Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moussa Cisse | 3 | 9 | 100% | +47.8% | medium |
| Dwight Powell | 4 | 7 | 100% | +47.8% | medium |
| Ryan Dunn | 2 | 7 | 83% | +14.5% | low |
| Draymond Green | 2 | 6 | 80% |
Kyle Anderson's season line sits at 6.5 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 2.7 assists in 19.4 MPG, while his last-10 scoring has been even lower at 4.1 PPG. The absence of Anthony Edwards (29.6 PPG, 35.5 MPG) should help his role, but his recent game logs still show limited scoring output and modest minutes in the 16-25 range. Houston's defense is not an easy shooting environment, and this matchup also comes with some defensive resistance based on the listed key defenders. Overall, the safest angle leans to conservative unders on his scoring-related props, with assists and rebounds carrying more stability than points.
Houston's opponent defense shows a 109.99 defensive rating and -1.223 scoring suppression, which is a modest headwind for points. There is no specific defender matchup data provided beyond the listed key defenders, so the matchup note is best framed as a team-level defensive environment rather than a single-on-single assignment.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Anderson▼ | Points | 6.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
Kyle Anderson▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 5 | ✓ |
Kyle Anderson▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 3 | ✓ |
Kyle Anderson▼ | Steals | 1 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | — | 100% | 1 | ✗ |
Kyle Anderson▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 51%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 1 | ✓ |
Kyle Anderson▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 100% | 2 | ✗ |
Kyle Anderson▼ | Turnovers | 2 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
Kyle Anderson▼ | PRA | 13 | UNDER | 55%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 11 | ✓ |
Kyle Anderson▼ | P+A | 9.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 6 | ✓ |
This is the cleanest angle because his season mean is 6.47 PPG and his last-10 is only 4.1 PPG. Even with Anthony Edwards out, Kyle Anderson's recent scoring output and 17.0 MPG last-10 point to a lower scoring baseline than the line.
| low |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 2 | 6 | 125% | +47.8% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 2 | 5 | 2 | 25% | 25% |
| Kevin Durant | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Amen Thompson | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Alperen Sengun | 2 | 2 | 6 | 50% | 50% |
| Jeff Green | 1 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
His season mean is 6.47 PPG and his last-10 is only 4.1 PPG, which is below a 6.5 line. Even with Anthony Edwards out, the recent scoring trend and 17.0 MPG last-10 support a lower-scoring projection.
He averages 3.38 rebounds per game on the season and 3.5 over the last 5, so 3.5 is close but playable. The better rebound profile away from home is a plus, though the edge is modest.
His season mean is 2.74 APG and his last-5 is 3.4 APG, with 2.9 APG over the last 10. The increased ball-handling opportunity without Anthony Edwards keeps this slightly above a 2.5 baseline.
He averages exactly 1.0 steals per game on the season but only 0.6 over the last 5 and 0.4 over the last 10. That recent drop makes 1.0 a tough number to clear consistently.
He averages 0.5 blocks per game on the season and has 0.4 over the last 5, 0.4 over the last 10, and 0.6 over the last 20. This is close to a coin flip, but the season average supports a slight lean over.
His season stocks average is 1.5, but recent production is softer at 0.8 over the last 10 and 1.0 over the last 5. With the line set at his combined season number, the recent trend favors the under.
He is at 0.9 turnovers per game over the last 10 and 1.0 over the last 20, below a 2.0 line. Even with more usage from teammate absences, his recent turnover profile is still well under this number.
His season PRA is 12.7, but the last-10 combo production is softer given 4.1 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 2.9 assists. Combo props carry extra variance, so the slight lean is under unless the role expands materially.
He combines for 9.2 points plus assists on the season, and his recent scoring has pulled that down. The line is slightly above his baseline, making the under the more conservative side.