NightlyHoops / 2026-03-25 / MIL vs POR AI Model: consensus NightlyHoops Board v2-gpt-5.4-mini Gemini Flash v3-gemini-flash-lite v3-gpt-4.1-nano GPT-5.4m
@
POR
Trail Blazers
36-37 | L10: 6-4
2026-03-25
Version History 2 versions
v2
Full Run 7:31 PM 13 changes
[Full run] 2 picks flipped (Donovan Clingan, Ryan Rollins), 2 new props, 3 props removed, 3 new best bets, 3 best bets removed
expand_more v1
Full Run 12:12 PM Initial prediction
ML Game Intelligence HIGH MIL 80 - 85 POR
Key Factors
* Bucks without Giannis Antetokounmpo (27.6 PPG) - out (Knee)* Bucks without Kevin Porter Jr. (17.4 PPG) - out (Knee)* Trail Blazers without Shaedon Sharpe (21.2 PPG) - out ()* Trail Blazers without Jerami Grant (18.7 PPG) - questionable (Foot)* Bucks without Kyle Kuzma (13.1 PPG) - questionable (Achilles)Key Matchup
Trail Blazers has matchup advantages
POR Advantages
+ Positional advantages + Better roster depth Key Defensive Matchups MIL Players
Myles Turner
Donovan Clingan 1g · 6m +0.0% 58% eFG low
Robert Williams III 1g · 2m +0.0% 100% eFG low
Jerami Grant 1g · 1m +0.0% 57% eFG low
Bobby Portis
Jerami Grant 1g · 2m +0.0% 0% eFG low
Kris Murray 1g · 2m +0.0% 0% eFG low
Portland enters at 36-37 and 6-4 over its last 10, while Milwaukee is 29-42 and 3-7 in its last 10, so the Blazers have the clearer recent form despite both teams having two days of rest. The injury setup is a major theme: Damian Lillard and Shaedon Sharpe are out for Portland, while Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Porter Jr. are out for Milwaukee, shifting usage toward the remaining rotation pieces on both sides.
Key Players Prop Picks Player Prop Line Pick Confidence Trend Evolution Edge Actual Result Donovan Clingan▼
POR
Rebounds 12.5 betmgm UNDER 67% MEDIUM 40% FLIP +4.4% 15 ✗ Kris Murray▼
POR
Points 5.5 Proj UNDER 85% HIGH 70% — +21.0% 5 ✓ Donovan Clingan▼
POR
Points 14.5 draftkings UNDER 80% HIGH 50% — +4.7% 14 ✓ Ryan Rollins▼
MIL
Points 19.5 draftkings UNDER 85% HIGH 70% FLIP +31.1% 36 ✗ Deni Avdija▼
POR
Points 24.5 draftkings UNDER 79% HIGH 70% — +27.7% 18 ✓
Model Comparison 7 models · 30 props compared
Sort: Confidence Consensus Player
Show: All (30) 90%+ (1) 80%+ (12) 70%+ (25) 50%+ (30)
Props Shown
30
30 total on slate
Unanimous
26
Full agreement across submitted picks
Myles Turner MIL blocks under 1.5 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 90%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 1.5
Elite confidence
90% v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
AJ Green MIL assists under 2.5 2.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 89%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 2.5
Elite confidence
89% v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Myles Turner BLK 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 87%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus
UNDER 1.5
Elite confidence
87% gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Ryan Rollins MIL PTS 19.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 36 · Miss Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 19.5
Elite confidence
85% v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Deni Avdija POR AST 6.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Actual 7 · Hit Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Jrue Holiday POR AST 6.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Actual 8 · Hit Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Blake Wesley POR AST 6.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Actual 1 · Miss Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Taurean Prince MIL PTS 25.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Actual 13 · Miss Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano
OVER 25.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Donovan Clingan POR REB 12.5 3/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
2/3 lean OVER Actual 15 · Hit Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 12.5
Solid confidence
67% v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite
OVER 11.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Kris Murray POR PTS 5.5 3/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
2/3 lean OVER Actual 5 · Miss Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 5.5
Elite confidence
85% v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Ryan Rollins MIL assists over 5.5 5.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 82%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Donovan Clingan POR PTS 14.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 80%
Split 1/2 OVER Actual 14 · Miss Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 14.5
High confidence
80% v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Deni Avdija POR PTS 24.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 79%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 18 · Hit Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 24.5
High confidence
79% v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Donovan Clingan POR rebounds over 11.5 11.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 78%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Deni Avdija POR rebounds over 6.5 6.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 76%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Scoot Henderson POR AST 4.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Actual 4 · Miss Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Ryan Rollins MIL AST 5.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Actual 4 · Miss Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Jerami Grant POR PTS 18.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Actual 18 · Miss Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Ousmane Dieng MIL AST 3.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Actual 4 · Hit Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
AJ Green MIL AST 2.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 5 · Miss Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Toumani Camara POR assists under 2.5 2.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 74%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Kris Murray POR points over 5.5 5.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 72%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Donovan Clingan POR BLK 2.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 70%
Unanimous OVER Actual 2 · Miss Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Matisse Thybulle POR STL 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 70%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Andre Jackson Jr. MIL STL 0.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 70%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Jericho Sims MIL PTS 7.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 65%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Jericho Sims MIL REB 6.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 65%
Split 1/2 OVER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite
UNDER 5.5
Solid confidence
65% v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Jericho Sims MIL STK 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 60%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash
UNDER 1.5
Solid confidence
60% v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Gary Trent Jr. MIL PTS 6.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 60%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 0 · Hit Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite
UNDER 6.5
Solid confidence
60% v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Jericho Sims MIL AST 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 55%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
consensus No pick
No published pick for this prop.
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Featured Picks Ryan Rollins Points UNDER 19.5 HIGH
The line is above his 16.8 PPG season mean and 18.6 PPG last-5 average, and the book edge is 31.1% with 57.76 EV per 100. That is the cleanest value on the board from the provided data.
Deni Avdija Points UNDER 24.5 HIGH
His last 10 scoring is 19.8 PPG, which is well below the 24.5 line, and the value_props table gives a 27.7% edge with 54.09 EV per 100. The recent dip versus season average supports fading the over.
Kris Murray Points UNDER 5.5 HIGH
Murray's season mean is 5.9 PPG, but the recent mean is just 4.5 PPG, and his role has been inconsistent with only 17.3 mpg in the last 10. The combination of weak baseline and unstable minutes makes the under attractive.
Parlay of the Game Ryan Rollins — Points UNDER 19.5 Leg 1
Deni Avdija — Points UNDER 24.5 Leg 2
Kris Murray — Points UNDER 5.5 Leg 3
These legs all lean under on players whose listed lines sit above either their season baseline or their more recent production. The combination also avoids correlated over-variance and benefits from multiple players showing recent regression relative to their season levels.
Injury & Lineup Notes Damian Lillard and Shaedon Sharpe are out for Portland, while Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Porter Jr. are out for Milwaukee. Bobby Portis is questionable with right calf soreness, which is the main additional injury risk to monitor.
Player Deep Dives This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.
