoring form is strong enough to keep him in play against a Pelicans team allowing him to impact the glass and the paint, but the variance in his scoring still matters.

ProjectedPTS: 12.9-19.5-26.1REB: 9.1-12.1-15.1AST: 0.5-2.9-5.3

Hart’s last 5 has jumped to 15.2 PPG, 8.8 RPG, and 3.8 APG, well above his 12.2/7.6/5.0 season line. He also has home production of 13.8 PPG, 8.0 RPG, and 5.1 APG, making his rebound-based props especially interesting in a game with multiple available creators around him.

ProjectedPTS: 5.8-12.4-19REB: 5.1-8.1-11.1AST: 2.1-4.5-6.9

Anunoby’s season scoring sits at 16.7 PPG, but his last 10 is 19.7 PPG and his last 5 is 18.0 PPG, so he’s slightly above baseline despite the down trend label. The concern is volatility: his 7.04 season std on points and recent 9-point dud show that his output can swing sharply even with steady minutes around 33.

Prop Picks

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Evolution	Edge	Actual	Result
Josh Hart▼ NYK	Rebounds	7.5stake	OVER	58%MEDIUM	40%		+7.9%	8	✓
Zion Williamson▼ NOP	Points	24.5stake	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	80%		+8.1%	22	✓
Karl-Anthony Towns▼ NYK	Rebounds	12.5stake	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	50%	—	+4.3%	14	✗
OG Anunoby▼ NYK	Points	15.5stake	OVER	59%MEDIUM	70%	—	+6.9%	21	✓
Trey Murphy III▼ NOP	3PM	3.5stake	UNDER	67%HIGH	40%	—	+13.6%	4	✗

Model Comparison

5 models · 11 props compared

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Props Shown

11 total on slate

Models

1 game view

Unanimous

Full agreement across submitted picks

Featured Picks

Trey Murphy III

Threes UNDER 3.5HIGH

His season average of 3.3 and recent average of 3.6 sit close to the line, but the under holds the stronger statistical edge with lower exposure to a hot shooting spike than the over.

Zion Williamson

Points UNDER 24.5MEDIUM

Zion’s 21.35 season points and 20.7 recent points are both below 24.5, so the under is supported by both baseline and recent form.

Josh Hart

Rebounds OVER 7.5MEDIUM

Hart’s 7.6 season RPG and 8.8 last-5 RPG both clear the number, and his role at home supports the rebound floor.

Parlay of the Game

Trey Murphy III — Threes UNDER 3.5Leg 1

Zion Williamson — Points UNDER 24.5Leg 2

Josh Hart — Rebounds OVER 7.5Leg 3

The two unders lean on lines that are a bit aggressive versus season baselines, while Hart’s rebound over benefits from his current production spike. This gives a balanced 3-leg build without stacking too much correlation from one scorer.

Injury & Lineup Notes

New York is missing Landry Shamet, Miles McBride, and Tosan Evbuomwan, with Guerschon Yabusele doubtful. New Orleans lists Bryce McGowens, Hunter Dickinson, and Trey Alexander as out, which slightly thins depth but does not materially change the top-end usage for the featured starters.