AI Model:

Sandro Mamukelashvili▲

TOR · C

PPG

10.8

RPG

4.8

APG

1.9

L5 PPG

11.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.6

10.8

11.4

RPG-1.2

4.8

3.6

APG+0.3

1.9

2.2

SPG+0.8

0.8

1.6

BPG-0.2

0.6

0.4

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

12.5

MIN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIN: 11 pts

DAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs DAL: 13 pts

HOU

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs HOU: 8 pts

NOP

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs NOP: 8 pts

PHX

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs PHX: 9 pts

DET

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DET: 8 pts

CHI

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs CHI: 17 pts

DEN

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs DEN: 4 pts

PHX

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs PHX: 5 pts

UTA

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs UTA: 23 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5STAKE

61%

REB

UNDER 6.5STAKE

73%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

67%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

58%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

59%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

63%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

56%

UNDER 1

70%

PRA

UNDER 18.5STAKE

64%

P+A

UNDER 14.5STAKE

68%

P+R

UNDER 18.5STAKE

66%

R+A

UNDER 8.5STAKE

69%

UNDER 0.5

78%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.4

10.5

RPG

4.8

3.4

APG

1.1

2.1

vs LAC (H2H)8 games

PPG

5.3

RPG

2.5

APG

0.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Onyeka Okongwu	4	14	45%	-6.8%	medium
Wendell Carter Jr.	3	11	71%	+4.8%	medium
Moussa Diabaté	4	11	33%	-19.0%	medium
Alperen Sengun	2	10	30%

Minutes help, but rebounds and combo lines still look shaky

Sandro Mamukelashvili has been productive in a steady rotation role, averaging 10.8 PPG, 4.8 RPG, and 1.9 APG on 21.9 MPG this season. His last 10 show a mild uptick in scoring and playmaking at 10.6 PPG and 2.1 APG, but his rebound production has stayed below the 6.5 line at 4.4 RPG. The matchup context is complicated by key absences on both sides, but his historical vs-opponent sample is much weaker than his season form at 5.25 PPG and 2.5 RPG across 8 games. Given the variance in his profile and the over-bias caution, the cleanest look is to lean under on inflated combo and rebound expectations.

Stat Trends

PPG

11.4(↑ from 10.8)

RPG

3.6(↓ from 4.8)

APG

2.2(↑ from 1.9)

Stocks

2.0(↑ from 1.4)

Key Matchup

Brook Lopez, Nicolas Batum, and Jordan Miller are listed as key defenders, but there is no specific defender matchup data beyond that. The opponent is allowing a pace of 100 with a def_rating of 112.87, while the scoring suppression mark and three suppression data point to a less friendly scoring environment overall.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	13	✗
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	2/2	80%	7	✗
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	0	✓
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	3	✗
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	59%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✗
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✓
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✗
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Turnovers	1	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	80%	1	✗
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	PRA	18.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	20	✗
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	P+A	14.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	13	✓
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	P+R	18.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	20	✗
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	R+A	8.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	7	✓
Sandro Mamukelashvili▼	Double-Double	0.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

PTS10.5OVER10%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

REB4.5OVER25%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

3PM1.5UNDER11%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted -0.251; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+R16UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

AST2UNDER6%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)5/2025%▼

3PA4UNDER22%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%▼

PRA18UNDER1%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

P+A13UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼

FTM1UNDER11%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

FTA2UNDER5%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x5/2025%▼

R+A6.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Sandro Mamukelashvili

Rebounds UNDER 6.5HIGH

This is the cleanest number on the board because his season average is 4.8 rebounds, last 10 is 4.4, and last 5 is 3.6. All three sit comfortably below 6.5, and his recent form does not suggest a sudden rebound spike.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Brook Lopez	2	4	2	33%	33%
Ivica Zubac	1	2	4	50%	50%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser	1	2	0	0%	0%
Nicolas Batum	2	2	6	67%	100%
Kris Dunn	2	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 12.561%MEDIUM

His season mean is 10.84 points and last 10 is 10.6, both below 12.5. The last-5 bump to 11.4 is not enough to justify an over at this number, especially with his season std of 5.75 showing volatility.

reboundsUNDER 6.573%HIGH

He is averaging 4.8 RPG on the season, 4.4 over the last 10, and only 3.6 over the last 5, all well below 6.5. His rebound profile is not close enough to the line to support an over despite opponent absences.

assistsUNDER 2.567%MEDIUM

Season assists are 1.9 and last 10 are 2.1, which still sit below 2.5. The away split is better at 2.26 APG, but that is still not enough to overcome the line with his 1.6 season standard deviation.

threesUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.33 made threes per game for the season and 1.2 over the last 5, which is slightly below 1.5. The recent trend is fine, but the season baseline still points under.

stealsOVER 0.559%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 steals on the season and 1.2 over the last 10, both above the 0.5 threshold. The steal line is low enough that his recent defensive production supports the over.

blocksUNDER 0.563%MEDIUM

His season block average is 0.6, but last 5 is only 0.4 and last 20 is 0.4, so the recent trend is cooling. With a single-block line and variance in his profile, the under is slightly safer.

stocksOVER 1.556%MEDIUM

He combines for 1.35 stocks per game on the season and 1.7 over the last 10, with a strong 2.0 over the last 5. The recent defensive activity gives this a reasonable chance to clear 1.5.

turnoversUNDER 170%HIGH

He is at 0.8 turnovers in the last 5 and 0.6 over the last 20, so the turnover burden has stayed light. That makes the under the better side if this line is around 1.0.

praUNDER 18.564%MEDIUM

His season PRA based on the provided averages is 17.5, and his recent form is not far above that level. Given combo-prop caution and the variance in his scoring profile, the under is the better lean.

paUNDER 14.568%MEDIUM

Using season averages, his points plus assists land at 12.7, and even the last-10 combination is still modest. This line asks for a stronger offensive night than his baseline suggests.

prUNDER 18.566%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds are 15.6, well below 18.5. The last-5 scoring pop does not fully offset the softer rebound profile.

raUNDER 8.569%MEDIUM

Season rebounds plus assists come to 6.7, and even the last-10 rate is only 6.5. This is a clear gap relative to the posted number.

double_doubleUNDER 0.578%HIGH

He does not have a typical double-double profile with season marks of 10.8 PPG, 4.8 RPG, and 1.9 APG. Even with some recent uptick, he is not consistently near two categories at double digits.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS