Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert | 3 | 18 | 43% | -19.2% | medium |
| Luke Kornet | 3 | 16 | 75% | +12.9% | medium |
| Deandre Ayton | 3 | 15 | 57% | -5.0% | medium |
| Drew Eubanks | 3 | 14 | 50% |
Isaiah Hartenstein’s season line is strong at 9.7 points, 9.6 rebounds, and 3.8 assists in 25.1 MPG, but his last 5 show a clear scoring dip to 3.8 PPG while his playmaking and glass work stay active at 5.6 APG and 11.2 RPG. The recent form suggests his scoring is volatile, while rebounds and assists have held up better, especially with his last 10 at 9.3 RPG and 4.5 APG. Boston’s opponent profile is not especially friendly for ceiling outcomes, and his historical numbers vs this opponent are lower at 5.9 PPG, 7.0 RPG, and 2.23 APG across 13 games. With his recent minutes down to 22.7 and no injury issue, the best projection leans toward rebounds and assists over points.
Key defender data is limited, and Boston’s opponent profile shows a 106.96 defensive rating with 100 pace and scoring suppression of -1.903. There is some matchup context from the listed defenders, but the available data does not support a specific defender takeaway beyond no clear favorable edge on scoring volume.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Evolution | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | Points | 7.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 6 | ✓ | |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | Rebounds | 7.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 5 | ✗ | |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | Assists | 3.5 | OVER | 63%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 2.5→3.5 | 2 | ✗ |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 3 | ✓ | |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 0 | ✗ | |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 3 | ✓ | |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 30% | — | 0 | ✗ |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | P+R | 15.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | FLIP | 11 | ✗ |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | P+A | 10.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | — | 8 | ✗ |
This is the cleanest play because his season average is 9.6 rebounds, his last 10 are 9.3, and his last 5 are 11.2. The value data also shows multiple positive-edge entries on rebounds, including a 10.6% edge at 7.5 and a 13% edge at 9.5, making rebounds the strongest overall angle.
| medium |
| Nikola Jokić | 2 | 13 | 47% | -18.4% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neemias Queta | 1 | 6 | 8 | 80% | 80% |
| Jayson Tatum | 1 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Luka Garza | 1 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Jaylen Brown | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Derrick White | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season average is 9.7 PPG, but the last 5 are only 3.8 and his vs-opponent mark is 5.9 PPG across 13 games. With recent minutes at 22.7 and scoring volatility reflected by a 5.96 season standard deviation, the under is the safer side.
He averages 9.6 RPG on the season, 9.3 over the last 10, and 11.2 over the last 5, with a home split of 8.5 and away split of 8.6 still comfortably above this line. Value data also points to OVER at 7.5 with positive edge across multiple books.
His season mean is 3.8 APG, last 10 is 4.5, and last 5 is 5.6, while the home split is 5.4 APG. The assist prop is supported by multiple +EV value entries at 3.5 and his role has recently trended upward as a facilitator.
He averages 1.0 SPG on the season and 0.8 over the last 10, so clearing 0.5 is well within his normal production. Recent stocks remain solid at 2.0 over the last 10, though the variance keeps confidence moderate.
He averages 0.8 BPG on the season and 1.2 over the last 10, which supports an over on a 0.5 line. His recent blocks production remains live despite some low-minute scoring games.
His season stocks average is 1.78 and last 10 is 2.0, both above 1.5. Because the category combines steals and blocks, variance is higher, so the confidence stays moderate.
He is at 1.6 turnovers per game over the last 5 and 1.6 over the last 20, with 1.8 in away games. If this market is posted near 1.5, the over is viable, but the line source is projected because no sportsbook line was provided.
He averages 9.7 points and 9.6 rebounds, so 15.5 PR is reachable if rebounds hold near his recent levels. The combo carries extra variance, so confidence is kept conservative.
His season average of 3.8 APG paired with a 9.7 PPG baseline gives him a workable path over 10.5 if he gets normal usage. Recent assists are strong, but the scoring dip makes this less stable than rebounds.