AI Model:

Kyle Anderson▲

MIN · C

PPG

6.5

RPG

3.4

APG

2.7

L5 PPG

5.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.5

6.5

5.0

RPG+0.4

3.4

3.8

APG+0.7

2.7

3.4

SPG-0.4

1.0

0.6

BPG-0.1

0.5

0.4

UNDER 6.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

6.5

MEM

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MEM: 2 pts

TOR

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs TOR: 4 pts

LAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs LAL: 5 pts

LAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs LAC: 5 pts

GSW

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs GSW: 0 pts

OKC

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs OKC: 0 pts

PHX

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs PHX: 7 pts

UTA

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs UTA: 8 pts

POR

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs POR: 4 pts

BOS

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs BOS: 6 pts

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 6.5

68%

REB

OVER 3.5

56%

AST

OVER 2.5

57%

STL

UNDER 1

63%

BLK

OVER 0.5

51%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

58%

UNDER 2

60%

PRA

UNDER 13

55%

P+A

UNDER 9.5

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.4

5.7

RPG

2.4

4.0

APG

3.2

1.8

vs HOU (H2H)18 games

PPG

7.4

RPG

3.9

APG

3.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Moussa Cisse	3	9	100%	+47.8%	medium
Dwight Powell	4	7	100%	+47.8%	medium
Ryan Dunn	2	7	83%	+14.5%	low
Draymond Green	2	6	80%

Usage boost from Anthony Edwards out, but Kyle Anderson still profiles as a low-scoring, moderate-floor role player

Kyle Anderson's season line sits at 6.5 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 2.7 assists in 19.4 MPG, while his last-10 scoring has been even lower at 4.1 PPG. The absence of Anthony Edwards (29.6 PPG, 35.5 MPG) should help his role, but his recent game logs still show limited scoring output and modest minutes in the 16-25 range. Houston's defense is not an easy shooting environment, and this matchup also comes with some defensive resistance based on the listed key defenders. Overall, the safest angle leans to conservative unders on his scoring-related props, with assists and rebounds carrying more stability than points.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.0(↓ from 6.5)

RPG

3.8(↑ from 3.4)

APG

3.4(↑ from 2.7)

Key Matchup

Houston's opponent defense shows a 109.99 defensive rating and -1.223 scoring suppression, which is a modest headwind for points. There is no specific defender matchup data provided beyond the listed key defenders, so the matchup note is best framed as a team-level defensive environment rather than a single-on-single assignment.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kyle Anderson▼	Points	6.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	3	✓
Kyle Anderson▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	5	✓
Kyle Anderson▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	3	✓
Kyle Anderson▼	Steals	1	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	100%	1	✗
Kyle Anderson▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	51%MEDIUM	—	40%	1	✓
Kyle Anderson▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	—	100%	2	✗
Kyle Anderson▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	100%	1	✓
Kyle Anderson▼	PRA	13	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	11	✓
Kyle Anderson▼	P+A	9.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	6	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS4.5UNDER11%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

PRA11UNDER22%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+R8UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

FTA0.5UNDER16%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 5x10/2050%▼

REB3OVER32%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+A7OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼

AST2.5OVER14%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

R+A6OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Kyle Anderson

Points UNDER 6.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because his season mean is 6.47 PPG and his last-10 is only 4.1 PPG. Even with Anthony Edwards out, Kyle Anderson's recent scoring output and 17.0 MPG last-10 point to a lower scoring baseline than the line.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jabari Smith Jr.	2	5	2	25%	25%
Kevin Durant	2	4	0	0%	0%
Amen Thompson	2	3	0	0%	0%
Alperen Sengun	2	2	6	50%	50%
Jeff Green	1	2	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 6.568%MEDIUM

His season mean is 6.47 PPG and his last-10 is only 4.1 PPG, which is below a 6.5 line. Even with Anthony Edwards out, the recent scoring trend and 17.0 MPG last-10 support a lower-scoring projection.

reboundsOVER 3.556%MEDIUM

He averages 3.38 rebounds per game on the season and 3.5 over the last 5, so 3.5 is close but playable. The better rebound profile away from home is a plus, though the edge is modest.

assistsOVER 2.557%MEDIUM

His season mean is 2.74 APG and his last-5 is 3.4 APG, with 2.9 APG over the last 10. The increased ball-handling opportunity without Anthony Edwards keeps this slightly above a 2.5 baseline.

stealsUNDER 163%MEDIUM

He averages exactly 1.0 steals per game on the season but only 0.6 over the last 5 and 0.4 over the last 10. That recent drop makes 1.0 a tough number to clear consistently.

blocksOVER 0.551%MEDIUM

He averages 0.5 blocks per game on the season and has 0.4 over the last 5, 0.4 over the last 10, and 0.6 over the last 20. This is close to a coin flip, but the season average supports a slight lean over.

stocksUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.5, but recent production is softer at 0.8 over the last 10 and 1.0 over the last 5. With the line set at his combined season number, the recent trend favors the under.

turnoversUNDER 260%MEDIUM

He is at 0.9 turnovers per game over the last 10 and 1.0 over the last 20, below a 2.0 line. Even with more usage from teammate absences, his recent turnover profile is still well under this number.

praUNDER 1355%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 12.7, but the last-10 combo production is softer given 4.1 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 2.9 assists. Combo props carry extra variance, so the slight lean is under unless the role expands materially.

paUNDER 9.557%MEDIUM

He combines for 9.2 points plus assists on the season, and his recent scoring has pulled that down. The line is slightly above his baseline, making the under the more conservative side.

timelineUNDER 6.5 PTS