Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayan Rupert | 2 | 6 | 57% | -11.1% | low |
| Jaylin Williams | 3 | 5 | 0% | -54.0% | medium |
| LeBron James | 1 | 5 | 0% | -54.0% | low |
| Bobby Portis | 1 | 5 | 79% | +3.1% |
Leonard Miller’s recent form is clearly up: he’s averaging 12.8 PPG and 6.4 RPG over his last 5 games versus season marks of 5.5 PPG and 2.9 RPG, with minutes jumping from 11.8 MPG season-long to 26.6 MPG recently. The problem is regression risk and a tougher scoring environment, since his season baseline is much lower and his prior history vs this opponent is only 1.0 PPG in 2 games. Philadelphia’s team context also points to some resistance, with a 116.15 defensive rating and 16.4% scoring suppression.
No specific defender matchup data. The opponent context is mixed: Philadelphia’s defensive rating is 116.15 with 16.4% scoring suppression, which adds some resistance, but the provided key defender data is not enough to isolate a matchup edge.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Leonard Miller▼ | Points | 5.5 | OVER | 67%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 90% | 15 | ✓ |
Leonard Miller▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 90% | 7 | ✓ |
Leonard Miller▼ | Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 2 | ✓ |
Leonard Miller▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
Leonard Miller▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Leonard Miller▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Leonard Miller▼ | Turnovers | 0.5 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 1 | ✗ |
Leonard Miller▼ | PRA | 12.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 24 | ✓ |
Rebounds are the cleanest read here because his recent role has translated directly into 6.4 RPG over both the last 5 and last 10 games, far above his 2.9 season average. The line is modest relative to current usage, making this the strongest angle among the available props.
| low |
| Gui Santos | 2 | 5 | 43% | -11.1% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Walker | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Dominick Barlow | 1 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Joel Embiid | 1 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Paul George | 1 | 1 | 6 | 50% | 75% |
| Trendon Watford | 1 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
His role has expanded sharply, with recent production at 12.8 PPG over the last 5 and 11.2 PPG over the last 10, both well above the 5.5 season mean. The risk is regression, but the current minutes trend supports clearing a modest line.
He is averaging 6.4 RPG over the last 5 and 6.4 RPG over the last 10, compared with 2.9 RPG on the season. Even with variance, the current role suggests he should be live to beat a low projected number.
His recent assist output is 1.6 APG over the last 5 and 1.0 APG over the last 10, above the 0.6 season average. This is still a low-volume category, so confidence stays moderate.
He’s at 1.2 fg3m/game in the last 5 and 1.0 in the last 10, versus 0.43 on the season. The recent volume is enough to justify a lean over on a low line, but it’s not high confidence because the season-long baseline is weak.
He averages only 0.2 BPG on the season and 0.3 over the last 10, so he’s still below meaningful block volume. Even with a few recent spikes, the baseline supports the under.
His combined season average is just 0.51 stocks, and the recent 0.7 over the last 10 is not strong enough to justify a high line. This category is volatile, but the season profile points under.
He’s only at 0.7 turnovers per game on the season and 0.6 over the last 5. With such a low usage profile, the under is the safer side.
His recent role has pushed him to 12.8 PPG, 6.4 RPG, and 1.6 APG over the last 5, creating a much better PRA floor than his season numbers imply. Still, combo props carry more variance, so the confidence is capped.