AI Model:

Dominick Barlow▼

PHI · PF

PPG

8.1

RPG

4.8

APG

1.2

L5 PPG

6.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.7

8.1

6.4

RPG+1.0

4.8

5.8

APG+1.2

1.2

2.4

SPG-0.1

0.9

0.8

BPG+0.1

0.7

0.8

OVER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

ATL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs ATL: 4 pts

CLE

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs CLE: 8 pts

MEM

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MEM: 11 pts

DET

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs DET: 11 pts

BKN

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs BKN: 10 pts

POR

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs POR: 11 pts

DEN

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs DEN: 8 pts

SAC

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs SAC: 12 pts

UTA

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs UTA: 1 pts

OKC

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs OKC: 0 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 7.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

61%

AST

OVER 1.5

55%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

78%

STL

OVER 0.5

57%

BLK

OVER 0.5

56%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

60%

OVER 1

54%

PRA

UNDER 14.5

64%

P+R

UNDER 12.5

62%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.9

7.4

RPG

4.1

4.4

APG

1.2

vs CHI (H2H)3 games

PPG

5.3

RPG

4.3

APG

1.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jalen Johnson	3	21	44%	-14.3%	medium
Pascal Siakam	2	14	50%	-11.4%	low
Scottie Barnes	3	12	38%	-16.8%	medium
Jaylen Brown	2	11	80%

Barlow’s role supports counting stats, but scoring remains capped

Dominick Barlow is averaging 8.1 PPG, 4.8 RPG, and 1.2 APG on the season, with his last 10 settling at 7.6 points and 4.9 rebounds, so the form points to a modest production profile rather than an explosive one. His last 5 show a small assist uptick to 2.4 APG, but scoring has dropped to 6.4 PPG and the overall trend is down, which is a concern for any points over. He has been solid on the glass and in stocks, and his home splits are a little better in rebounds and stocks than his away numbers. With no rest disadvantage and a starting role, the safest angle leans toward volume-based stats rather than chasing points upside.

Stat Trends

PPG

6.4(↓ from 8.1)

RPG

5.8(↑ from 4.8)

APG

2.4(↑ from 1.2)

Key Matchup

The opponent defense data shows a 120.34 defensive rating, pace of 100, and scoring suppression of 1.106, which is not a favorable scoring environment. In the head-to-head data, he has averaged only 5.33 PPG, 4.33 RPG, and 1.67 APG over 3 games, and there is no specific defender matchup data to target beyond the listed key defenders.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Evolution	Actual	Result
Dominick Barlow▼	Points	7.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	FLIP	9	✓
Dominick Barlow▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	50%		5	✓
Dominick Barlow▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	60%		5	✓
Dominick Barlow▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	—	80%		0	✓
Dominick Barlow▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	30%		0	✗
Dominick Barlow▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	70%		2	✓
Dominick Barlow▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	50%		2	✓
Dominick Barlow▼	Turnovers	1	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	20%		0	✗
Dominick Barlow▼	PRA	14.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	40%		19	✗
Dominick Barlow▼	P+R	12.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	—	14	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS5.5OVER25%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x14/1974%+23.7% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA10.5OVER16%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x14/1974%+22.5% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.527▼

P+A9UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/1947%▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)8/1942%▼

P+R12UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)9/1947%▼

REB3.5UNDER9%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)11/1958%▼

AST1UNDER11%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)9/1947%▼

FTA2UNDER50%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 5x4/1921%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

FTM1UNDER28%gbtAvoid (7/20)7/1937%▼

Featured Pick

Dominick Barlow

Rebounds OVER 4.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge because his season average is 4.8 RPG, his last 10 are 4.9 RPG, and his last 5 have jumped to 5.8 RPG. The value data also supports the over at 4.5, with a best edge of 4.6% at BetRivers and positive EV, making it the most reliable angle in this profile.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Matas Buzelis	2	4	5	25%	38%
Josh Giddey	2	4	2	20%	20%
Nikola Vučević	1	2	2	100%	100%
Isaac Okoro	2	2	3	50%	75%
Guerschon Yabusele	1	2	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 7.558%MEDIUM

He averages 8.1 points on the season and 8.7 points away, which is slightly above this line. However, his last 5 are down to 6.4 PPG, so this is only a modest lean and not a high-confidence over.

reboundsOVER 4.561%MEDIUM

He averages 4.8 RPG for the season and 4.9 RPG over the last 10, with a recent spike to 5.8 RPG in the last 5. The rebound profile is steadier than scoring, making this the best volume-based angle.

assistsOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.2 APG, but the last 10 are up to 1.7 APG and the last 5 are 2.4 APG. That said, the season baseline is still low, so this remains a moderate-confidence lean.

threesUNDER 0.578%HIGH

He averages only 0.33 threes per game on the season and 0.2 in the last 5. With only 0.26 three-point percentage and very low recent volume, the under is the clear side.

stealsOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He averages 0.9 steals per game on the season and 0.8 in the last 5, which clears this threshold. The recent sample is not dominant, but the season rate supports a slight over lean.

blocksOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 blocks per game on the season and 0.9 over the last 10. That gives him a reasonable chance to clear 0.5 blocks despite the normal variance in rim protection stats.

stocksOVER 1.560%MEDIUM

He averages 1.6 stocks on the season, 1.5 over the last 10, and 1.6 over the last 20. That consistency makes 1.5 a fair line to lean over.

turnoversOVER 154%MEDIUM

His last 5 and last 10 both sit at 1.2 turnovers per game, and his season rate is also around that range. This is a small lean over if the line is 1.0.

praUNDER 14.564%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 14.1 using 8.1 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.2 assists, and his last 5 average is 14.6. Because combo props carry more variance, this is only a slight under lean based on the season baseline.

prUNDER 12.562%MEDIUM

He averages 12.9 points plus rebounds on the season, but recent scoring has softened to 6.4 PPG while rebounds are holding. That makes this line close, but the season number suggests a slight under lean.

timelineOVER 7.5 PTS