AI Model:
SF
Rui Hachimura▼
LAL · SF
PPG
11.1
RPG
3.2
APG
0.8
L5 PPG
5.8
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-5.3
11.1
5.8
RPG-0.8
3.2
2.4
APG-0.8
0.8
0.0
SPG-0.2
0.6
0.4
BPG+0.1
0.3
0.4
UNDER 10.5 PTS
Last 10 games
5
Current Streak
5
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
10.5
16
DEN
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs DEN: 16 pts
13
IND
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs IND: 13 pts
13
NYK
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs NYK: 13 pts
9
MIN
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs MIN: 9 pts
15
CHI
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs CHI: 15 pts
6
DEN
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs DEN: 6 pts
6
HOU
2026-03-16
2026-03-16 vs HOU: 6 pts
8
HOU
2026-03-18
2026-03-18 vs HOU: 8 pts
7
MIA
2026-03-19
2026-03-19 vs MIA: 7 pts
2
ORL
2026-03-21
2026-03-21 vs ORL: 2 pts
Over 10.5
Under 10.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 10.5STAKE
69%
REB
UNDER 3.5STAKE
63%
AST
UNDER 1.5STAKE
82%
3PM
UNDER 1.5
57%
STL
OVER 0.5STAKE
52%
BLK
UNDER 0.5STAKE
71%
STL+BLK
UNDER 1.5
68%
P+R
UNDER 13.5STAKE
64%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
10.3
7.8
RPG
2.9
2.0
APG
0.9
0.6
vs IND (H2H)12 games
PPG
13.9
RPG
5.3
APG
0.8
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 4 | 18 | 62% | +1.8% | medium |
| Saddiq Bey | 3 | 11 | 63% | -1.1% | medium |
| P.J. Washington | 3 | 10 | 57% | +6.0% | medium |
| Miles Bridges | 2 | 10 | 79% |
Hachimura’s scoring floor is shaky, but the matchup and absences keep him in play
Rui Hachimura is in a clear downtrend, with just 5.8 PPG over his last 5 games and 9.5 PPG over his last 10, both below his 11.1 season average. The questionable calf tag and recent drop to 20.4 MPG in the last 5 add risk, especially with his production slipping from season norms. Indiana’s defense has a 120.51 rating and 100 pace, and Hachimura has averaged 13.92 PPG in 12 games vs this opponent, which is better than his current form. Marcus Smart being doubtful helps preserve usage, but the stronger lean is still toward conservative stat lines given the recent minutes and scoring decline.
Stat Trends
PPG
5.8(↓ from 11.1)
RPG
2.4(↓ from 3.2)
APG
0.0(↓ from 0.8)
3PM
0.6(↓ from 1.7)
Key Matchup
Indiana’s defense carries a 120.51 defensive rating and a 100 pace, with a 1.144 scoring suppression mark. Hachimura has 12 games of history vs this opponent at 13.92 PPG and 5.33 RPG, but there is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rui Hachimura▼ | Points | 10.5 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% |
Rui Hachimura▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% |
Rui Hachimura▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 82%HIGH | — | 80% |
Rui Hachimura▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
Rui Hachimura▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 52%MEDIUM | — | 40% |
Rui Hachimura▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 71%HIGH | — | 70% |
Rui Hachimura▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | — | 100% |
Rui Hachimura▼ | P+R | 13.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% |
ML Scout Analysis
REB3.5UNDER46%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (14/20)4/2020%+34.3% edgeConfidence moved LOW to HIGH▼
P+R12UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)7/2035%▼
PTS14.5UNDER54%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)3/2015%+31.3% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
3PM2.5UNDER16%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (12/20)4/2020%+13.3% edge▼
PRA20.5UNDER41%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)3/2015%+30.9% edge▼
P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)7/2035%▼
R+A3UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼
Featured Pick
Rui Hachimura
Assists UNDER 1.5HIGH
This is the cleanest angle on the board because his season average is 0.8 APG and he has 0.0 APG in his last 5 games. Even with Marcus Smart doubtful, Hachimura’s assist role is still too small to justify an over.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.