NightlyHoops / 2026-03-25 / MIA vs CLE AI Model: NightlyHoops Board Haiku v2-gpt-5.4-mini Gemini Flash v3-gemini-flash-lite v3-gpt-4.1-nano GPT-5.4m
@
CLE
Cavaliers
45-27 | L10: 7-3
2026-03-25
Version History 3 versions
v3
Full Run 7:30 PM 15 changes
[Full run] 1 pick flipped (Tyler Herro), 1 line moved, 1 confidence change, 3 new props, 3 props removed, 3 new best bets, 3 best bets removed
expand_more
v2
Full Run 12:10 PM 10 changes
[Full run] 1 pick flipped (Jarrett Allen), 1 line moved, 2 new props, 2 props removed, 2 new best bets, 2 best bets removed
expand_more v1
Full Run 10:08 AM Initial prediction
ML Game Intelligence HIGH MIA 103 - 103 CLE
Key Factors
* Heat has key positional matchup advantages* Cavaliers has home court advantage* Cavaliers has positional advantages with deeper rotation (241.7 vs 224.1 depth)* Season series tied 8-11 between Cavaliers and Heat* Heat's Terry Rozier ruled out ()Key Matchup
Cavaliers has matchup advantages
CLE Advantages
+ Positional advantages + Better roster depth Key Defensive Matchups MIA Players
Norman Powell
Keon Ellis 2g · 9m +0.0% 0% eFG low
Sam Merrill 4g · 8m +0.0% 0% eFG medium
De'Andre Hunter 2g · 8m +0.0% 80% eFG low
Bam Adebayo
Evan Mobley 2g · 8m +0.0% 50% eFG low
Jarrett Allen 1g · 5m +0.0% 60% eFG low
Miami comes in at 38-34, has dropped 5 straight, and is on the second night of a back-to-back for Cleveland, while the Cavaliers are 45-27 with a 4-game winning streak. That creates a tough spot for Miami’s rotation, but the Cavs’ rest disadvantage also raises volatility for their primary ball-handlers and usage hubs. The biggest storyline is whether Cleveland’s heavy-minute stars can maintain production on short rest against a Heat team that has been inconsistent but still brings multiple high-usage options.
Key Players Prop Picks Player Prop Line Pick Confidence Trend Evolution Edge Actual Result Donovan Mitchell▼
CLE
Points 28.5 stake UNDER 63% MEDIUM 80% — +17.0% 28 ✓ James Harden▼
CLE
Points 23.5 stake UNDER 61% MEDIUM 60% — +12.0% 18 ✓ Tyler Herro▼
MIA
Points 19.5 stake OVER 69% MEDIUM 70% FLIP +15.3% 18 ✗ Bam Adebayo▼
MIA
Assists 2.5 betmgm OVER 75% HIGH 60% — +11.0% 7 ✓ Kel'el Ware▼
MIA
Points 7.5 fanduel OVER 81% HIGH 60% — +28.2% 13 ✓
Model Comparison 7 models · 42 props compared
Sort: Confidence Consensus Player
Show: All (42) 90%+ (3) 80%+ (22) 70%+ (33) 50%+ (42)
Props Shown
42
42 total on slate
Unanimous
39
Full agreement across submitted picks
Tyler Herro MIA BLK 0.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 90%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 0 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 0.5
Elite confidence
88% v3-gemini-flash
UNDER 0.5
Elite confidence
90% v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin CLE AST 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 90%
Unanimous UNDER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash
UNDER 1.5
Elite confidence
90% v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Evan Mobley CLE BLK 2.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 90%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 0 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash
UNDER 2.5
Elite confidence
90% v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
James Harden CLE assists over 8.5 8.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 87%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Keon Ellis CLE AST 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 1 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash
UNDER 1.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Norman Powell MIA PRA 24.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash
OVER 24.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Norman Powell MIA STL 0.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Bam Adebayo MIA STL 0.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Sam Merrill CLE points over 11.5 11.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano
OVER 11.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Keon Ellis CLE points over 6.5 6.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Donovan Mitchell CLE points over 28.5 28.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano
OVER 28.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Evan Mobley CLE assists over 4.5 4.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Bam Adebayo MIA points over 14.5 14.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano
OVER 14.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Pelle Larsson MIA assists over 3.5 3.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Tyler Herro MIA points over 19.5 19.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano
OVER 19.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Jamei Jaquez Jr. MIA points over 12.5 12.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano
OVER 12.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Andrew Wiggins MIA points over 14.5 14.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano
OVER 14.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Donovan Mitchell CLE PTS 28.5 3/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
2/3 lean OVER Actual 28 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 28.5
Solid confidence
63% v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite
OVER 28.5
Elite confidence
85% v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
James Harden CLE AST 8.5 3/7 models submitted Best confidence 85%
2/3 lean OVER Actual 7 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Evan Mobley CLE REB 8.5 3/7 models submitted Best confidence 84%
Unanimous OVER Actual 5 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Kel'el Ware MIA PTS 7.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 81%
Unanimous OVER Actual 13 · Hit Show notes
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Keon Ellis CLE STK 2.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 80%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 2 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
James Harden CLE STK 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 76%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 1 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Bam Adebayo MIA AST 2.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Actual 7 · Hit Show notes
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Evan Mobley CLE PTS 18.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Actual 8 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Keon Ellis CLE REB 2.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 2 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Tyler Herro MIA AST 3.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Actual 4 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIA AST 4.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Sam Merrill CLE 3PM 2.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Actual 4 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Andrew Wiggins MIA PTS 14.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Actual 12 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Keon Ellis CLE STL 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 75%
Unanimous OVER Actual 2 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
James Harden CLE PTS 23.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 72%
Split 1/2 OVER Actual 18 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 23.5
Solid confidence
61% Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Bam Adebayo MIA REB 10.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 71%
Unanimous OVER Actual 10 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Tyler Herro MIA PTS 19.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 69%
Unanimous OVER Actual 18 · Miss Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini
OVER 19.5
Solid confidence
69% Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Kel'el Ware MIA REB 7.5 2/7 models submitted Best confidence 69%
Unanimous OVER Actual 11 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Thomas Bryant CLE REB 3.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 69%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Dru Smith MIA STL 1.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 68%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Donovan Mitchell CLE AST 5.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 67%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 4 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini
UNDER 5.5
Solid confidence
67% v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Sam Merrill CLE AST 2.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 67%
Unanimous OVER Actual 4 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Kel'el Ware MIA BLK 0.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 65%
Unanimous OVER Actual 1 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Bam Adebayo MIA PTS 19.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 64%
Unanimous UNDER Actual 17 · Hit Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Haiku
UNDER 19.5
Solid confidence
64% v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Jarrett Allen CLE REB 9.5 1/7 models submitted Best confidence 62%
Unanimous OVER Awaiting result Show notes
gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v2-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gemini-flash-lite No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-4.1-nano No pick
No published pick for this prop.
v3-gpt-5.4-mini No pick
No published pick for this prop.
Featured Picks Kel'el Ware Points OVER 7.5 HIGH
His 11.07 season PPG and 9.6 recent PPG are both comfortably above 7.5, and the value market shows a 0.282 edge with 53.08 EV per $100.
Tyler Herro Points OVER 19.5 MEDIUM
Herro’s 21.4 season PPG and 21.7 recent PPG clear the line, and the listed 0.153 edge plus 28.47 EV per $100 make it a strong value play.
Donovan Mitchell Points UNDER 28.5 MEDIUM
Mitchell’s 28.25 season PPG is below the line and his recent mean is 25.3, so the under gets support from both baseline and market data with a 0.17 edge.
Parlay of the Game Kel'el Ware — Points OVER 7.5 Leg 1
Tyler Herro — Points OVER 19.5 Leg 2
James Harden — Points UNDER 23.5 Leg 3
Ware and Herro both have positive value on scoring overs, while Harden’s line is shaded above his recent mean and the back-to-back adds downside risk for the Cleveland side. The legs are balanced across teams and do not rely on the same statistical bucket, limiting combo variance compared with PRA-style props.
Injury & Lineup Notes Max Strus is Out (Injury/Illness-LeftFoot). Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, and all listed Cavaliers are marked Available or Unknown status; Dennis Schröder has Unknown injury status, so do not assume availability from this data.
Player Deep Dives This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.
