Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clingan | 1 | 4 | 67% | +20.5% | low |
| Kevin Love | 2 | 4 | 50% | +3.8% | low |
| Ivica Zubac | 2 | 3 | 33% | -12.9% | low |
| Maxime Raynaud | 3 | 3 | 75% |
Maxi Kleber is trending slightly up in playing time, with his last 10 games showing 13.6 MPG versus 11.3 MPG for the season, but the production remains modest. His season averages are just 2.2 PPG, 2.0 RPG, and 0.6 APG, and his recent scoring has only reached 3.0 PPG over the last 10. The matchup is not a bad one on paper, as Indiana has a 120.51 defensive rating and allows a fast pace, but his role is still too limited to bank on a major offensive spike. His best statistical angle is efficiency on low-volume combo production, not raw scoring.
Indiana’s opponent defense data shows a 120.51 defensive rating and pace of 100, which can help create more possessions, but there is no specific defender matchup data beyond Obi Toppin and Pascal Siakam. Kleber’s best edge comes from opponent-wide environment, not a targeted matchup advantage.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maxi Kleber▼ | Points | 2.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 2 | ✓ |
Maxi Kleber▼ | Rebounds | 2 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 4 | ✓ |
Maxi Kleber▼ | Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 1 | ✓ |
Maxi Kleber▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | UNDER | 74%HIGH | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Maxi Kleber▼ | Steals | 0.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 2 | ✗ |
Maxi Kleber▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Maxi Kleber▼ | STL+BLK | 1 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | — | 20% | 2 | ✓ |
Maxi Kleber▼ | Turnovers | 0.5 | UNDER | 71%HIGH | — | 50% | 1 | ✗ |
Maxi Kleber▼ | P+R | 4.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 6 | ✗ |
His season scoring baseline is only 2.24 PPG, and his last 5 is 2.0 PPG, so the 2.5 number is slightly above his normal output. With only 11.3 MPG on the season and no clear role expansion in the data, the under is the cleanest look.
| medium |
| Victor Wembanyama | 2 | 3 | 117% | +53.8% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Potter | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 0% |
| Obi Toppin | 1 | 0 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Jay Huff | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| T.J. McConnell | 1 | 0 | 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Pascal Siakam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 2.24 PPG and the last 5 is 2.0, so a 2.5 line sits above his typical scoring output. The recent 3.0 PPG run is not enough to override the low season baseline and limited 11.3 MPG role.
He averages 2.0 RPG on the season and 2.2 RPG over the last 5, with 2.6 RPG over the last 10. This is a narrow edge, but the role and recent minutes bump keep him right around the number.
His season mean is 0.65 APG and he has 0.7 APG over the last 10, so a 0.5 line is reasonable to clear. The variance is still high, so this is not a strong play.
He averages only 0.18 threes per game on the season and 0.2 over the last 5, with 0.0 fg3mpg in the last 5. The volume is far too low to support an OVER on 0.5 made threes.
His season steals average is 0.4 per game, below the threshold for a meaningful over look. Even with a couple recent stock games, the baseline remains modest.
He averages 0.3 blocks on the season, and while the last 5 shows 0.8 bpg, that is a small sample and likely volatile. Season-level production still points under 0.5.
His season stocks average is 0.68, but the last 5 is 1.2 and the last 10 is 1.1. The recent defensive activity gives him a decent shot to clear 1.0, though variance is still high.
He averages only 0.5 turnovers over the last 20 and 0.6 over the last 10, with very low ball-handling usage. Limited offensive responsibility keeps this under in play.
His season averages of 2.2 points and 2.0 rebounds combine to 4.2 PR, and his recent form is only slightly above that. With low minutes and modest shot volume, 4.5 is a tough over.