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AI Model:

CHI

Chicago Bulls

29-42 | L10: 4-6

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

39-33 | L10: 5-5

2026-03-25

ML Game Intelligence

HIGH

CHI94%

7%PHI

CHI90-80PHI

Key Factors

*76ers without Tyrese Maxey (28.9 PPG) - out (Finger)
*76ers without Joel Embiid (26.4 PPG) - questionable ()
*76ers without Quentin Grimes (14.1 PPG) - questionable ()
*Bulls without Ayo Dosunmu (14.6 PPG) - questionable (Calf)
*Bulls without Isaac Okoro (9.0 PPG) - doubtful ()

Key Matchup

Bulls has matchup advantages

PHI Advantages

+ Positional advantages

CHI Advantages

Key Defensive Matchups

CHI Players

Collin Sexton

Tyrese Maxey1g · 8m+0.0%30% eFGlow

VJ Edgecombe2g · 4m+0.0%150% eFGlow

Justin Edwards2g · 2m+0.0%100% eFGlow

Jalen Smith

Adem Bona2g · 6m+0.0%0% eFGlow

Jabari Walker1g · 4m+0.0%0% eFGlow

Philadelphia (39-33) hosts struggling Chicago (29-42) with the 76ers favored but hampered by injuries to Tyrese Maxey (star guard, 28.9 PPG, 6.6 APG out). Chicago is 1-game losing streak but gets Isaac Okoro (doubtful, 9 PPG, 27 MPG) questionable status. The 76ers have quality home court advantage (2 days rest vs Chicago's 2 days), though PHI's recent form shows mixed results.

Team Comparison

CHIPHI

Key Players

Edgecombe is scorching hot: 24.4 PPG over last 5 games (up from 16.1 season avg), elevated role due to Tyrese Maxey injury. Last game vs OKC: 35 PPG on 7 made threes. With Chicago's defensive rating at 120.34, Edgecombe exploits weak perimeter D. Recent surge shows 23.5% variance but with expanded minutes (35 MPG) and usage, over props are attractive.

ProjectedPTS: 11.4-18-24.6REB: 3.7-6.7-9.7AST: 2.1-4.5-6.9

Joel Embiid▼Questionable

Embiid is GTD (right oblique) but averaging 29.0 PPG over last 5. Season trend is down (31.9 L10 → 29.0 L5) indicating regression. His vs Chicago is elite: 30.1 PPG over 14 games. If available, expect 27-30 PPG range. Key defenders (Jalen Smith 3.6 min, 0.53 FG%) offer little resistance. Monitor injury status pre-game.

ProjectedPTS: 18.8-25.4-32REB: 4.4-7.4-10.4AST: 1.6-4-6.4

George trending up: 17.4 PPG last 5 vs 16.2 season avg, excellent 4.2 APG L5. vs Chicago over 10 games: elite 19.8 PPG, 6.4 RPG. Chicago's defense (120.34 DR) vulnerable to his outside shooting (38.1% from three). Home court helps. Steady prop candidate with solid upside.

ProjectedPTS: 8.9-15.5-22.1REB: 1.8-4.8-7.8AST: 1.5-3.9-6.3

Prop Picks

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Edge	Actual	Result
VJ Edgecombe▼ PHI	Points	13.5stake	OVER	78%HIGH	70%	+14.2%	22	✓
Josh Giddey▼ CHI	Assists	9.5stake	OVER	76%HIGH	80%	+11.8%	12	✓
Joel Embiid▼ PHI	Points	28.5stake	OVER	62%MEDIUM	70%	+6.7%	35	✓
Collin Sexton▼ CHI	Points	10.5stake	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	40%	+9.4%	16	✗
Paul George▼ PHI	Assists	3.5stake	OVER	64%MEDIUM	70%	+7.6%	4	✓

Model Comparison

6 models · 22 props compared

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Props Shown

22 total on slate

Models

1 game view

Unanimous

Full agreement across submitted picks

Featured Picks

VJ Edgecombe

Points OVER 13.5HIGH

24.4 PPG last 5 games with expanded 35 MPG role (Maxey out 28.9 PPG). Chicago's weak perimeter defense (120.34 rating) is exploitable. Even assuming regression to 18-19 PPG clears the line with comfortable margin. 14.2% edge.

Josh Giddey

Assists OVER 9.5HIGH

11.6 APG over last 5 games—floor-running role is stable. vs PHI career: 7.3 APG but in lower usage roles. At 35+ MPG in primary ball-handler position, 10+ APG highly probable. 11.8% edge with strong contextual support.

Joel Embiid

Points OVER 28.5 (if plays)MEDIUM

Questionable status adds risk, but if available: 30.1 PPG vs Chicago career over 14 games; Chicago's centers (Jalen Smith) provide zero defensive resistance. Line conservative given matchup. Monitor pre-game confirmation. 6.7% edge.

Parlay of the Game

VJ Edgecombe — Points OVER 13.5Leg 1

Josh Giddey — Assists OVER 9.5Leg 2

Paul George — Assists OVER 3.5Leg 3

Three-leg parlay targeting PHI offensive elevation (Maxey out 28.9 PPG) and CHI's ball-handler (Giddey). Edgecombe role expansion (24.4 PPG L5) pairs with weak Chicago perimeter D. Giddey's floor-running duties independent of outside shooting variance. George's playmaking elevated in reduced-ball-handling offense. Legs correlate through Chicago's defensive weaknesses and Philadelphia's offensive necessity post-Maxey injury. Probability ~31%, expected value positive given 11-13% individual edges.

Injury & Lineup Notes

CRITICAL: Tyrese Maxey (PHI) OUT—28.9 PPG, 6.6 APG, 38.2 MPG. Massive role elevation for Edgecombe, Grimes, George. Joel Embiid QUESTIONABLE (right oblique)—if GTD/Out, impacts PHI's scoring load. Quentin Grimes QUESTIONABLE (illness)—affects SG minutes. Isaac Okoro (CHI) DOUBTFUL—9 PPG, 27 MPG; impacts perimeter defense if unavailable. Zach Collins (CHI) OUT—9.7 PPG, 18.4 MPG; backup frontcourt depth affected. Monitor all four statuses 1 hour pre-game.