AI Model:

Kon Knueppel▼

CHA · SG

PPG

19.2

RPG

5.2

APG

3.4

L5 PPG

18.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.8

19.2

18.4

RPG-0.4

5.2

4.8

APG0.0

3.4

SPG-0.3

0.7

0.4

BPG0.0

0.2

UNDER 22.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

22.5

DAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs DAL: 13 pts

BOS

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs BOS: 20 pts

MIA

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs MIA: 27 pts

PHX

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs PHX: 15 pts

POR

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs POR: 15 pts

SAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs SAC: 24 pts

SAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAS: 20 pts

MIA

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIA: 22 pts

ORL

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs ORL: 17 pts

MEM

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs MEM: 9 pts

Over 22.5

Under 22.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 22.5STAKE

68%

REB

OVER 4.5STAKE

59%

AST

UNDER 3.5STAKE

57%

3PM

OVER 3.5STAKE

60%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

62%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

74%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

63%

OVER 1.5

58%

P+A

OVER 16.5STAKE

61%

P+R

OVER 28.5STAKE

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.4

21.8

RPG

4.9

4.6

APG

3.4

2.6

vs SAC (H2H)1 games

PPG

24.0

RPG

7.0

APG

3.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	4	14	31%	-25.1%	medium
AJ Green	3	14	75%	+1.8%	medium
Josh Giddey	3	10	72%	+18.5%	medium
Donovan Mitchell	3	10	44%

Knueppel gets a favorable scoring spot with Kings missing key bodies

Kon Knueppel is averaging 19.2 PPG, 5.2 RPG, and 3.4 APG on the season, with his recent form slightly down at 18.4 PPG over the last 5 and 18.2 over the last 10. The matchup is attractive on paper because the Kings are missing multiple rotation pieces, including Domantas Sabonis, Drew Eubanks, Nique Clifford, Precious Achiuwa, and Russell Westbrook, which should help keep usage available across Charlotte's offense. His last game was only 9 points in 21 minutes, but his recent ceiling is still intact with 22, 24, and 27-point outings in the sample. The main caution is his recent minutes trend down to 27.2 MPG over the last 5, so volume is a little less secure than his season baseline.

Stat Trends

PPG

18.4(↓ from 19.2)

RPG

4.8(↓ from 5.2)

APG

3.4(→ from 3.4)

3PM

3.2(↓ from 3.5)

Key Matchup

The Kings are allowing a weaker defensive environment based on a 121 defensive rating, and their scoring suppression/three suppression numbers point to a friendlier offensive setting. There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed defenders, so the edge is coming more from the team context and absences than a named individual matchup.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Kon Knueppel▼	Points	22.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	80%		14	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	59%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	FLIP	4	✗
Kon Knueppel▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	50%		3	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	3PM	3.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	50%		4	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	—	70%		0	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	—	70%		0	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	70%		0	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	30%		1	✗
Kon Knueppel▼	P+A	16.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	FLIP	17	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	P+R	28.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	20%	FLIP	18	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS16.5UNDER48%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

P+R22OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

AST2.5UNDER8%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x11/2055%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

3PM3.5OVER20%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge shifted +0.154▼

PRA24.5UNDER32%gbt_praWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

P+A20UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

R+A8UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%▼

REB4.5UNDER28%gbt_reboundsAvoid (6/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%+7.0% edge▼

Featured Pick

Kon Knueppel

Blocks UNDER 0.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge in the profile because Kon Knueppel’s season average is only 0.2 blocks and his last-5 is also 0.2. A 0.5 line is well above his normal production, so the under is the most stable play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Nique Clifford	1	6	2	33%	33%
Doug McDermott	2	4	0	0%	0%
Daeqwon Plowden	2	3	3	100%	150%
DeMar DeRozan	2	2	11	80%	80%
Killian Hayes	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 22.568%MEDIUM

His season mean is 19.2 PPG and his last-10 is 18.2, both below 22.5. Even with opponent absences helping the environment, his recent minutes have fallen to 27.2 MPG over the last 5, which makes clearing this number less likely.

reboundsOVER 4.559%MEDIUM

He averages 5.2 RPG on the season and 4.8 over the last 5, both near or above 4.5. His home rebound mean is 5.55, which supports a modest over if minutes hold.

assistsUNDER 3.557%MEDIUM

His season mean is 3.41 APG and recent mean is 3.2, so 3.5 is slightly above his typical output. The last-5 at 3.4 also does not give much cushion for an over.

threesOVER 3.560%MEDIUM

He averages 3.51 made threes on the season and 3.2 over the last 5, so this line sits right on his baseline. His away three rate is 3.89 and he has multiple recent games with 4+ threes, giving the over a reasonable case.

stealsUNDER 0.562%MEDIUM

He is at 0.7 SPG for the season and just 0.4 over the last 5, so a steal is not a strong expectation. With low-count defensive stats, the under is the steadier side.

blocksUNDER 0.574%HIGH

He averages only 0.2 BPG on the season and 0.2 over the last 5. That is well below a 0.5 line, making the under the clearest lean.

stocksUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 0.97 and the last 5 is 0.6, both below 1.5. This is a high-variance category for him, but the baseline is too low for an over.

turnoversOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He has 1.6 turnovers per game over the last 20 and 0.8 over the last 5, so the season-long profile suggests some turnover risk. With his usage and minutes load, 1.5 is a fair line to lean over on.

paOVER 16.561%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists profile is strong with 19.2 PPG and 3.4 APG, and his recent scoring is still in the high teens. This combo is near his usual output and benefits from his consistent shot volume.

prOVER 28.556%MEDIUM

He averages 24.4 points plus rebounds on the season, and his last-5 is 23.2, so 28.5 is a higher bar but still reachable if scoring rises. Because combo props carry more variance, confidence stays moderate.

timelineUNDER 22.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Knueppel gets a favorable scoring spot with Kings missing key bodies

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 22.5 PTS