AI Model:

Taurean Prince▼

MIL · SG

PPG

6.1

RPG

2.1

APG

0.9

L5 PPG

8.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.9

6.1

8.0

RPG+0.7

2.1

2.8

APG+0.1

0.9

1.0

SPG-0.4

0.6

0.2

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

IND

2025-11-03

2025-11-03 vs IND: 6 pts

TOR

2025-11-04

2025-11-04 vs TOR: 0 pts

PHX

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHX: 0 pts

MIA

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MIA: 8 pts

ATL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs ATL: 0 pts

IND

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs IND: 13 pts

CLE

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs CLE: 8 pts

UTA

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs UTA: 6 pts

PHX

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs PHX: 8 pts

LAC

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs LAC: 5 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5DRAFTKINGS

82%

REB

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

AST

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

79%

3PM

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

STL

OVER 0.5

54%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

70%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

7.3

5.2

RPG

1.9

2.5

APG

1.0

vs POR (H2H)10 games

PPG

6.5

RPG

2.1

APG

1.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jarace Walker	2	6	90%	+34.0%	low
Baylor Scheierman	1	5	0%	-46.0%	low
Dean Wade	2	4	33%	-12.7%	low
Kawhi Leonard	2	4	63%

Minutes should be there, but scoring remains capped for Prince

Taurean Prince is sitting at 6.1 PPG for the season and 5.4 PPG over his last 10, with a recent bounce to 8.0 PPG over the last 5 that still trails a stable role more than a true breakout. His minutes have held around 19-21 MPG, but his production profile is low-usage, with only 0.9 APG and 2.1 RPG on the season. The absence of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Porter Jr. helps keep rotation minutes available, but Prince’s own baseline still points more toward a modest line than an efficiency spike. Against Portland, the matchup environment is workable, yet the stronger signals still favor a conservative points outlook and a slight lean under on volume-based props.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.0(↑ from 6.1)

RPG

2.8(↑ from 2.1)

APG

1.0(→ from 0.9)

3PM

1.4(→ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, and the opponent profile shows a 117.08 defensive rating with 0.373 scoring suppression. Portland also allows a 0.639 three suppression mark, which modestly pressures Prince’s already average perimeter scoring profile.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Taurean Prince▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	82%HIGH	2/2	60%	FLIP	13	✗
Taurean Prince▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	FLIP	6	✗
Taurean Prince▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	79%HIGH	—	90%	1→1.5	2	✗
Taurean Prince▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	FLIP	3	✗
Taurean Prince▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	40%	FLIP	1	✓
Taurean Prince▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	100%		1	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11.5UNDER13%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x5/2025%+25.0% edge▼

PRA10.5OVER33%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

REB3.5UNDER47%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x3/2015%+31.7% edge▼

3PA5UNDER42%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x5/2025%▼

P+R10.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x7/2035%▼

P+A9.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x6/2030%▼

3PM2.5UNDER52%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x5/2025%+20.1% edge▼

R+A4UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)5/2025%▼

AST1OVER39%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 6x7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Taurean Prince

Points UNDER 7.5HIGH

This is the strongest play on the board because the season mean is 6.1, the last 10 is 5.4, and the value data shows a 0.245 edge with 0.771 our_prob_under at DraftKings. Even with Giannis and Kevin Porter Jr. out, Prince’s usage profile has not shown enough growth to justify an over at 7.5.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Blake Wesley	1	0	3	100%	100%
Caleb Love	1	0	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 7.582%HIGH

Season mean is 6.1 and last 10 is 5.4, while the value data shows a strong UNDER lean at 7.5 with 0.771 our_prob_under and 0.245 best edge. His last 5 at 8.0 is above season, but that is not enough to outweigh the broader scoring baseline.

reboundsUNDER 2.558%MEDIUM

Prince averages 2.1 RPG on the season and 2.3 over the last 10, so 2.5 is slightly above his normal output. Recent variance is moderate, making the under the cleaner side despite minutes staying around 20.

assistsUNDER 1.579%HIGH

He sits at 0.9 APG for the season and 0.7 over the last 10, well below 1.5. The value data also supports the under with 0.743 our_prob_under and positive edge on the listed book.

threesUNDER 1.568%MEDIUM

Prince averages 1.5 threes season-long, but the recent mean is 1.4 and the under is supported by the value set at multiple books. With a season std of 0.94 and recent std of 1.02, this is a modest-confidence under rather than a lock.

stealsOVER 0.554%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 SPG on the season and 0.8 in away games, so 0.5 is reachable. The recent sample is weaker at 0.2 over the last 5, so confidence stays limited.

stocksUNDER 1.570%HIGH

His season stocks average is 0.69 and recent is 0.4, both far below 1.5. The combination of modest steal/block volume and low recent production makes the under the clear side.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS