AI Model:

Leonard Miller▲

CHI · PF

PPG

5.5

RPG

2.9

APG

0.6

L5 PPG

12.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+7.3

5.5

12.8

RPG+3.5

2.9

6.4

APG+1.0

0.6

1.6

SPG+0.1

0.3

0.4

BPG+0.2

0.2

0.4

OVER 5.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

5.5

OKC

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs OKC: 8 pts

PHX

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs PHX: 8 pts

SAC

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs SAC: 0 pts

GSW

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs GSW: 17 pts

LAL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs LAL: 15 pts

LAC

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs LAC: 14 pts

MEM

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs MEM: 10 pts

TOR

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs TOR: 13 pts

CLE

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs CLE: 10 pts

HOU

2026-03-23

2026-03-23 vs HOU: 17 pts

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 5.5

67%

REB

OVER 2.5

70%

AST

OVER 0.5

58%

3PM

OVER 0.5

55%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

62%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

63%

UNDER 0.5

69%

PRA

OVER 12.5

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

7.4

8.2

RPG

3.2

5.4

APG

1.0

0.8

vs PHI (H2H)2 games

PPG

1.0

RPG

2.0

APG

0.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Rayan Rupert	2	6	57%	-11.1%	low
Jaylin Williams	3	5	0%	-54.0%	medium
LeBron James	1	5	0%	-54.0%	low
Bobby Portis	1	5	79%	+3.1%

Minutes-driven surge, but the matchup keeps a lid on the ceiling

Leonard Miller’s recent form is clearly up: he’s averaging 12.8 PPG and 6.4 RPG over his last 5 games versus season marks of 5.5 PPG and 2.9 RPG, with minutes jumping from 11.8 MPG season-long to 26.6 MPG recently. The problem is regression risk and a tougher scoring environment, since his season baseline is much lower and his prior history vs this opponent is only 1.0 PPG in 2 games. Philadelphia’s team context also points to some resistance, with a 116.15 defensive rating and 16.4% scoring suppression.

Stat Trends

PPG

12.8(↑ from 5.5)

RPG

6.4(↑ from 2.9)

APG

1.6(↑ from 0.6)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data. The opponent context is mixed: Philadelphia’s defensive rating is 116.15 with 16.4% scoring suppression, which adds some resistance, but the provided key defender data is not enough to isolate a matchup edge.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Leonard Miller▼	Points	5.5	OVER	67%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	15	✓
Leonard Miller▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	90%	7	✓
Leonard Miller▼	Assists	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	2	✓
Leonard Miller▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	1	✓
Leonard Miller▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	—	80%	0	✓
Leonard Miller▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✓
Leonard Miller▼	Turnovers	0.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✗
Leonard Miller▼	PRA	12.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	24	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS16.5UNDER23%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)4/1822%+26.8% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

REB8.5UNDER24%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)5/1828%+21.2% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA27.5UNDER21%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)4/1822%+25.2% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+R19.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x10/1856%▼

P+A14.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)9/1850%▼

R+A8OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/1856%▼

AST2.5UNDER57%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x4/1822%+10.3% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

3PM1.5UNDER14%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x8/1844%▼

Featured Pick

Leonard Miller

Rebounds OVER 2.5HIGH

Rebounds are the cleanest read here because his recent role has translated directly into 6.4 RPG over both the last 5 and last 10 games, far above his 2.9 season average. The line is modest relative to current usage, making this the strongest angle among the available props.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jabari Walker	1	2	0	0%	0%
Dominick Barlow	1	2	2	100%	100%
Joel Embiid	1	1	2	100%	100%
Paul George	1	1	6	50%	75%
Trendon Watford	1	1	2	33%	33%

pointsOVER 5.567%MEDIUM

His role has expanded sharply, with recent production at 12.8 PPG over the last 5 and 11.2 PPG over the last 10, both well above the 5.5 season mean. The risk is regression, but the current minutes trend supports clearing a modest line.

reboundsOVER 2.570%HIGH

He is averaging 6.4 RPG over the last 5 and 6.4 RPG over the last 10, compared with 2.9 RPG on the season. Even with variance, the current role suggests he should be live to beat a low projected number.

assistsOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

His recent assist output is 1.6 APG over the last 5 and 1.0 APG over the last 10, above the 0.6 season average. This is still a low-volume category, so confidence stays moderate.

threesOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

He’s at 1.2 fg3m/game in the last 5 and 1.0 in the last 10, versus 0.43 on the season. The recent volume is enough to justify a lean over on a low line, but it’s not high confidence because the season-long baseline is weak.

blocksUNDER 0.562%MEDIUM

He averages only 0.2 BPG on the season and 0.3 over the last 10, so he’s still below meaningful block volume. Even with a few recent spikes, the baseline supports the under.

stocksUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

His combined season average is just 0.51 stocks, and the recent 0.7 over the last 10 is not strong enough to justify a high line. This category is volatile, but the season profile points under.

turnoversUNDER 0.569%MEDIUM

He’s only at 0.7 turnovers per game on the season and 0.6 over the last 5. With such a low usage profile, the under is the safer side.

praOVER 12.560%MEDIUM

His recent role has pushed him to 12.8 PPG, 6.4 RPG, and 1.6 APG over the last 5, creating a much better PRA floor than his season numbers imply. Still, combo props carry more variance, so the confidence is capped.

timelineOVER 5.5 PTS