PG
Ryan Nembhard▲
DAL · PG
PPG
6.4
RPG
1.9
APG
5.0
L5 PPG
7.6
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+1.2
6.4
7.6
RPG+1.1
1.9
3.0
APG+1.8
5.0
6.8
SPG+0.4
0.4
0.8
BPG0.0
0.0
0.0
UNDER 11.5 PTS
Last 10 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
11.5
5
BOS
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs BOS: 5 pts
2
TOR
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs TOR: 2 pts
0
ATL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs ATL: 0 pts
0
MEM
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs MEM: 0 pts
8
CLE
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs CLE: 8 pts
11
CLE
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs CLE: 11 pts
2
NOP
2026-03-16
2026-03-16 vs NOP: 2 pts
8
ATL
2026-03-18
2026-03-18 vs ATL: 8 pts
13
LAC
2026-03-21
2026-03-21 vs LAC: 13 pts
4
GSW
2026-03-23
2026-03-23 vs GSW: 4 pts
Over 11.5
Under 11.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 11.5STAKE
78%
REB
UNDER 3.5STAKE
72%
AST
OVER 6.5STAKE
61%
3PM
OVER 0.5
57%
STL
OVER 0.5STAKE
55%
TO
OVER 1.5
59%
PRA
UNDER 21
66%
P+A
OVER 17.5STAKE
58%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
5.6
3.6
RPG
1.9
2.1
APG
5.8
3.4
vs DEN (H2H)3 games
PPG
14.7
RPG
3.0
APG
7.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 4 | 11 | 50% | -3.5% | medium |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 4 | 9 | 20% | -21.0% | medium |
| Isaiah Collier | 4 | 9 | 50% | -1.0% | medium |
| Spencer Jones | 4 | 8 | 83% |
Nembhard’s assist role stays elevated, but scoring remains fragile
Ryan Nembhard is trending up in playing time, with his last-5 minutes at 24.8 compared to 18.9 for the season, and his production has followed on the passing side with 6.8 assists over that span. The absence list on Dallas is meaningful, especially with D'Angelo Russell and Kyrie Irving both out, which supports a heavier ball-handling load and helps his assist outlook. Scoring is less stable: he has only 6.4 PPG for the season and just 5.3 across the last 10, while the Nuggets allow a 116.76 defensive rating and play at a 100 pace, which keeps the ceiling modest. His head-to-head line against Denver is strong at 14.666666666666666 PPG and 7 APG in 27.666666666666668 MPG, but the current role and market still point to a more conservative projection.
Stat Trends
PPG
7.6(↑ from 6.4)
APG
6.8(↑ from 5.0)
MPG
24.8(↑ from 18.9)
Key Matchup
Key defender matchup data is limited here, so there is no specific defender matchup data. The Nuggets profile shows a 116.76 defensive rating, 100 pace, and a 0.301 scoring suppression mark, which suggests a controlled scoring environment overall.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Nembhard▼ | Points | 11.5 | UNDER | 78%HIGH | 2/2 | 90% | 4 | ✓ |
Ryan Nembhard▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Ryan Nembhard▼ | Assists | 6.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 30% | 4 | ✗ |
Ryan Nembhard▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 0 | ✗ |
Ryan Nembhard▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 0 | ✗ |
Ryan Nembhard▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | OVER | 59%MEDIUM | — | 30% | 0 | ✗ |
Ryan Nembhard▼ | PRA | 21 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 8 | ✓ |
Ryan Nembhard▼ | P+A | 17.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% | 8 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
P+A11UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)8/1747%▼
R+A8UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)7/1741%▼
P+R8.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x9/1753%▼
Featured Pick
Ryan Nembhard
Points UNDER 11.5HIGH
This is the cleanest angle because his season mean is 6.4 PPG, the last-10 is 5.3, and even the last-5 surge only reaches 7.6. The market line of 11.5 is well above both his season and recent production, making the under the most supported play.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.