Kings vs Hornets — Predictions & Player Props

AI Model:

SAC

Kings

19-53 | L10: 5-5

CHA

Hornets

37-34 | L10: 7-3

2026-03-24

Version History

2 versions

ML Game Intelligence

HIGH

SAC79%

21%CHA

SAC80-100CHA

Key Factors

*Kings without Domantas Sabonis (15.8 PPG) - out (Knee)
*Kings without Russell Westbrook (15.2 PPG) - out (Foot)
*Kings without Precious Achiuwa (9.3 PPG) - questionable (Back)
*Kings without Nique Clifford (7.7 PPG) - out (Foot)
*Kings without Drew Eubanks (5.2 PPG) - out (Thumb)

Key Matchup

Hornets has matchup advantages

CHA Advantages

+ Positional advantages
+ Better roster depth

Key Defensive Matchups

SAC Players

Malik Monk

Brandon Miller1g · 2m+0.0%75% eFGlow

Coby White1g · 1m+0.0%150% eFGlow

Precious Achiuwa

Moussa Diabaté1g · 3m+0.0%0% eFGlow

Miles Bridges1g · 3m+0.0%67% eFGlow

Brandon Miller1g · 2m+0.0%50% eFGlow

The Hornets enter at 37-34 with a 7-3 last-10 and a 3-game streak, while the Kings are 19-53 but have been more competitive lately at 5-5 over their last 10. Charlotte has had 3 days since its last game versus 2 for Sacramento, and the Kings' injury list creates a strong role-up environment for multiple Sacramento starters.

Team Comparison

SACCHA

Key Players

LaMelo is producing 25.2 PPG over his last 5 versus 19.7 PPG on the season, with 5.8 APG and 4.8 fg3mpg in that stretch. He posted 21.666666666666668 PPG, 4.666666666666667 RPG, and 9.166666666666666 APG in 6 games against this opponent, so the assist and combo markets are live, but his recent scoring spike is above his season baseline.

ProjectedPTS: 13.7-20.3-26.9REB: 1.9-4.9-7.9AST: 4.2-6.6-9

Miller is at 17.8 PPG over his last 5 and 20.4 PPG for the season, with 4.2 APG and 3.6 fg3mpg recently. His last 10 shows 18.0 PPG, 6.1 RPG, and 3.9 APG, so the all-around profile is strong but the points line needs caution given the season average sits closer to the mid-teens on recent form.

ProjectedPTS: 11.4-18-24.6REB: 1.7-4.7-7.7AST: 1.4-3.8-6.2

Bridges has 17.2 PPG over his last 5 and 17.5 PPG on the season, with 4.6 RPG and 2.0 APG in that span. He has averaged 19.77777777777778 PPG, 5.111111111111111 RPG, and 3.3333333333333335 APG in 9 games against this opponent, but his current form is down from that ceiling.

ProjectedPTS: 9.5-16.1-22.7REB: 2.3-5.3-8.3AST: 0.4-2.8-5.2

Diabaté's last 5 are 5.6 PPG, 9.4 RPG, and 2.6 APG, with 28.6 MPG, while his season sits at 8.0 PPG and 8.8 RPG. The rebound floor is still the cleaner angle than points, and his recent usage is enough to keep combo props in play, though the scoring dip is notable.

Prop Picks

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Evolution	Edge	Actual	Result
LaMelo Ball▼ CHA	P+A	18.5stake	OVER	63%MEDIUM	90%	—	+6.8%	28	✓
Moussa Diabaté▼ CHA	Rebounds	5.5stake	OVER	68%HIGH	70%	5.5→8.5	+12.2%	11	✓
Miles Bridges▼ CHA	Points	20.5stake	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	80%	—	+6.3%	9	✓
Malik Monk▼ SAC	Points	13.5stake	OVER	61%MEDIUM	30%		+6.1%	7	✗
Maxime Raynaud▼ SAC	Points	20.5stake	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	40%	—	+7.4%	16	✓

Model Comparison

5 models · 15 props compared

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Props Shown

15 total on slate

Models

1 game view

Unanimous

Full agreement across submitted picks

Featured Picks

Moussa Diabaté

Rebounds OVER 5.5HIGH

He averages 8.82 rebounds on the season and 9.4 rebounds over his last 5, so the line is 3+ boards below both indicators. The workload has also held at 28.6 MPG recently, making the rebound path stable.

LaMelo Ball

PA OVER 18.5MEDIUM

His 6-game history versus this opponent includes 9.166666666666666 APG, and he has 25.2 PPG in his last 5. This is a strong creation environment, but the assist dip from his 7.1 season APG to 5.8 last 5 limits the grade.

Miles Bridges

Points UNDER 20.5MEDIUM

Bridges is at 17.5 PPG for the season and 17.2 over his last 5, both comfortably below 20.5. The recent form does not justify an over at this number.

Parlay of the Game

Moussa Diabaté — Rebounds OVER 5.5Leg 1

Miles Bridges — Points UNDER 20.5Leg 2

Maxime Raynaud — Points UNDER 20.5Leg 3

This parlay leans on two regression spots and one stable rebound floor. Diabaté's rebound role is steady, while Bridges and Raynaud are both priced above their season baselines, which creates a conservative combined angle.

Injury & Lineup Notes

Domantas Sabonis, Drew Eubanks, Nique Clifford, Precious Achiuwa, and Russell Westbrook are listed out for Sacramento, while Antonio Reeves is out for Charlotte. LaMelo Ball is listed Available, and Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, Moussa Diabaté, Grant Williams, Josh Green, and other Charlotte rotation players are Available; Maxime Raynaud's injury status is listed as Unknown.