AI Model:

Precious Achiuwa▼

SAC · PF

PPG

9.3

RPG

6.5

APG

1.3

L5 PPG

16.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+6.9

9.3

16.2

RPG+4.1

6.5

10.6

APG-0.5

1.3

0.8

SPG-0.3

0.9

0.6

BPG+0.7

0.7

1.4

UNDER 6.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

6.5

PHX

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs PHX: 18 pts

NOP

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs NOP: 29 pts

CHI

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CHI: 13 pts

IND

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs IND: 6 pts

CHA

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs CHA: 14 pts

LAC

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs LAC: 25 pts

UTA

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs UTA: 20 pts

SAS

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs SAS: 10 pts

PHI

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs PHI: 12 pts

BKN

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs BKN: 14 pts

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 6.5STAKE

99%

REB

UNDER 5.5STAKE

99%

AST

UNDER 1.5STAKE

99%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

99%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

99%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

99%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

99%

UNDER 1.5

99%

P+R

UNDER 12.5STAKE

99%

P+A

UNDER 8.5STAKE

99%

R+A

UNDER 6.5STAKE

99%

UNDER 0.5

99%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

13.2

14.8

RPG

8.4

APG

1.5

vs CHA (H2H)16 games

PPG

8.1

RPG

4.7

APG

0.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kevin Durant	4	17	37%	-20.5%	medium
Zion Williamson	3	16	73%	+18.9%	medium
Julius Randle	4	16	44%	-9.4%	medium
Paolo Banchero	2	15	47%

Achiuwa’s usage is spiking, but the injury tag makes his prop board a fade

Precious Achiuwa’s recent production is well above his season baseline, with 16.2 PPG and 10.6 RPG over the last 5 versus season marks of 9.3 PPG and 6.5 RPG, but he is listed as Out with a lower back injury. That means the strongest takeaway is not a stat surge, but that his projected impact for this game should be zero. The matchup data and prop market are secondary here because his availability overrides everything else.

Stat Trends

PPG

16.2(↑ from 9.3)

RPG

10.6(↑ from 6.5)

APG

0.8(↓ from 1.3)

Key Matchup

He is facing a Hornets defense with a 112.27 defensive rating and a pace of 100, but there is no specific defender matchup data. Since Achiuwa is Out, the matchup context does not meaningfully affect his prop outlook.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution
Precious Achiuwa▼	Points	6.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	2/2	10%	FLIP
Precious Achiuwa▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	2/2	0%	FLIP
Precious Achiuwa▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	1/2	60%
Precious Achiuwa▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	—	60%
Precious Achiuwa▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	2/2	50%	FLIP
Precious Achiuwa▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	2/2	20%	FLIP
Precious Achiuwa▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	—	50%	FLIP
Precious Achiuwa▼	Turnovers	1.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	—	70%
Precious Achiuwa▼	P+R	12.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	2/2	0%	FLIP
Precious Achiuwa▼	P+A	8.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	2/2	10%	—
Precious Achiuwa▼	R+A	6.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	2/2	0%	FLIP
Precious Achiuwa▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	99%HIGH	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11.5OVER17%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)15/2075%+24.3% edge▼

PRA20.5OVER33%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)14/2070%+18.1% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

REB6.5OVER36%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)18/2090%+36.3% edge▼

P+R26UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

P+A17.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

R+A11UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Precious Achiuwa

Points UNDER 6.5HIGH

This is the strongest angle because Achiuwa is listed as Out with a lower back injury. Regardless of his recent spike to 16.2 PPG over the last 5, he should not be available to approach the line.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Moussa Diabaté	1	3	0	0%	0%
Miles Bridges	1	3	5	67%	67%
Brandon Miller	1	2	6	50%	50%
Kon Knueppel	1	1	2	0%	0%
LaMelo Ball	1	1	7	75%	88%

pointsUNDER 6.599%HIGH

He is listed as Out, so any points prop should be treated as an under by default. Even with recent scoring at 16.2 PPG, availability trumps form.

reboundsUNDER 5.599%HIGH

He is Out, making a rebound over impossible in this game. His recent 10.6 RPG does not matter if he does not play.

assistsUNDER 1.599%HIGH

He is Out, so the under is the only viable side. His season average of 1.3 APG is irrelevant given the injury status.

threesUNDER 0.599%HIGH

He is Out, so no made threes is the expectation. His season 0.41 threes per game and last 5 at 0.8 are moot in this matchup.

stealsUNDER 0.599%HIGH

He is listed as Out, so he should not record a steal. Season 0.9 SPG and last 5 at 0.6 do not change that.

blocksUNDER 0.599%HIGH

He is Out, so the block under is the correct side. His season 0.7 BPG and recent 1.4 BPG are not actionable here.

stocksUNDER 1.599%HIGH

He is Out, so a combined steals-plus-blocks over is not in play. His season stocks rate of 1.56 is overridden by absence.

turnoversUNDER 1.599%HIGH

He is Out, so turnovers should not accrue. Recent turnover rates are irrelevant when he is inactive.

prUNDER 12.599%HIGH

He is Out, making any points-rebounds combo under the only logical play. His recent elevated form cannot be translated into a game log.

paUNDER 8.599%HIGH

He is Out, so points-plus-assists is expected to stay below the line. Season and recent averages are irrelevant without minutes.

raUNDER 6.599%HIGH

He is Out, so rebounds-plus-assists should be zero. His last 10 rebound rate of 9.8 RPG does not matter.

double_doubleUNDER 0.599%HIGH

He is Out, so a double-double is not reachable in this game. Despite multiple recent near-double-double lines, availability eliminates the chance.

timelineUNDER 6.5 PTS