Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 2 | 6 | 50% | -8.2% | low |
| Doug McDermott | 2 | 5 | 75% | +4.3% | low |
| Bub Carrington | 3 | 5 | 0% | -45.7% | medium |
| Cade Cunningham | 2 | 5 | 43% |
Josh Green is producing just 4.8 PPG on the season and has been even quieter recently at 3.2 PPG over his last 5. His minutes are stable in the mid-teens, but his last-5 assist output has fallen to 0.2 APG, which limits combo upside. The matchup data is mixed: he has averaged 8.4 PPG, 3.9 RPG, and 2.25 APG in 12 games vs this opponent, but his current role and recent scoring trend point closer to his season baseline than that head-to-head peak.
The opponent data points to a high-scoring environment with a 121 defensive rating and 100 pace, while three suppression is listed at 1.572. There is also no specific defender matchup data that clearly changes the projection, so the main read comes from team context and his own role.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Evolution | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Green▼ | Points | 4.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 6 | ✗ | |
Josh Green▼ | Rebounds | 2 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 0 | ✗ | |
Josh Green▼ | Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 52%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 1 | ✓ | |
Josh Green▼ | 3PM | 1 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% | FLIP | 2 | ✓ |
Josh Green▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 53%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 1 | ✓ | |
Josh Green▼ | STL+BLK | 1 | OVER | 51%MEDIUM | — | 10% | 1 | ✗ |
His season average is 4.8 PPG, but the recent trend is weaker at 3.2 PPG over the last 5 and 4.1 over the last 10. With modest minutes and limited usage, a lower-scoring game is more likely than a breakout.
| low |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 2 | 4 | 0% | -45.7% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug McDermott | 2 | 5 | 6 | 50% | 75% |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 2 | 3 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Devin Carter | 1 | 1 | 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Nique Clifford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Dylan Cardwell | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 4.8 PPG, but his last 5 are down to 3.2 and his b2b mean is 3.88. With only 16.7 MPG season-long and recent scoring volatility, the under is the safer side.
He averages 2.1 RPG on the season and 2.2 RPG over his last 5, with a home mean of 2.27. This is close to his average, but the low variance in recent rebounds gives a slight lean over.
His season mean is 0.91 APG and recent mean is 0.7 APG, which still supports getting to 1 assist more often than not. The recent 0.2 APG over the last 5 is a concern, so confidence stays modest.
He averages 1.07 made threes per game this season and 1.0 over the last 5, with 1.2 FG3M per game over the last 20. That volume is enough for a slight over lean at a low line.
He has 0.6 SPG on the season and 0.8 SPG over the last 20, with 1.0 SPG over the last 5. The floor is thin, but the recent defensive activity supports a small over lean.
His season stocks rate is 0.72 and recent is 0.7, but the last 5 show 1.0. This is a volatile category, so the edge is slight even with recent improvement.