AI Model:

Saddiq Bey▲

NOP · SF

PPG

17.4

RPG

5.7

APG

2.6

L5 PPG

18.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.0

17.4

18.4

RPG-0.3

5.7

5.4

APG+1.0

2.6

3.6

SPG+0.3

0.9

1.2

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

UNDER 17.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

17.5

LAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs LAL: 18 pts

SAC

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAC: 20 pts

PHX

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs PHX: 19 pts

WAS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs WAS: 23 pts

TOR

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs TOR: 9 pts

HOU

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs HOU: 5 pts

DAL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs DAL: 23 pts

LAC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAC: 25 pts

LAC

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs LAC: 20 pts

CLE

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs CLE: 19 pts

Over 17.5

Under 17.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 17.5STAKE

64%

REB

OVER 5.5STAKE

58%

AST

OVER 2.5STAKE

56%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

60%

P+R

UNDER 23.5STAKE

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.6

21.6

RPG

5.9

5.0

APG

3.1

2.9

vs NYK (H2H)15 games

PPG

15.1

RPG

4.5

APG

1.9

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Dillon Brooks	3	14	40%	-5.1%	medium
Julius Randle	3	14	55%	+4.9%	medium
Rui Hachimura	3	13	0%	-45.1%	medium
P.J. Washington	4	12	93%

Saddiq Bey’s scoring floor looks solid, but the Knicks matchup keeps the ceiling in check

Bey is in strong form, averaging 18.4 PPG, 5.4 RPG, and 3.6 APG over his last 5 while playing 34.4 MPG, slightly above his 17.4 PPG season mark. His recent volume is steady, with 18.1 PPG over the last 10 and 19.9 PPG over the last 20, but his season mean remains the safer baseline given the over-bias caution. The matchup is not ideal for a big scoring spike: New York has a 110.38 defensive rating and his head-to-head average vs this opponent is only 15.07 PPG across 15 games. The line set at 17.5 points is close enough to his season profile that the under has the cleaner risk/reward profile.

Stat Trends

PPG

18.4(↑ from 17.4)

RPG

5.4(→ from 5.7)

APG

3.6(↑ from 2.6)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available beyond the listed key defenders, so the main edge comes from the team-level context. New York’s defensive rating is 110.38 and his 15-game history vs this opponent is only 15.07 PPG, which points to a tougher scoring environment than his recent form suggests.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Saddiq Bey▼	Points	17.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	20%	FLIP	18	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	Rebounds	5.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	FLIP	4	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	60%		2	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	70%		0	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	P+R	23.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	40%		22	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS20.5OVER25%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)6/2030%▼

3PM2.5OVER9%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)12/2060%+13.3% edge▼

FTA4OVER3%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%▼

PRA29.5OVER12%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼

REB5.5OVER11%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

AST2.5UNDER3%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

FTM3.5UNDER13%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+R25UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

P+A23UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

STL1UNDER35%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%▼

3PA6UNDER7%gbtAvoid (7/20)6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Saddiq Bey

Points UNDER 17.5MEDIUM

This is the most balanced prop on the board because the line sits right at his 17.4 PPG season average, while his vs-opponent scoring is materially lower at 15.07 PPG. Even with recent hot form, the season baseline and matchup data lean slightly to the under rather than paying for an over.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Mikal Bridges	2	5	0	0%	0%
Karl-Anthony Towns	2	5	4	100%	100%
Josh Hart	1	3	0	0%	0%
Jalen Brunson	2	3	8	75%	100%
Mohamed Diawara	1	2	8	100%	133%

pointsUNDER 17.564%MEDIUM

His season average is 17.4 PPG, essentially matching the line, while his vs-opponent mark is just 15.07 PPG across 15 games. New York’s defensive rating of 110.38 and the over-bias caution make this a better UNDER than a forced OVER.

reboundsOVER 5.558%MEDIUM

He averages 5.7 RPG on the season and 6.03 RPG at home, with 5.4 RPG over his last 5. The line is only slightly below his baseline, so the edge is modest but positive.

assistsOVER 2.556%MEDIUM

Bey’s season average is 2.6 APG, and he’s up to 3.6 APG over the last 5 and 3.0 APG over the last 20. With teammate absences present, his playmaking load can stay elevated enough to clear 2.5.

stealsOVER 0.560%MEDIUM

He averages 0.9 SPG on the season and 1.2 SPG over the last 5, well above a 0.5 line. The recent stock production supports the over despite normal variance on steals.

prUNDER 23.557%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds baseline is 23.12, basically on top of this line, while the opponent context and historical vs-opponent scoring suggest limited upside. Because combo props carry extra variance, the under is slightly cleaner here.

timelineUNDER 17.5 PTS