AI Model:
SG
Javon Small▼
MEM · SG
PPG
9.5
RPG
3.3
APG
3.8
L5 PPG
16.0
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+6.5
9.5
16.0
RPG+0.9
3.3
4.2
APG0.0
3.8
3.8
SPG0.0
0.8
0.8
BPG-0.1
0.3
0.2
OVER 9.5 PTS
Last 10 games
2
Current Streak
2
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
9.5
7
IND
2026-03-01
2026-03-01 vs IND: 7 pts
11
POR
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs POR: 11 pts
2
LAC
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs LAC: 2 pts
19
BKN
2026-03-09
2026-03-09 vs BKN: 19 pts
12
PHI
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs PHI: 12 pts
19
DAL
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs DAL: 19 pts
23
DET
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs DET: 23 pts
8
DEN
2026-03-18
2026-03-18 vs DEN: 8 pts
13
BOS
2026-03-20
2026-03-20 vs BOS: 13 pts
17
CHA
2026-03-21
2026-03-21 vs CHA: 17 pts
Over 9.5
Under 9.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 9.5
58%
REB
OVER 3.5
61%
AST
OVER 3.5
56%
3PM
OVER 1.5
55%
TO
UNDER 2
57%
STL+BLK
UNDER 1.5
59%
PRA
OVER 16.6
52%
P+A
OVER 13.3
51%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
12.6
13.0
RPG
4.4
4.6
APG
5.0
3.2
vs SAS (H2H)1 games
PPG
0.0
RPG
1.0
APG
2.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 3 | 8 | 64% | +9.9% | medium |
| RayJ Dennis | 1 | 6 | 0% | -47.2% | low |
| Scoot Henderson | 2 | 6 | 50% | -7.2% | low |
| Reed Sheppard | 2 | 5 | 0% |
Heavy-usage spot, but the back injury keeps the ceiling in check
Javon Small’s role has clearly expanded with multiple teammates out, and his last 5 games show a strong production spike at 16.0 PPG, 4.2 RPG, and 3.8 APG across 25.2 MPG. That said, his season line is still much lower at 9.5 PPG, 3.3 RPG, and 3.8 APG, and his overall trend is down, so the recent surge is only partially bankable. Memphis also faces a defensive environment with San Antonio’s opponent defense showing a 111.69 rating and -0.84 scoring suppression, which does not create an obvious scoring boost. With the low-back questionable tag, his minutes and efficiency carry added risk even in an expanded role.
Stat Trends
PPG
16.0(↑ from 9.5)
RPG
4.2(↑ from 3.3)
APG
3.8(→ from 3.8)
Stocks
1.0(→ from 1.0)
Key Matchup
Key defender matchup data is limited: Dylan Harper has 3.0 minutes with 2 points allowed and 0.2 FG% allowed, while Stephon Castle has 0.5 minutes with 3 points allowed and 0.5 FG% allowed. With no meaningful defender sample and San Antonio’s opponent defense showing 111.69 rating and -0.84 scoring suppression, there is no strong matchup boost from the data.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Javon Small▼ | Points | 9.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 8 | ✗ |
Javon Small▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 3 | ✗ |
Javon Small▼ | Assists | 3.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 30% | 5 | ✓ |
Javon Small▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 1 | ✗ |
Javon Small▼ | Turnovers | 2 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 3 | ✗ |
Javon Small▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 59%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 1 | ✓ |
Javon Small▼ | PRA | 16.6 | OVER | 52%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 16 | ✗ |
Javon Small▼ | P+A | 13.3 | OVER | 51%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 13 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
P+A17OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼
R+A8.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼
P+R17OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼
Featured Pick
Javon Small
Rebounds OVER 3.5MEDIUM
The rebound profile is one of the cleaner spots: 3.3 RPG on the season, 4.6 RPG over the last 10, and 4.2 RPG over the last 5. His minutes have risen to 25.1 recently, and the teammate absences support a steadier floor on the glass.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.