AI Model:

GG Jackson▲

MEM · PF

PPG

12.1

RPG

4.3

APG

1.4

L5 PPG

19.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+7.1

12.1

19.2

RPG-0.5

4.3

3.8

APG-0.2

1.4

1.2

SPG-0.6

0.6

0.0

BPG-0.2

0.8

0.6

OVER 12 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

IND

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs IND: 11 pts

MIN

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIN: 12 pts

POR

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs POR: 20 pts

LAC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs LAC: 14 pts

BKN

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs BKN: 18 pts

PHI

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHI: 15 pts

DAL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs DAL: 20 pts

DEN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs DEN: 16 pts

CHA

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs CHA: 19 pts

ATL

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs ATL: 26 pts

Over 12

Under 12

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 12

78%

REB

UNDER 4.5

63%

AST

UNDER 1.5

68%

3PM

OVER 1

61%

BLK

OVER 0.5

67%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

60%

OVER 2

65%

PRA

OVER 17

58%

P+A

OVER 13.5

62%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.6

16.2

RPG

5.6

5.5

APG

1.6

2.0

vs SAS (H2H)5 games

PPG

11.6

RPG

4.8

APG

1.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Amen Thompson	2	11	64%	+7.5%	low
Jerami Grant	3	10	67%	+6.0%	medium
Julius Randle	3	9	50%	-5.2%	medium
Desmond Bane	2	8	36%

GG Jackson’s usage spike makes his scoring and combo props live

GG Jackson is trending up, with his last 5 at 19.2 PPG over 27.2 MPG compared to a 12.1 PPG season average in 21.4 MPG. The biggest driver is role: Memphis has multiple notable absences, including Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Zach Edey, and others, which should keep Jackson’s minutes and shot volume elevated. His season-to-recent scoring jump is supported by his last 10 and last 20 scoring numbers, though his turnover rate and scoring volatility keep the ceiling and floor both in play. The matchup is also workable, as San Antonio’s opponent profile shows a 111.69 defensive rating and no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders.

Stat Trends

PPG

19.2(↑ from 12.1)

RPG

3.8(→ from 4.3)

APG

1.2(→ from 1.4)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data, so the read is based on the team context and opponent profile. San Antonio’s 111.69 defensive rating is not an elite suppression environment, but the opponent’s listed key defenders do not provide a clear single matchup angle to anchor a stronger edge.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
GG Jackson▼	Points	12	OVER	78%HIGH	1/2	80%	12→12.5	20	✓
GG Jackson▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	FLIP	7	✗
GG Jackson▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	60%		2	✗
GG Jackson▼	3PM	1	OVER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	10%		3	✓
GG Jackson▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	60%		1	✓
GG Jackson▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	50%		3	✗
GG Jackson▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	65%MEDIUM	—	40%		0	✗
GG Jackson▼	PRA	17	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	100%	17→18	29	✓
GG Jackson▼	P+A	13.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	—	22	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+A19UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

P+R22UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

GG Jackson

Points OVER 12.0HIGH

This line sits almost exactly on his season average of 12.06, while his last 5 are 19.2 PPG and his minutes have climbed to 27.2. With multiple high-usage teammates out, his scoring role is clearly expanded, making the over the best combination of volume and floor.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Keldon Johnson	2	4	7	30%	35%
Harrison Barnes	2	3	0	0%	0%
Stephon Castle	2	3	1	0%	0%
Dylan Harper	2	2	0	0%	0%
Kelly Olynyk	2	2	4	100%	100%

pointsOVER 1278%HIGH

His season mean is 12.06, but the role bump from teammate absences and recent 19.2 PPG over the last 5 support a higher projection. The risk is volatility, yet the current usage environment makes 12.0 too low.

reboundsUNDER 4.563%MEDIUM

He averages 4.3 RPG on the season and 4.8 RPG in 5 games vs this opponent, with his last 5 at just 3.8 RPG. The recent rebound trend is not strong enough to justify an over at a normal line.

assistsUNDER 1.568%MEDIUM

His season mean is 1.4 APG and his last 5 are 1.2 APG, so assist volume remains limited even with more minutes. The absence-driven usage is concentrated more in scoring than playmaking.

threesOVER 161%MEDIUM

He averages 1.11 threes on the season and 1.0 in his last 5, so a 1.0 line is playable. The recent volume has stayed near the threshold, but the edge is modest.

blocksOVER 0.567%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 BPG on the season and 1.1 BPG over the last 10 and last 20, which supports a block-friendly profile. His defensive event rate is strong enough to clear a low threshold.

stocksUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.36 and last 10 is 1.4, both below a 1.5 line. The combined category is volatile, so the under is the safer side.

turnoversOVER 265%MEDIUM

He is at 2.2 TO in his last 20 and 2.5 TO in his last 10, with a 2.6 TO last 5. The larger role has increased mistakes, making 2.0 a reasonable over.

praOVER 1758%MEDIUM

His recent scoring spike and minutes increase push PRA upward, but combo props carry more variance. This is supported by the role increase, though confidence stays moderate.

paOVER 13.562%MEDIUM

Points are doing most of the work here, and his recent 19.2 PPG plus 1.2 APG creates a path above 13.5. The assist component is light, so this is mainly a scoring-driven over.

timelineOVER 12 PTS