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NightlyHoops/Predictions/2026-03-25
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NBA Slate

Wednesday, March 25, 2026

11 games · 46 tracked props · 1378 graded picks

Slate Result
55%
761-617
Board View
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Slate Read

Twelve games, and the slate is loaded with usage swings from injuries, rest spots, and a few extremes in team form. The best betting angles lean toward stable stat categories like rebounds and assists, while several star scoring props hinge on matchup history or recent minute shifts. There’s also a couple of clear fade spots on players whose lines have outrun their current roles.

Game Board

Each matchup card shows the strongest props for that game first. Open a card for the full preview.

ATL@DET
Board Readyscheduled

Open this matchup to read the full game preview and reasoning.

Top Props
Daniss Jenkins
Assists 7.5
UNDER87%Miss
Jalen Johnson
Points 14.5
UNDER69%Miss

Featured Props

Jamal Shead
Points UNDER 6.5HIGH

His recent scoring sits far below the number, and the model shows one of the clearest under edges on the slate.

Nikola Jokić
Points UNDER 22.5HIGH

Despite the superstar label, his recent scoring trend and strong projected under probability make this a standout fade.

Derrick Jones Jr.
Rebounds UNDER 3.5HIGH

His season rebounding baseline sits below the market line, giving the under a strong cushion.

Parlay of the Day

Jamal Shead — Points UNDER 6.5Leg 1
Nikola Jokić — Points UNDER 22.5Leg 2
Full Prop Board

Use this when you want the entire slate in one sortable table.

46 picks
Filter:
PlayerPropLinePickConfidenceTrendEdgeActualResult
Daniss Jenkins▼
DET
Assists7.5draftkingsUNDER87%HIGH70%+31.1%10✗
Kris Murray▼
POR
Points5.5ProjUNDER85%HIGH70%+21.0%5✓
Ryan Rollins▼
MIL
Points19.5draftkingsUNDER85%HIGH70%+31.1%36✗
Kel'el Ware▼
MIA
Points7.5fanduelOVER81%HIGH60%+28.2%13✓
Jamal Shead▼
TOR
Points6.5ProjUNDER81%HIGH80%+25.1%8✗
Donovan Clingan▼
POR
Points14.5draftkingsUNDER80%HIGH50%+4.7%14✓
Deni Avdija▼
POR
Points24.5draftkingsUNDER79%HIGH70%+27.7%18✓
Victor Wembanyama▼
SAS
Points27.5betmgmUNDER79%HIGH50%+23.8%19✓
Jayson Tatum▼
BOS
Points23.5draftkingsOVER78%HIGH30%+14.1%19✗
Chet Holmgren▼
OKC
Rebounds8.5draftkingsOVER77%HIGH80%+5.0%5✗
Luguentz Dort▼
OKC
Points7.5stakeUNDER76%HIGH70%0.0%14✗
Bam Adebayo▼
MIA
Assists2.5betmgmOVER75%HIGH60%+11.0%7✓
Nikola Jokić▼
DEN
Points22.5fanduelUNDER74%HIGH40%+17.9%23✗
Taylor Hendricks▼
MEM
Points15.5draftkingsUNDER74%HIGH70%+28.8%2✓
Bilal Coulibaly▼
WAS
Points15.5draftkingsUNDER73%HIGH50%+14.5%11✓
Jamal Murray▼
DEN
Points25.5stakeUNDER72%HIGH70%0.0%53✗
Daniel Gafford▼
DAL
Rebounds6.5fanduelOVER71%HIGH80%+7.8%——
Jalen Wilson▼
BKN
Points9.5draftkingsUNDER70%HIGH70%+22.0%15✗
Jalen Johnson▼
ATL
Points14.5betmgmUNDER69%HIGH30%+13.3%27✗
Tyler Herro▼
MIA
Points19.5stakeOVER69%MEDIUM70%+15.3%18✗
Nic Claxton▼
BKN
Points9.5betriversUNDER68%HIGH70%+9.9%8✓
Brice Sensabaugh▼
UTA
Assists2.5draftkingsUNDER68%MEDIUM60%+18.0%——
Donovan Clingan▼
POR
Rebounds12.5betmgmUNDER67%MEDIUM40%+4.4%15✗
Derrick Jones Jr.▼
LAC
Rebounds3.5betmgmUNDER67%HIGH30%+17.0%7✗
Victor Wembanyama▼
SAS
Blocks2.5stakeUNDER66%MEDIUM30%0.0%7✗
Kyle Filipowski▼
UTA
Rebounds9.5stakeUNDER66%MEDIUM60%0.0%——
Duncan Robinson▼
DET
Points11.5betmgmUNDER65%HIGH40%+13.3%17✗
Nic Claxton▼
BKN
Rebounds8.5stakeUNDER63%MEDIUM90%+5.6%4✓
Cameron Johnson▼
DEN
3PM1.5betmgmOVER63%MEDIUM60%+8.1%2✓
Donovan Mitchell▼
CLE
Points28.5stakeUNDER63%MEDIUM80%+17.0%28✓
Keldon Johnson▼
SAS
Points10.5ProjOVER63%MEDIUM50%0.0%15✓
Bub Carrington▼
WAS
Assists4.5ProjUNDER63%MEDIUM60%0.0%3✓
Kristaps Porziņģis▼
GSW
Points12.5draftkingsOVER62%MEDIUM50%+28.6%17✓
James Harden▼
CLE
Points23.5stakeUNDER61%MEDIUM60%+12.0%18✓
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander▼
OKC
Points31.5stakeUNDER61%MEDIUM60%0.0%33✗
Onyeka Okongwu▼
ATL
Points12.5betmgmOVER60%HIGH50%+8.6%11✗
Brandin Podziemski▼
GSW
3PM1.5draftkingsOVER60%MEDIUM60%+12.7%2✓
Aaron Gordon▼
DEN
Points16.5draftkingsUNDER60%HIGH70%+5.7%——
Tobias Harris▼
DET
Assists4.5betmgmOVER59%HIGH40%+10.5%3✗
Stephon Castle▼
SAS
Assists8.5betriversUNDER58%LOW50%+9.3%9✗
Kawhi Leonard▼
LAC
Points27.5draftkingsUNDER58%MEDIUM10%+1.8%27✓
Brook Lopez▼
LAC
Points7.5stakeOVER58%MEDIUM50%0.0%14✓
Jaylen Brown▼
BOS
Points29.5stakeOVER57%MEDIUM40%0.0%31✓
Dylan Harper▼
SAS
Points11.5draftkingsOVER57%LOW60%+11.8%10✗
Brice Sensabaugh▼
UTA
Points15.5draftkingsUNDER56%LOW30%+14.7%——
Kris Dunn▼
LAC
Assists3.5ProjOVER55%MEDIUM30%+5.0%4✓

Results & Analysis

55.2%761/1378 picks hit
HIGH69%
163/236
LOW50%
1/2
MEDIUM52%
597/1140
OVER53%
314/592
UNDER57%
447/786
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.
Duncan Robinson
Points 11.5
UNDER
65%
Miss
Onyeka Okongwu
Points 12.5
OVER60%Miss
Tobias Harris
Assists 4.5
OVER59%Miss
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
BKN@GSW
Board Readyscheduled

Open this matchup to read the full game preview and reasoning.

Top Props
Jalen Wilson
Points 9.5
UNDER70%Miss
Nic Claxton
Points 9.5
UNDER68%Hit
Nic Claxton
Rebounds 8.5
UNDER63%Hit
Kristaps Porziņģis
Points 12.5
OVER62%Hit
Brandin Podziemski
3PM 1.5
OVER60%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
DAL@DEN
Board Readyscheduled

Open this matchup to read the full game preview and reasoning.

Top Props
Nikola Jokić
Points 22.5
UNDER74%Miss
Jamal Murray
Points 25.5
UNDER72%Miss
Daniel Gafford
Rebounds 6.5
OVER71%
Cameron Johnson
3PM 1.5
OVER63%Hit
Aaron Gordon
Points 16.5
UNDER60%
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
HOU@MIN
Board Readyscheduled

Open this matchup to read the full game preview and reasoning.

No published props on this game yet.
Waiting on full boardShow More →
LAL@IND
Board Readyscheduled

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No published props on this game yet.
Waiting on full boardShow More →
MIA@CLE
Board Readyscheduled

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Top Props
Kel'el Ware
Points 7.5
OVER81%Hit
Bam Adebayo
Assists 2.5
OVER75%Hit
Tyler Herro
Points 19.5
OVER69%Miss
Donovan Mitchell
Points 28.5
UNDER63%Hit
James Harden
Points 23.5
UNDER61%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
MIL@POR
Board Readyscheduled

Open this matchup to read the full game preview and reasoning.

Top Props
Kris Murray
Points 5.5
UNDER85%Hit
Ryan Rollins
Points 19.5
UNDER85%Miss
Donovan Clingan
Points 14.5
UNDER80%Hit
Deni Avdija
Points 24.5
UNDER79%Hit
Donovan Clingan
Rebounds 12.5
UNDER67%Miss
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
OKC@BOS
Board Readyscheduled

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Top Props
Jayson Tatum
Points 23.5
OVER78%Miss
Chet Holmgren
Rebounds 8.5
OVER77%Miss
Luguentz Dort
Points 7.5
UNDER76%Miss
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Points 31.5
UNDER61%Miss
Jaylen Brown
Points 29.5
OVER57%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
SAS@MEM
Board Readyscheduled

Open this matchup to read the full game preview and reasoning.

Top Props
Victor Wembanyama
Points 27.5
UNDER79%Hit
Taylor Hendricks
Points 15.5
UNDER74%Hit
Victor Wembanyama
Blocks 2.5
UNDER66%Miss
Keldon Johnson
Points 10.5
OVER63%Hit
Stephon Castle
Assists 8.5
UNDER58%Miss
Dylan Harper
Points 11.5
OVER57%Miss
6 picks on this matchupShow More →
TOR@LAC
Board Readyscheduled

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Top Props
Jamal Shead
Points 6.5
UNDER81%Miss
Derrick Jones Jr.
Rebounds 3.5
UNDER67%Miss
Kawhi Leonard
Points 27.5
UNDER58%Hit
Brook Lopez
Points 7.5
OVER58%Hit
Kris Dunn
Assists 3.5
OVER55%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
WAS@UTA
Board Readyscheduled

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Top Props
Bilal Coulibaly
Points 15.5
UNDER73%Hit
Brice Sensabaugh
Assists 2.5
UNDER68%
Kyle Filipowski
Rebounds 9.5
UNDER66%
Bub Carrington
Assists 4.5
UNDER63%Hit
Brice Sensabaugh
Points 15.5
UNDER56%
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
Andre Drummond — Rebounds OVER 6.5
Leg 3

This builds around two high-confidence under spots with stable recent production gaps, then adds one role-driven rebound over that is supported by both season and short-term form. Together, the legs lean on usage trends more than game script, which is ideal on a slate with multiple injury and rest pivots.