Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VJ Edgecombe | 3 | 7 | 45% | -1.9% | medium |
| Desmond Bane | 3 | 7 | 50% | +8.1% | medium |
| Quentin Grimes | 3 | 7 | 33% | -8.6% | medium |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 3 | 6 | 133% |
Caris LeVert’s season line is modest at 7.4 PPG, 1.9 RPG, and 2.7 APG across 19.4 MPG, but his recent role is a little stronger with 9.2 PPG and 3.8 APG over the last 5. Detroit’s absences — especially Cade Cunningham’s 24.5 PPG and 9.9 APG — create extra opportunity, which supports his assist and scoring floor. Still, his home split is only 5.8 PPG and the recent trend is down overall, so this is more of a role-driven spot than a true breakout projection.
Detroit enters with no specific defender matchup data for LeVert, so the defensive angle has to be framed by team context. Atlanta’s opponent defense shows a 116.39 defensive rating and 100 pace, which is playable, but the 0.217 scoring suppression and LeVert’s own home split keep expectations in check.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Caris LeVert▼ | Points | 7.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 4 | ✗ |
Caris LeVert▼ | Rebounds | 2 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 5 | ✗ |
Caris LeVert▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 2 | ✗ |
Caris LeVert▼ | 3PM | 1 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Caris LeVert▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 2 | ✗ |
Caris LeVert▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 1 | ✗ |
Caris LeVert▼ | P+A | 10 | UNDER | 54%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 6 | ✓ |
The strongest angle is role-based: Cade Cunningham is out, removing 9.9 APG and opening primary creation chances. LeVert’s season average is 2.73 assists and his last 5 jumps to 3.8, so 2.5 is a reasonable threshold despite the volatility.
| medium |
| Will Riley | 3 | 5 | 50% | +8.1% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vít Krejčí | 2 | 5 | 2 | 25% | 25% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 3 | 4 | 8 | 60% | 80% |
| Dyson Daniels | 3 | 3 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Luke Kennard | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 7.37 and last 5 is 9.2, with major teammate absences opening usage. The recent trend is still volatile, so this is only a modest over.
He averages just 1.88 rebounds for the season and 1.96 away, with only 1.9 MPG baseline production in that category. Even with a 3.2 last-5, the season sample points to the under.
His season mean is 2.73 and last 5 is 3.8, while Cade Cunningham’s absence removes a massive 9.9 APG from the rotation. The role bump makes 2.5 reachable despite modest overall volume.
He averages 1.04 threes on the season but only 0.9 over the last 5 and 0.73 at home. The home split and recent dip make the under slightly preferable.
His season stocks average is 1.49 and recent is 1.2, so this line sits right at the edge. With the historical over bias warning and relatively low recent production, the under is safer.
He has averaged 1.5 turnovers over the last 10 and 1.4 over the last 20, with 1.6 over the last 5. If his ball-handling increases with more on-ball reps, 1.5 is live.
His combined points + assists profile is around 10.1 seasonally, but his home scoring is only 5.8 PPG and the production is inconsistent. Combo props carry extra variance, so the under gets the lean.