AI Model:

Toumani Camara▲

POR · SG

PPG

13.0

RPG

5.2

APG

2.5

L5 PPG

18.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+5.4

13.0

18.4

RPG-1.6

5.2

3.6

APG-0.9

2.5

1.6

SPG-0.1

1.1

1.0

BPG-0.2

0.4

0.2

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

12.5

HOU

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs HOU: 16 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 7 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 11 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 5 pts

PHI

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs PHI: 7 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 18 pts

IND

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs IND: 17 pts

MIN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs MIN: 6 pts

DEN

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs DEN: 16 pts

BKN

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs BKN: 35 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

62%

REB

UNDER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

AST

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

3PM

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

STL

OVER 1

55%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

64%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

15.6

12.4

RPG

4.4

5.3

APG

2.6

2.2

vs MIL (H2H)5 games

PPG

9.2

RPG

6.2

APG

2.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kevin Durant	4	33	59%	+10.5%	medium
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	4	24	69%	+21.5%	medium
Stephen Curry	4	21	61%	+3.4%	medium
Jaylen Brown	2	21	68%

Camara’s role is secure, but the points line looks a touch high

Toumani Camara is averaging 13.0 PPG, 5.2 RPG, and 2.5 APG on 33.2 MPG this season, with his last 10 showing 13.8 PPG and 31.1 MPG. The recent scoring spike to 18.4 PPG over the last 5 is a notable jump, but it comes with high variance and a 35-point outlier, so regression risk is real. His home split is solid at 15.6 PPG and 3.6 made threes in 29.3 MPG, and Portland’s absences should keep his usage stable. The matchup also looks manageable with no specific defender matchup data and Milwaukee missing key pieces, but the best edge still leans to his threes rather than points.

Stat Trends

PPG

18.4(↑ from 13.0)

RPG

3.6(↓ from 5.2)

APG

1.6(↓ from 2.5)

3PM

2.8(↑ from 2.5)

Stocks

1.2(↓ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

Milwaukee’s listed defender data does not give a clear one-on-one read, so there is no specific defender matchup data. The broader team context is workable for scoring, but the opponent’s defense profile still supports caution on overs that need efficiency or volume.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Toumani Camara▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	12.5→13	10	✓
Toumani Camara▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	FLIP	3	✓
Toumani Camara▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	60%		1	✓
Toumani Camara▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%		2	✗
Toumani Camara▼	Steals	1	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	30%		2	✓
Toumani Camara▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	70%		1	✗
Toumani Camara▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	—	60%	FLIP	3	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A16.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

AST2UNDER59%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

PRA20OVER14%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

PTS14UNDER12%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

3PM2.5UNDER8%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

FTM1.5UNDER26%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼

P+R19.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

REB5UNDER25%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%▼

FTA2UNDER30%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%▼

STL1UNDER52%gbt_stealsAvoid (6/20)8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

3PA7UNDER13%gbtAvoid (6/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Toumani Camara

Threes OVER 2.5HIGH

This is the strongest edge in the data, with a 17.1% edge at FanDuel and 14.0% at DraftKings. Camara’s season mark of 2.54 made threes, plus 2.8 over the last 10 and 3.6 over the last 5, all support the Over.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Ryan Rollins	1	6	2	25%	25%
Myles Turner	1	2	0	0%	0%
Andre Jackson Jr.	2	1	0	0%	0%
Bobby Portis	1	1	3	33%	50%
Cole Anthony	1	1	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 12.562%MEDIUM

His season mean is 12.99 PPG, and the available books are mostly hanging 12.5-13.5. The last-5 surge to 18.4 PPG is inflated by a 35-point game, so the season baseline and his 9.2 PPG in 5 games vs this opponent support a slight UNDER lean.

reboundsUNDER 4.558%MEDIUM

Camara’s season average is 5.18 RPG, but his last 10 is 4.6 and last 5 is 3.6. The market is effectively pricing 4.5, and with this being a volatile category, the Under is the safer side despite his larger season number.

assistsUNDER 2.557%MEDIUM

He averages 2.47 APG for the season and 2.3 over the last 10, both essentially around the line. With no strong recent assist spike and a fairly modest distribution role, the Under is slightly favored.

threesOVER 2.570%HIGH

This is the clearest value spot: he averages 2.54 made threes for the season, 2.8 over the last 10, and 3.6 in his last 5. The value_props data shows a 17.1% edge at FanDuel and a 14.0% edge at DraftKings, making the Over the strongest play.

stealsOVER 155%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 SPG for the season and 1.4 over the last 10, so clearing 1.0 is realistic. The volatility is high, so confidence stays moderate.

blocksUNDER 0.564%MEDIUM

His season average is only 0.4 BPG, with 0.3 over the last 10 and 0.2 over the last 5. That keeps the Under in play versus a 0.5 line.

stocksUNDER 1.556%MEDIUM

Camara’s season stocks average is 1.49, which sits right below the 1.5 threshold, and the last 5 is 1.2. This is a volatile combo prop, so the Under is the conservative side.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS