Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2 | 16 | 56% | +14.0% | low |
| Paolo Banchero | 4 | 15 | 46% | +0.1% | medium |
| Anthony Edwards | 2 | 13 | 58% | +8.4% | low |
| Tyrese Maxey | 3 | 13 | 25% |
Bilal Coulibaly is trending hotter than his season line, with 19.2 PPG over his last 5 and 30.1 MPG over his last 10, but that spike sits well above his 11.3 season PPG and 26.9 MPG. The Wizards are also missing Alex Sarr, Cam Whitmore, Kyshawn George, and Tre Johnson, which supports Coulibaly’s usage and playing time, yet his recent output has been volatile and the matchup history vs Utah is only 9.25 PPG across 4 games. Utah’s defense profile is still not soft enough to ignore, so the safest angle remains leaning under on inflated scoring and combo lines while respecting his strong stock production.
No specific defender matchup data. Utah’s team defense numbers show a 125.06 defensive rating, 100 pace, 2.166 scoring suppression, and 1.403 three suppression, while Coulibaly has only 9.25 PPG in 4 games vs this opponent.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Evolution | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Points | 15.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | FLIP | 11 | ✓ |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 2 | ✗ | |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 3 | ✓ | |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 59%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 0 | ✗ | |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Steals | 1.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 3 | ✗ | |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 64%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 0 | ✗ | |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | STL+BLK | 2.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 50% | FLIP | 3 | ✗ |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 40% | FLIP | 2 | ✓ |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | P+R | 14.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 20% | FLIP | 13 | ✓ |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | P+A | 11.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 20% | FLIP | 14 | ✗ |
His season scoring baseline is 11.3 PPG, and the best historical indicator here is his 9.25 PPG average in 4 games against Utah. The last 5 surge to 19.2 PPG is a big jump from season form, so the market looks too aggressive and the under has the cleanest edge profile.
| medium |
| Devin Booker | 2 | 12 | 29% | -13.0% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Williams | 2 | 7 | 8 | 75% | 75% |
| Ace Bailey | 2 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 50% |
| John Konchar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Elijah Harkless | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Blake Hinson | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 11.3 PPG and his vs-opponent average is 9.25 PPG across 4 games, which is below this inflated line. The last 5 at 19.2 PPG is a clear spike, but that is well above season form and carries regression risk.
He averages 4.4 RPG for the season and 4.6 RPG over the last 10, with 4.6 RPG in away games and 5.2 RPG over the last 5. The line is tight, but the extra minutes from teammate absences support a small lean over.
Coulibaly’s season mean is 2.65 APG and his last 10 is 2.9 APG, both above this line. That said, the recent sample is volatile and the under at 3.5 is the stronger value side in the market data, so confidence stays moderate.
He averages 1.16 threes per game on the season and 2.1 over the last 10, with 2.1 in home games as well. The recent attempt volume is strong enough to back an over, though the season baseline keeps confidence in check.
Even with 1.4 SPG on the season, this line is high and his recent numbers do not fully support consistent 2-plus steal outcomes. The last 5 shows 1.4 SPG, which is solid but not enough to justify the over at this price.
He averages exactly 1.0 BPG on the season and 1.4 over the last 5, so a 0.5 line is modest relative to his shot-blocking role. Recent form supports clearing this number even with normal variance.
His season stocks average is 2.35 and the last 10 is 2.1, both below a 2.5 threshold. Because stocks props are inherently volatile, this is only a mild under, but the baseline still points that way.
He is at 1.6 turnovers over the last 10 and 2.0 over the last 5, which suggests elevated ball-handling responsibility. With more minutes and usage from teammate absences, turnovers should remain live.
His season averages of 11.3 points and 4.4 rebounds sum to 15.7 PR, but the market line is already shaded up and his vs-opponent scoring history is weaker at 9.25 PPG. Combo props add variance, so the under is the safer side.
He averages 14.0 points plus assists on the season, but the recent assist production is only 2.7 season and 2.9 last 10, so this line depends heavily on scoring staying elevated. Given the regression risk in points, the under is the more cautious play.