AI Model:

Guerschon Yabusele▲

CHI · C

PPG

5.0

RPG

3.2

APG

0.9

L5 PPG

8.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.2

5.0

8.2

RPG+1.0

3.2

4.2

APG+0.1

0.9

1.0

SPG+1.0

0.4

1.4

BPG+0.2

0.2

0.4

UNDER 6.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

6.5

POR

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs POR: 6 pts

MIL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs MIL: 12 pts

OKC

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs OKC: 18 pts

PHX

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs PHX: 16 pts

SAC

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs SAC: 4 pts

GSW

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs GSW: 2 pts

LAC

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs LAC: 11 pts

MEM

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs MEM: 13 pts

TOR

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs TOR: 5 pts

CLE

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs CLE: 10 pts

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 6.5DRAFTKINGS

73%

REB

OVER 3.5

56%

AST

OVER 1

52%

3PM

OVER 1

55%

STL

OVER 0.5

58%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

54%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

57%

OVER 1

51%

P+R

OVER 8.5

49%

R+A

OVER 7

48%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.8

8.5

RPG

6.1

4.8

APG

1.9

1.5

vs PHI (H2H)3 games

PPG

1.0

RPG

0.7

APG

0.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Collin Murray-Boyles	5	10	75%	+34.9%	medium
Sandro Mamukelashvili	5	8	50%	+2.8%	medium
Mitchell Robinson	1	7	100%	+59.9%	low
Victor Wembanyama	2	7	69%

Yabusele’s recent minutes surge is real, but the points market still leans under

Guerschon Yabusele has trended up lately, with his last 5 at 8.2 PPG, 4.2 RPG, and 20.8 MPG compared to a season line of 5.0 PPG and 13.6 MPG. Even with that improved run, his value-prop data shows a clear under lean on points at 6.5, and his season scoring baseline remains well below the recent spike. Philadelphia’s defense numbers are not a major suppression spot overall, but his head-to-head history versus this opponent is very limited production-wise at 1.0 PPG across 3 games. The combination of a modest season role, volatility, and a sharp gap between season and recent output keeps the projection cautious.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.2(↑ from 5.0)

RPG

4.2(↑ from 3.2)

APG

1.0(→ from 0.9)

Stocks

1.8(↑ from 0.6)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available. Philadelphia’s opponent defense shows a 116.15 defensive rating, 100 pace, 0.164 scoring suppression, and -0.254 three suppression, while Yabusele’s prior results versus this opponent are just 1.0 PPG, 0.6666666666666666 RPG, and 0.6666666666666666 APG across 3 games.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Actual	Result
Guerschon Yabusele▼	Points	6.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	40%	11	✗
Guerschon Yabusele▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	70%	4	✓
Guerschon Yabusele▼	Assists	1	OVER	52%MEDIUM	50%	0	✗
Guerschon Yabusele▼	3PM	1	OVER	55%MEDIUM	60%	2	✓
Guerschon Yabusele▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	60%	0	✗
Guerschon Yabusele▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	54%MEDIUM	60%	0	✓
Guerschon Yabusele▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	50%	0	✗
Guerschon Yabusele▼	Turnovers	1	OVER	51%MEDIUM	20%	0	✗
Guerschon Yabusele▼	P+R	8.5	OVER	49%LOW	80%	15	✓
Guerschon Yabusele▼	R+A	7	OVER	48%LOW	50%	4	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11.5UNDER35%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%+14.0% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA21.5UNDER8%gbt_praDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%+8.5% edge▼

REB7.5UNDER27%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)5/2025%+21.5% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+R16UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%▼

P+A12UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

AST2.5UNDER62%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 7x4/2020%+10.6% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

3PM1.5UNDER6%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)13/2065%▼

R+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Guerschon Yabusele

Points UNDER 6.5HIGH

This is the clearest value on the board, with the model showing a 13.5% edge and 0.652 probability for the under at DraftKings. His season average is only 5.0 PPG, and the recent scoring spike to 8.2 over the last 5 is still small-sample noise against a much lower baseline.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Joel Embiid	3	4	10	67%	67%
Adem Bona	3	3	0	0%	0%
Dominick Barlow	3	2	2	100%	100%
Quentin Grimes	2	1	2	50%	50%
Paul George	3	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 6.573%HIGH

The value data shows a 13.5% edge on the under with an expected win probability of 0.652. His season mean is 4.98 points, and his recent scoring has outpaced that, which raises regression risk.

reboundsOVER 3.556%MEDIUM

He is at 4.2 RPG over the last 5 and 5.6 RPG over the last 10, both above the 3.24 season mean. The rebound profile is supported by a recent minutes jump to 23.6 MPG.

assistsOVER 152%MEDIUM

His last 10 assist average is 1.8 versus a 0.9 season mean, but the role is still low-volume and the season standard deviation is 1.37. This makes the over playable but not high-confidence.

threesOVER 155%MEDIUM

He averages 0.97 made threes per game for the season and 1.8 over the last 5, with 1.9 over the last 20. The current workload is enough to keep him near this line.

stealsOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

His season steals rate is 0.4, but he is at 1.4 over the last 5 and 1.1 over the last 10. The recent defensive activity is strong enough to justify an over lean.

blocksUNDER 0.554%MEDIUM

He averages only 0.2 blocks per game for the season, and even the recent 0.4 last-5 mark is below a typical 0.5 line. This is a low-volume block profile.

stocksOVER 1.557%MEDIUM

He averages 0.61 stocks on the season but 1.8 over the last 5 and 1.6 over the last 10. The recent uptick in combined steals and blocks supports the over.

turnoversOVER 151%MEDIUM

He is at 1.0 turnovers over the last 5 and 1.2 over the last 10, versus 0.9 assists seasonally and a bigger role recently. The projection is modest, but the turnover count can rise with added minutes.

prOVER 8.549%LOW

His recent points-plus-rebounds form is well above his season baseline, but combo props are volatile and historically lower hit-rate. Use caution despite the minutes bump.

raOVER 748%LOW

He has reached 5.6 rebounds and 1.8 assists over the last 10, giving him a path to this line. The combined-market volatility keeps confidence limited.

timelineUNDER 6.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Yabusele’s recent minutes surge is real, but the points market still leans under

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 6.5 PTS