Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George | 3 | 14 | 50% | -15.8% | medium |
| Miles Bridges | 4 | 11 | 46% | -13.4% | medium |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 3 | 10 | 44% | -11.6% | medium |
| Kon Knueppel | 3 | 10 | 70% |
Kyle Kuzma’s season line sits at 13.1 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 2.6 assists in 26.4 MPG, and the biggest swing factor is the absence of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Porter Jr. That said, his recent form is uneven: he’s at 10.6 PPG over the last 5 and 13.5 PPG over the last 10, while his last 5 rebounds have dropped to 2.8 from a 4.5 season average. Portland has a weak defensive profile with a 117.08 defensive rating, and Kuzma has averaged 16.0 PPG in 9 career games vs this opponent, but his questionable Achilles status adds risk to minutes and efficiency.
Portland’s opponent profile is favorable on paper with a 117.08 defensive rating and 100 pace, but there is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed players. Kuzma has also averaged 16.0 PPG in 9 games against this opponent, which supports his scoring floor.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Kuzma▼ | Points | 12.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | — | 50% |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 59%MEDIUM | — | 70% |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | Turnovers | 2 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | — | 30% |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | P+R | 17.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | P+A | 14.5 | OVER | 53%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
This is the cleanest angle because his season average is 4.5 RPG and his last 5 and last 10 rebound numbers are both 2.8 and 2.7, respectively. The line is too high relative to current production, and the under aligns with both form and season baseline.
| medium |
| Jaylen Brown | 2 | 9 | 80% | +10.9% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | 1 | 5 | 9 | 43% | 57% |
| Donovan Clingan | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jerami Grant | 1 | 1 | 5 | 67% | 67% |
| Robert Williams III | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Sidy Cissoko | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season average is 13.1 PPG and he has a 16.0 PPG average in 9 games vs Portland. The outs for Giannis and Kevin Porter Jr. support usage, but the last-5 slump to 10.6 PPG and questionable status limit confidence.
He averages 4.5 RPG on the season and only 2.8 RPG over the last 5, well below this line. His last 10 rebound average is also just 2.7, so the under fits the current role and form.
Kuzma’s season mean is 2.57 APG and his recent mean is 2.8 APG, both just above the line. The absence of Kevin Porter Jr. helps playmaking responsibility, though the margin is small.
He averages 1.23 made threes per game on the season and 1.7 over the last 5, with 1.9 over the last 20. The volume is there, but the variance is meaningful.
He’s at 0.6 SPG for the season and 0.8 over the last 5, so clearing 0.5 is reasonable. The upside is modest, but the line is low enough to consider.
His season average is 0.4 BPG and his last 20 is only 0.2 BPG. Even with a few recent blocks, the baseline favors the under.
He averages 1.03 stocks on the season and 1.2 over the last 5, both below this threshold. Recent production has improved, but not enough to make 1.5 a strong over.
He’s at 2.1 turnovers over the last 10 and 1.9 over the last 20, with 2.6 APG seasonally. The ball-handling load should stay elevated without Giannis and KPJ.
His season averages sum to 17.6 P+R, but the recent rebound drop to 2.8 makes this combo fragile. Combo props carry extra variance, and his current form points slightly below the line.
He averages 15.7 points plus assists on the season and 13.2 over the last 5. The season baseline is above the line, but the recent scoring dip keeps this close.