AI Model:

Devin Carter▲

SAC · PG

PPG

7.1

RPG

2.7

APG

2.1

L5 PPG

10.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.1

7.1

10.2

RPG+0.9

2.7

3.6

APG+0.3

2.1

2.4

SPG0.0

0.8

BPG-0.2

0.2

0.0

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

7.5

NOP

2026-02-09

2026-02-09 vs NOP: 12 pts

UTA

2026-02-11

2026-02-11 vs UTA: 19 pts

ORL

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs ORL: 11 pts

SAS

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs SAS: 0 pts

DAL

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs DAL: 15 pts

LAL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAL: 6 pts

PHX

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs PHX: 2 pts

CHI

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CHI: 3 pts

IND

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs IND: 24 pts

BKN

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs BKN: 16 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5

58%

REB

OVER 2.5

61%

AST

OVER 2.5

60%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

70%

STL

OVER 0.5

57%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

64%

OVER 1.5

63%

PRA

OVER 12.5

54%

P+A

UNDER 9.5

58%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.6

6.3

RPG

4.0

2.5

APG

3.3

1.9

vs CHA (H2H)2 games

PPG

4.5

RPG

0.5

APG

0.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jeremiah Fears	2	9	100%	+44.9%	low
Desmond Bane	2	6	20%	-20.8%	low
Nolan Traore	1	5	50%	-0.8%	low
Isaiah Collier	1	4	125%

Expanded role boosts Carter’s floor, but his scoring remains volatile

Devin Carter’s season line is modest at 7.1 PPG, 2.7 RPG, and 2.1 APG in 14.8 MPG, but his recent usage is clearly trending up with 10.2 PPG and 15.8 MPG over the last 5 and 10.8 PPG in the last 10. The big driver is role: Domantas Sabonis, Drew Eubanks, Nique Clifford, Precious Achiuwa, and Russell Westbrook are all out, which should keep Carter involved and give his recent minutes a better chance to hold. Still, his away production is much weaker than at home, and his season-to-season shooting profile is inconsistent, so the safer angle is to lean on his secondary stats rather than chase a scoring spike. Against a Hornets team with a 112.27 defensive rating and 100 pace, his overall outlook is solid but not explosive.

Stat Trends

PPG

10.2(↑ from 7.1)

RPG

3.6(↑ from 2.7)

APG

2.4(↑ from 2.1)

Key Matchup

The opponent data shows a 112.27 defensive rating and 100 pace, which is neutral-to-slightly favorable for counting stats but not a major boost. There is no specific defender matchup data to lean on, and his prior sample vs this opponent is small at 4.5 PPG and 0.5 APG in 10.5 MPG.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Devin Carter▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	FLIP	18	✗
Devin Carter▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	70%		3	✓
Devin Carter▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	2→2.5	3	✓
Devin Carter▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	80%		3	✗
Devin Carter▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	70%		1	✓
Devin Carter▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	90%	—	0	✓
Devin Carter▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	80%		1	✓
Devin Carter▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	—	60%		1	✗
Devin Carter▼	PRA	12.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	60%		24	✓
Devin Carter▼	P+A	9.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	FLIP	21	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS16.5UNDER26%gbt_pointsAvoid (7/20)6/1735%+11.2% edge▼

REB5.5UNDER40%gbt_reboundsAvoid (6/20)4/1724%+17.3% edge▼

AST5.5UNDER62%gbt_assistsAvoid (6/20)UNDER 17x0/170%+42.0% edge▼

3PA5UNDER52%gbtAvoid (6/20)4/1724%▼

PRA22UNDER9%gbt_praAvoid (6/20)8/1747%▼

P+R19UNDER0%gbt_prAvoid (6/20)8/1747%▼

P+A18UNDER0%gbt_paAvoid (6/20)8/1747%▼

3PM0.5OVER5%gbt_three_pmAvoid (5/20)8/1747%▼

FTM3UNDER22%gbtAvoid (5/20)7/1741%▼

R+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (5/20)OVER 2x7/1741%▼

STL1UNDER19%gbt_stealsAvoid (4/20)UNDER 10x2/1712%▼

FTA3UNDER8%gbtAvoid (4/20)8/1747%▼

Featured Pick

Devin Carter

Rebounds OVER 2.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest angle because his season average is 2.68, his last-10 average is 3.9, and his home split is 4.0 RPG. The minutes projection is also supported by the teammate absences, making rebounds more reliable than his scoring.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Coby White	1	2	0	0%	0%
Brandon Miller	1	1	3	100%	150%

pointsUNDER 7.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 7.11 and away mean is only 5.21, which matters since he has been much weaker on the road. The last-5 spike to 10.2 PPG is above his season baseline, so regression risk keeps the under viable.

reboundsOVER 2.561%MEDIUM

He averages 2.68 rebounds on the season and 3.9 over the last 10, with 3.21 at home. The minutes bump from teammate absences supports him staying above this modest number.

assistsOVER 2.560%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 2.14, but the recent mean is 3.0 and he has reached 3.0 APG over the last 10. With multiple teammate absences, his playmaking path is stronger than his season average suggests.

threesUNDER 0.570%HIGH

He only averages 0.43 threes per game on the season and 0.4 recently, with just 0.182 shooting from three. Even with more minutes, the volume is still low.

stealsOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 steals on the season and 0.8 over the last 5, with 1.2 over the last 10. That gives him a decent chance to clear a low steals line.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

His season average is only 0.2 blocks and his last-5 is 0.0. The profile does not support a block over.

stocksUNDER 1.564%MEDIUM

He averages 1.0 stocks on the season and 1.3 in the last 10, which is still below a standard 1.5 threshold. The variance is also fairly high relative to his mean.

turnoversOVER 1.563%MEDIUM

He has 1.3 turnovers per game on the season, 1.8 over the last 10, and 1.2 over the last 5. With increased ball-handling, the turnover count can creep up.

praOVER 12.554%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 12.4, and recent form plus the minutes bump keep him around this area. However, combo props carry more variance, so confidence stays modest.

paUNDER 9.558%MEDIUM

Points plus assists sit around a lower seasonal baseline because his scoring is uneven and his assist average is just 2.1. The recent improvement helps, but the combined number still looks slightly high.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS