AI Model:

Gradey Dick▲

TOR · SF

PPG

6.4

RPG

2.1

APG

0.7

L5 PPG

8.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.2

6.4

8.6

RPG-0.7

2.1

1.4

APG+0.9

0.7

1.6

SPG+0.1

0.7

0.8

BPG+0.1

0.1

0.2

OVER 5.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

5.5

MIL

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs MIL: 4 pts

OKC

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs OKC: 0 pts

NYK

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs NYK: 0 pts

MIN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIN: 6 pts

DAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs DAL: 10 pts

HOU

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs HOU: 6 pts

NOP

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs NOP: 7 pts

CHI

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs CHI: 7 pts

PHX

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs PHX: 10 pts

UTA

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs UTA: 13 pts

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 5.5STAKE

58%

REB

UNDER 2.5STAKE

64%

AST

OVER 0.5

55%

3PM

OVER 0.5

54%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

52%

P+A

OVER 5.5STAKE

56%

P+R

OVER 7.5STAKE

53%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.2

6.6

RPG

1.9

2.0

APG

0.6

1.2

vs LAC (H2H)4 games

PPG

13.5

RPG

3.5

APG

1.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Luke Kennard	2	8	63%	+8.3%	low
Liam McNeeley	3	7	0%	-41.7%	medium
Ben Sheppard	4	6	75%	+33.3%	medium
Quentin Grimes	4	6	133%

Gradey Dick’s role boost keeps him in play, but efficiency and volume still point to caution

Gradey Dick is averaging 6.4 PPG, 2.1 RPG, and 0.7 APG on the season, with his last 5 at 8.6 PPG and 1.6 APG, though that comes on just 13.8 MPG. The season baseline is still modest, and his last 10 scoring has settled back to 6.3 PPG with only 10.9 MPG, which makes the recent spike hard to trust fully. Toronto is missing Immanuel Quickley, a meaningful usage/minutes absence, but the matchup data also shows the Clippers suppress scoring well enough to keep the ceiling in check. His best path is a steady role-driven scoreline rather than a true breakout.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.6(↑ from 6.4)

RPG

1.4(↓ from 2.1)

APG

1.6(↑ from 0.7)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, and the opponent profile shows a 112.87 defensive rating with scoring suppression of -0.574 and three suppression of 1.03. That leans slightly against ceiling outcomes, especially for an inefficient scorer.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Result
Gradey Dick▼	Points	5.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	✗
Gradey Dick▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	✓
Gradey Dick▼	Assists	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	✗
Gradey Dick▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	50%	✗
Gradey Dick▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	60%	✗
Gradey Dick▼	P+A	5.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	✗
Gradey Dick▼	P+R	7.5	OVER	53%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R10OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 3x5/956%▼

P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 3x4/944%▼

R+A3.5UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 3x4/944%▼

Featured Pick

Gradey Dick

Points OVER 5.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest angle because his season scoring is 6.4 PPG, his last 5 is 8.6 PPG, and Immanuel Quickley being doubtful can free up opportunity. The downside is that his last 10 is only 6.3 PPG and the Clippers’ defense profile suggests some resistance, so it is not a high-confidence play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Cam Christie	2	5	11	100%	110%
Jordan Miller	1	1	3	100%	150%
Kris Dunn	1	1	3	100%	150%
Kobe Sanders	2	1	0	0%	0%
TyTy Washington Jr.	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 5.558%MEDIUM

He has cleared 5.5 often enough to stay live, and the absence of Immanuel Quickley can help absorb extra usage. Still, his season mean is only 6.4 and his last 10 is 6.3, so this is only a modest edge.

reboundsUNDER 2.564%MEDIUM

His season average is 2.1 RPG and his last 5 is only 1.4 RPG. With his recent minutes at 10.9 and a lower rebound profile away from home, 2.5 is slightly too high.

assistsOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

His season mean is 0.74 APG and his last 5 is 1.6 APG, so 0.5 is reachable even in a limited role. The volatility is high, so confidence stays moderate.

threesOVER 0.554%MEDIUM

He averages 0.82 made threes per game on the season, which supports an over on a low line. The recent mean is only 0.6, so this is still fairly thin.

stealsOVER 0.552%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 steals on the season and 0.8 over his last 5, which is enough to consider the over at 0.5. The category is volatile, so the edge is limited.

paOVER 5.556%MEDIUM

Points plus assists is supported by his 6.4 PPG season average and 0.74 APG season mean, especially with Quickley doubtful. Because combo props are higher variance, confidence remains below 60.

prOVER 7.553%MEDIUM

His season point and rebound averages combine to 8.5, which is enough to shade over 7.5. However, rebounds have been soft recently, so this is not a strong play.

timelineOVER 5.5 PTS