AI Model:

Nic Claxton—

BKN · C

PPG

11.8

RPG

7.0

APG

3.8

L5 PPG

8.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.4

11.8

8.4

RPG-0.6

7.0

6.4

APG-2.6

3.8

1.2

SPG-0.5

0.7

0.2

BPG-0.4

1.2

0.8

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

13.5

MIA

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIA: 4 pts

MIA

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIA: 16 pts

DET

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs DET: 2 pts

MEM

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs MEM: 9 pts

DET

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DET: 2 pts

ATL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ATL: 8 pts

POR

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs POR: 12 pts

OKC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs OKC: 4 pts

NYK

2026-03-20

2026-03-20 vs NYK: 8 pts

POR

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs POR: 10 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5STAKE

78%

REB

UNDER 8.5STAKE

74%

AST

UNDER 3.5STAKE

80%

BLK

UNDER 1.5STAKE

71%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

57%

STL+BLK

UNDER 2.5

76%

OVER 1.5

58%

P+R

UNDER 21.5STAKE

77%

R+A

UNDER 11.5STAKE

73%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

11.2

9.7

RPG

6.7

5.6

APG

3.3

2.6

vs GSW (H2H)7 games

PPG

14.3

RPG

9.3

APG

3.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Karl-Anthony Towns	4	21	52%	-14.2%	medium
Jalen Duren	4	18	69%	+11.7%	medium
Neemias Queta	3	16	50%	-7.1%	medium
Nikola Vučević	3	15	43%

Claxton’s minutes are down, but absences keep his rebound and stocks profile alive

Nic Claxton’s recent form is cooler than his season baseline, with 7.5 PPG and 6.3 RPG over the last 10 compared with 11.8 PPG and 7.0 RPG on the season. His minutes have also dipped to 23.4 over the last 10 and 21.6 over the last 5, which is the biggest drag on his ceiling. The matchup is not ideal for a big scoring spike, but the absences on both sides matter: Brooklyn is missing Day'Ron Sharpe, Michael Porter Jr., Noah Clowney, Nolan Traore, and Tyrese Martin, while Golden State is without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Seth Curry, and Stephen Curry. With that context, Claxton’s best path is through rebounds, defense, and a modest points line rather than a full-season offensive projection.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.4(↓ from 11.8)

RPG

6.4(↓ from 7.0)

APG

1.2(↓ from 3.8)

Key Matchup

no specific defender matchup data. Golden State’s opponent profile shows a 114.76 defensive rating and 100 pace, with scoring suppression at -0.149 and three suppression at -0.62, which does not point to a big offensive ceiling for Claxton.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Nic Claxton▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	2/2	90%		8	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Rebounds	8.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	2/2	90%		4	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	2/2	70%		2	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Blocks	1.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	—	60%		1	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	40%		1	✓
Nic Claxton▼	STL+BLK	2.5	UNDER	76%HIGH	—	80%	FLIP	2	✓
Nic Claxton▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	50%	—	3	✓
Nic Claxton▼	P+R	21.5	UNDER	77%HIGH	2/2	80%		12	✓
Nic Claxton▼	R+A	11.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	2/2	80%	—	6	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+A13.5UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%▼

R+A9UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Nic Claxton

Assists UNDER 3.5HIGH

This is the cleanest fade because Claxton’s season APG is 3.8, but his last 10 is only 2.3 and his last 5 is 1.2. The reduced minutes trend to 23.4 over the last 10 makes it hard to trust a return to his season average.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Draymond Green	2	7	3	25%	25%
Trayce Jackson-Davis	1	4	4	100%	100%
Kristaps Porziņģis	1	2	0	0%	0%
Stephen Curry	1	2	8	60%	70%
Brandin Podziemski	2	2	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 13.578%HIGH

Claxton is averaging 11.8 PPG on the season but only 7.5 over the last 10 and 8.4 over the last 5, with minutes down to 23.4 last 10. The 13.5 line sits above his current production and his last-20 scoring of 10.4, so the under is the safer side.

reboundsUNDER 8.574%HIGH

He averages 7.0 RPG on the season and 6.3 over the last 10, well below an 8.5 line. Even with opponent and teammate absences, the recent minutes trend makes clearing 9 boards less likely.

assistsUNDER 3.580%HIGH

Claxton’s season APG is 3.8, but his last 10 is only 2.3 and last 5 is 1.2. The recent distribution is too weak to trust the over at 3.5.

blocksUNDER 1.571%HIGH

He averages 1.2 BPG on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, but the 1.5 line is still above his baseline. With reduced minutes recently, the under is slightly favored.

stealsOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

Claxton’s season steal rate is 0.7 and his away split is 0.9, so he has enough baseline event equity to clear 0.5. Confidence is only moderate because his last 5 is just 0.2.

stocksUNDER 2.576%HIGH

His season stocks average is 1.84 and his recent mean is 1.5, both short of a 2.5-style threshold. Combined defensive counting stats remain volatile, but the current production profile points under.

turnoversOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.2 turnovers on the season and 1.4 over the last 10, which puts him near this range. Given the reduced-usage recent games, this is not a strong over but still playable if the line is 1.5.

prUNDER 21.577%HIGH

Claxton’s season PR is roughly 18.8 using 11.8 points and 7.0 rebounds, while his recent scoring/rebounding form is lower. The 21.5 line asks for a clear beat over his current production level.

raUNDER 11.573%HIGH

He averages 7.0 rebounds and 3.8 assists on the season, but recent assists have cratered and rebounds are only 6.3 over the last 10. That combo line is too aggressive without a minutes boost.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS