AI Model:

Tari Eason▼

HOU · SG

PPG

10.3

RPG

6.2

APG

1.6

L5 PPG

7.2

Last 10 GamesREB

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.1

10.3

7.2

RPG0.0

6.2

APG-0.2

1.6

1.4

SPG-0.4

1.2

0.8

BPG+0.1

0.5

0.6

OVER 4.5 REB

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

4.5

POR

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs POR: 5 reb

SAS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs SAS: 6 reb

TOR

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs TOR: 3 reb

DEN

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs DEN: 8 reb

NOP

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs NOP: 8 reb

LAL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs LAL: 9 reb

LAL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAL: 6 reb

ATL

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs ATL: 10 reb

MIA

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs MIA: 3 reb

CHI

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs CHI: 3 reb

Over 4.5

Under 4.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

REB

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

88%

PTS

OVER 7.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

AST

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

3PM

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.0

6.4

RPG

5.7

7.1

APG

1.5

2.4

vs MIN (H2H)7 games

PPG

9.6

RPG

5.4

APG

1.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Luka Dončić	3	14	46%	-2.6%	medium
Karl-Anthony Towns	2	9	57%	+16.0%	low
Kawhi Leonard	2	9	50%	+5.1%	low
Cooper Flagg	3	8	17%

Rebounding is Tari Eason’s best path despite the scoring dip

Tari Eason’s form has cooled on the scoreboard, with 7.2 PPG over the last 5 and 6.3 over the last 10 versus a 10.3 season average. The minutes have also ticked down recently to 24.8 last 5 and 24.1 last 10, but his rebounding has held steady at 6.2 last 5 and 6.1 last 10. With Fred VanVleet out and Steven Adams out on his side, plus Anthony Edwards out for Minnesota, the clearest edge comes from boards rather than points in a lower-scoring profile.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.2(↓ from 10.3)

RPG

6.2(→ from 6.2)

APG

1.4(↓ from 1.6)

Stocks

1.4(↓ from 1.7)

Key Matchup

The provided opponent defense data shows a 114.45 defensive rating, pace of 100, and three suppression of -0.383, which is not an easy scoring environment. Key defender data is available, but there is no specific defender matchup data to isolate as a primary edge from the information given.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Tari Eason▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	88%HIGH	1/2	70%	8	✓
Tari Eason▼	Points	7.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	3	✗
Tari Eason▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	0	✓
Tari Eason▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	20%	1	✓
Tari Eason▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA16.5UNDER27%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

3PA3UNDER38%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

P+R14.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

PTS8.5UNDER34%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼

REB5.5OVER18%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)13/2065%+10.9% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.287▼

FTA0.5UNDER8%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

P+A9.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼

AST1UNDER11%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%▼

Featured Pick

Tari Eason

Rebounds OVER 4.5HIGH

This is the cleanest matchup-plus-form angle because his season average is 6.2 rebounds and the recent samples stay near that level. The value props also back it strongly, with a 26.9% edge at FanDuel and a 24.1% edge at DraftKings, far better than the other options.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Bones Hyland	1	3	5	67%	83%
Naz Reid	1	2	4	25%	25%
Donte DiVincenzo	1	1	0	0%	0%
Jaden McDaniels	1	1	0	0%	0%
Mike Conley	1	1	0	0%	0%

reboundsOVER 4.588%HIGH

His season mean is 6.21 rebounds and his last 20 is 6.2, well above the 4.5 line. The value data shows a 26.9% edge at FanDuel and 24.1% at DraftKings, making this the strongest play on the board.

pointsOVER 7.560%MEDIUM

The line is below his 10.3 season average, but his recent scoring has fallen to 7.2 over the last 5 and 6.3 over the last 10. That makes the over playable only at a modest confidence level, especially with the downtrend.

assistsUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages just 1.58 assists for the season and 1.2 over the last 5, so the 1.5 line is near a coin flip. Given the recent dip and no strong assist surge in the data, the under is slightly safer.

threesOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

His season threes volume is 1.56 made per game, but the recent trend is much weaker at 0.2 over the last 10. The line is low, yet the sharp recent drop keeps confidence only moderate.

stocksOVER 1.557%MEDIUM

He averages 1.71 stocks on the season and 1.6 over the last 10, so the 1.5 threshold is reasonable. Variance is still meaningful, so this is better as a secondary lean than a primary bet.

timelineOVER 4.5 REB