OG’s minutes are solid, but the scoring outlook is mixed against a tough New Orleans profile

His season average is 16.7 PPG and he’s at 18.0 PPG over the last 5, but the matchup history is only 12.2 PPG over 9 games. The opponent’s 119.15 defensive rating and 0.845 scoring suppression keep confidence modest.

He averages 5.2 RPG on the season and 5.1 RPG over the last 10, both just below the 5.5 line. His last 5 rebounding sits at 5.0, so the edge is limited and the under is slightly safer.

OG’s season average is 2.2 APG and his last 5 is also 2.2 APG, comfortably above 1.5. Even with a low-variance role, this line is well below his normal output.

He averages 2.16 threes per game this season and 2.7 over the last 10, with 2.5 last-20. That supports a slight over lean, though the recent drop in steals/blocks suggests overall volatility remains.

Season steals are 1.6, but the last 5 has fallen to 0.6 and his last 10 is 1.5. The recent dip makes the under more appealing at a 1.5 line.

He averages 0.7 blocks per game on the season and 0.5 over the last 10, so the line is right around his baseline. This is a thin play, but the season rate slightly supports the over.

His season stocks average is 2.33 and last 5 is only 0.8, which is a sharp recent drop. With high variance and a recent downturn, the under is the safer side.

He averages 16.7 points and 5.2 rebounds, which totals 21.9 PR on the season, but his opponent history is only 12.2 PPG and 5.9 RPG. Given the scoring suppression and trend down note, the under is preferable on this higher combo line.

Season points plus assists is 18.9, essentially right on the line, but the matchup history and recent trend do not give much cushion. With no strong assist upside, the under is the better lean.

He averages 10.4 rebounds plus assists on the season, but the 8.5 line is near the low end of his market and the under price reflects that. Because his rebounds and assists are both modest and stable rather than spiking, the under is still the conservative play.