Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 3 | 10 | 63% | +6.5% | medium |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 4 | 9 | 71% | +13.6% | medium |
| Aaron Holiday | 3 | 9 | 38% | -18.5% | medium |
| Gabe Vincent | 3 | 8 | 0% |
Malik Monk is averaging 12.8 PPG, 2.8 APG, and 1.9 RPG on 22 MPG this season, but his last 5 games have spiked to 17.6 PPG and 4.0 APG. That said, his recent 10-game form is closer to 13.6 PPG and 3.4 APG, which is more in line with his season baseline and suggests some regression from the hot stretch. The Kings are missing Domantas Sabonis, Drew Eubanks, Nique Clifford, Precious Achiuwa, and Russell Westbrook, which should keep Monk involved, but the exact workload still looks capped around his usual minutes. Charlotte's defense allows a 112.27 def rating with a 100 pace, so the matchup is playable without forcing an aggressive over stance.
Charlotte has a 112.27 defensive rating and a 100 pace, which creates a workable scoring environment but not an extreme one. There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so the analysis should stay team-level rather than player-vs-player.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Evolution | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Malik Monk▼ | Points | 13.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | FLIP | 7 | ✓ |
Malik Monk▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 84%HIGH | 1/2 | 70% | 3 | ✗ | |
Malik Monk▼ | Assists | 3.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | FLIP | 14 | ✗ |
Malik Monk▼ | 3PM | 2 | UNDER | 54%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | FLIP | 0 | ✓ |
Malik Monk▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 88%HIGH | — | 70% | 0 | ✓ | |
Malik Monk▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 80%HIGH | — | 90% | 1 | ✓ | |
Malik Monk▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 1.5→2 | 0 | ✗ |
Malik Monk▼ | P+R | 15.5 | UNDER | 59%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | FLIP | 10 | ✓ |
Malik Monk▼ | P+A | 16.5 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | FLIP | 21 | ✗ |
This is the cleanest number on the board because Monk's season average is 1.9 rebounds and his last 10 is 1.7. The line sits well above his normal production, making it the strongest under.
| medium |
| Jake LaRavia | 4 | 7 | 60% | +16.5% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller | 1 | 2 | 3 | 50% | 75% |
| Coby White | 1 | 1 | 5 | 100% | 150% |
His season mean is 12.76 and his last 10 is 13.6, which sits just below/around this line despite the 17.6 last-5 surge. With only 22 MPG season-long and recent volume still tied to a rotation role, the under is slightly safer.
He averages just 1.91 rebounds per game this season and 1.7 over the last 5. Even with the injury-driven usage changes, rebounds remain a low-volume category for him.
Season assists are 2.76, while his last 10 are 3.4, so this is close but still below the line. The 4.0 APG last-5 is a bit hot relative to the season, so regression risk leans under.
He averages 2.07 made threes on the season and 1.9 over the last 5, so this is right on the edge. Given the season-long baseline and variance, the under is the more conservative side.
He averages only 0.4 blocks per game on the season and 0.3 over the last 10. This is a low-frequency stat, making the under strong.
His season stocks average is 0.93, and his last 10 is 0.5. Since steals and blocks are both volatile and below the needed combined threshold, the under is favored.
He is at 1.6 turnovers per game over the last 20 and 1.7 over the last 10, with 1.4 over the last 5. That sits close enough to make the over viable if his ball-handling load stays elevated.
His season PR is 14.67, and the last 10 pace is still modest despite the scoring spike. Because combo props carry more variance, the under gets the lean.
He averages 15.56 P+A on the season and 17.0 over the last 5, but the season baseline is still below this number. With recent form elevated, this line is close, but the under remains the conservative choice.