AI Model:

Jaylin Williams▲

OKC · C

PPG

7.5

RPG

5.5

APG

2.5

L5 PPG

7.4

Last 10 GamesREB

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.1

7.5

7.4

RPG-0.1

5.5

5.4

APG-0.5

2.5

2.0

SPG-0.3

0.5

0.2

BPG-0.2

0.6

0.4

OVER 3.5 REB

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

3.5

CHI

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CHI: 16 reb

NYK

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs NYK: 5 reb

GSW

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs GSW: 14 reb

DEN

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs DEN: 12 reb

BOS

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs BOS: 2 reb

MIN

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs MIN: 3 reb

ORL

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs ORL: 6 reb

BKN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs BKN: 7 reb

WAS

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs WAS: 3 reb

PHI

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs PHI: 8 reb

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

REB

OVER 3.5FANDUEL

86%

PTS

OVER 6.5BOVADA

62%

3PM

OVER 1.5BETONLINEAG

64%

AST

OVER 1.5

61%

P+R

OVER 9.5STAKE

58%

R+A

OVER 6.5STAKE

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

10.4

10.1

RPG

5.3

7.1

APG

2.1

2.9

vs BOS (H2H)6 games

PPG

5.7

RPG

3.8

APG

1.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Nikola Jokić	3	18	58%	+9.8%	medium
Draymond Green	3	10	95%	+27.8%	medium
Oso Ighodaro	3	10	57%	+14.9%	medium
Jalen Duren	1	8	70%

Jaylin Williams has a usable rebounding floor with sneaky 3-point upside

Jaylin Williams is trending up overall, with his last 10 rising to 10.9 PPG, 7.6 RPG, and 2.6 APG while playing 22.6 MPG, well above his season baseline of 7.5/5.5/2.5 in 20.1 MPG. The matchup data is mixed: he averaged just 5.67 PPG, 3.83 RPG, and 1.83 APG in 6 games vs Boston, but his recent role and volume are stronger than that head-to-head sample. Boston's defense profile is solid enough to suppress scoring, so the cleaner angle is his board production rather than chasing a ceiling. The books also show value on several of his lower lines, especially rebounds and points.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.4(→ from 7.5)

RPG

5.4(→ from 5.5)

APG

2.0(↓ from 2.5)

Key Matchup

Against Boston, he has averaged 5.666666666666667 PPG, 3.8333333333333335 RPG, and 1.8333333333333333 APG in 6 games, so there is no specific defender matchup data to lean on for a targeted edge. Boston's opponent profile shows a 106.96 defensive rating and -1.903 scoring suppression, which is a mild headwind for points.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jaylin Williams▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	86%HIGH	2/2	70%	3	✗
Jaylin Williams▼	Points	6.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	4	✗
Jaylin Williams▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	1	✗
Jaylin Williams▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	0	✗
Jaylin Williams▼	P+R	9.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	7	✗
Jaylin Williams▼	R+A	6.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	3	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A12.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 6x6/1932%▼

PTS7.5UNDER17%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x10/1953%▼

AST2.5UNDER16%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)9/1947%▼

R+A10UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/1937%▼

3PM1.5UNDER24%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)12/1963%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge shifted -0.263▼

PRA15.5OVER6%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/1947%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge changed -0.074▼

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x6/1932%▼

REB5.5OVER14%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)11/1958%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.089▼

3PA5UNDER37%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 6x6/1932%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

FTM1UNDER21%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)8/1942%▼

FTA1UNDER10%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)9/1947%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

Featured Pick

Jaylin Williams

Rebounds OVER 3.5HIGH

This is the cleanest number on the board versus his 5.5 RPG season average and 7.6 RPG over the last 10. The value data is strongest here, with a 36.1% edge and 88.11 EV per 100 at FanDuel, making it the best combination of floor and price.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Luka Garza	2	5	5	40%	50%
Neemias Queta	2	5	2	33%	33%
Jaylen Brown	2	1	7	50%	63%
Hugo González	2	1	0	0%	0%
Baylor Scheierman	2	1	0	0%	0%

reboundsOVER 3.586%HIGH

This line is far below his season average of 5.5 RPG and his recent 7.6 RPG last 10. The value prop data shows a 36.1% edge with strong projected upside on the over.

pointsOVER 6.562%MEDIUM

He averages 7.5 PPG for the season and 10.9 PPG over the last 10, so 6.5 is reachable if minutes hold near recent levels. Boston is not an easy scoring spot, so confidence stays moderate.

threesOVER 1.564%MEDIUM

He averages 1.56 made threes per game for the season and 2.8 over the last 10, with 2.3 FG3M per game over the last 20. The recent volume supports the over, though the standard deviation is high.

assistsOVER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season mean is 2.53 APG and his recent mean is 2.6 APG, both comfortably above 1.5. The under is priced heavily, but the main edge is still the minutes-based role.

prOVER 9.558%MEDIUM

His season averages of 7.5 points and 5.5 rebounds combine to a strong PR baseline, and his last 10 scoring/rebounding form is even better. This is a combo prop, so confidence is held in check.

raOVER 6.557%MEDIUM

He averages 5.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists on the season, which gives him a path over 6.5 when minutes stay in the low 20s. Combo variance is a concern, but the role supports it.

timelineOVER 3.5 REB