AI Model:

Kenrich Williams▼

OKC · PF

PPG

6.6

RPG

3.2

APG

1.4

L5 PPG

7.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.4

6.6

7.0

RPG-0.2

3.2

3.0

APG-0.4

1.4

1.0

SPG+0.4

0.6

1.0

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

TOR

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs TOR: 0 pts

DET

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs DET: 13 pts

DAL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DAL: 0 pts

CHI

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CHI: 1 pts

NYK

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs NYK: 3 pts

GSW

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs GSW: 13 pts

DEN

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs DEN: 2 pts

BKN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs BKN: 9 pts

WAS

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs WAS: 11 pts

PHI

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs PHI: 0 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5STAKE

71%

REB

UNDER 4.5STAKE

74%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

78%

3PM

OVER 0.5

59%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

57%

P+R

UNDER 11.5STAKE

70%

P+A

UNDER 9.5STAKE

73%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

7.6

6.8

RPG

4.1

2.7

APG

1.0

0.9

vs BOS (H2H)9 games

PPG

7.3

RPG

2.9

APG

1.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Victor Wembanyama	4	12	83%	+28.0%	medium
Naz Reid	3	7	88%	+25.2%	medium
Bobby Portis	2	6	50%	-9.8%	low
Quinten Post	2	5	0%

Kenrich Williams faces a tough scoring spot with minutes trending down

Kenrich Williams is averaging 6.6 PPG, 3.2 RPG, and 1.4 APG on the season, but his last 10 games have slipped to 5.2 PPG and 2.3 RPG with just 13.3 MPG. His recent 5-game scoring has bounced to 7.0 PPG, but that comes with a very low 13.8 MPG and one game of only 2 minutes, which makes the sample volatile. Against Boston, his historical output is modest at 7.33 PPG and 2.89 RPG across 9 games, and the Celtics’ defense profile suggests a controlled scoring environment. With key defenders listed and his role still limited, the safer look leans toward unders on higher-volume lines.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.0(↑ from 6.6)

RPG

3.0(→ from 3.2)

APG

1.0(↓ from 1.4)

Key Matchup

Boston’s opponent profile shows a 106.96 defensive rating, 100 pace, and slight scoring suppression of -1.903, which points to a more difficult scoring environment. The provided key defender data includes Jayson Tatum and Sam Hauser, but no specific defender matchup data can be confirmed for Kenrich Williams.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Kenrich Williams▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	2/2	60%
Kenrich Williams▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	1/2	90%
Kenrich Williams▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	2/2	100%
Kenrich Williams▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	59%MEDIUM	1/2	40%
Kenrich Williams▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	20%
Kenrich Williams▼	P+R	11.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%
Kenrich Williams▼	P+A	9.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	2/2	60%

ML Scout Analysis

R+A4.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x4/1233%▼

P+A9OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)6/1250%▼

P+R11.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)6/1250%▼

Featured Pick

Kenrich Williams

Assists UNDER 2.5HIGH

This is the cleanest under on the board because his season mark is only 1.4 APG and his last 10 is 0.8 APG. The line sits a full assist above his typical output, and his recent minutes have been too low to project a spike.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

pointsUNDER 7.571%HIGH

He is below this number on season average at 6.6 PPG and also down to 5.2 PPG over the last 10 with only 13.3 MPG. The recent 7.0 PPG last 5 is not strong enough to offset the lower-minute trend.

reboundsUNDER 4.574%HIGH

Season average is 3.2 RPG and last 10 is even lower at 2.3 RPG. His home split is 4.1 RPG, but the current minute trend and recent logs make 4.5 a tough ask.

assistsUNDER 2.578%HIGH

He averages just 1.35 APG for the season and 0.8 APG over the last 10. A 2.5 line is well above his normal output and his recent distribution.

threesOVER 0.559%MEDIUM

He averages 0.92 made threes per game on the season and 0.6 over the last 5. Even with the recent dip, his season-long volume is enough to justify a modest over lean.

stealsOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 steals on the season and 0.9 in away games, with 1 steal per game over the last 5. The line is reachable, though the volatility is high.

prUNDER 11.570%HIGH

His season points plus rebounds profile is 9.79 combined, and the last 10 has dipped further with 5.2 PPG and 2.3 RPG. Combo props are higher variance, so this line is too ambitious.

paUNDER 9.573%HIGH

His season points plus assists average is 8.0, and recent form is down to 6.0 combined over the last 10. This sits above both his season and recent production.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS