Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 2 | 5 | 100% | +46.1% | low |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 2 | 4 | 63% | -3.9% | low |
| Chet Holmgren | 2 | 4 | 33% | -20.6% | low |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 1 | 4 | 0% |
Asa Newell is averaging just 5.2 points, 2.1 rebounds, and 0.5 assists across 11.5 MPG, and his last-5 line has cooled to 3.6 points and 1.8 rebounds. He does show better production at home than away, but the gap is still modest in a limited-usage rotation role, and his recent game logs include several short outings with 0-2 points. Detroit's defense data is workable, but the biggest limiter remains Newell's own playing time and volatile per-minute output, which makes most overs hard to trust.
No specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key_defenders. Detroit's opponent defense profile shows a 109.54 defensive rating and -1.324 scoring suppression, while Newell also has a small sample vs this opponent at 5.0 PPG and 1.5 RPG in 9.5 MPG.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asa Newell▼ | Points | 5.5 | UNDER | 74%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% |
Asa Newell▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 70% |
Asa Newell▼ | Assists | 0.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | — | 70% |
Asa Newell▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | — | 70% |
Asa Newell▼ | STL+BLK | 0.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
His season mean is 5.2 points, but the recent trend is down to 3.6 over the last 5 and 4.7 over the last 10. Given his low minutes, recent short games, and limited role, the under offers the cleanest edge among the available props.
| low |
| Javonte Green | 2 | 3 | 0% | -53.9% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Green | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 0% |
| Paul Reed | 1 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Isaiah Stewart | 2 | 1 | 6 | 100% | 100% |
| Ronald Holland II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Caris LeVert | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season average is 5.2 points, but the last-5 has fallen to 3.6 and his away scoring is only 3.1 PPG. With limited minutes and recent short stints, the under is the safer side.
He averages 2.1 rebounds on the season and 1.8 over the last 5, with only 2.1 in the last 10. Even his better home split at 3.2 RPG does not give enough cushion for a full-game over.
Newell's season assist average is 0.5, but the recent mean is 0.4 and he has been at 0 or 1 assist in almost every recent game. The low-usage profile makes an over fragile.
He is at 0.69 threes per game seasonally, but only 0.3 in the last 5 and 0.6 in the last 20, showing recent decline. His recent game log also shows very limited three-point volume.
He averages 0.72 stocks per game and 0.8 over the last 10 and last 20, so 0.5 is reachable even in limited minutes. This is still volatile, so confidence stays modest.